2024 NFL Draft: Caleb Williams Leads the Way in First Round Predictions, But Other Quarterbacks Could Also Go High

Indianapolis, INDIANA United States of America
2024 NFL Draft
Caleb Williams from USC
First round predictions
2024 NFL Draft: Caleb Williams Leads the Way in First Round Predictions, But Other Quarterbacks Could Also Go High

The 2024 NFL Draft is quickly approaching, and many experts are already making their predictions about which players will be selected in the first round. One of the most highly anticipated picks this year is Caleb Williams from USC, who has been at the top of most mock drafts for months now. However, there are also several other quarterbacks that could potentially go in Round 1 as well.



Confidence

100%

No Doubts Found At Time Of Publication

Sources

62%

  • Unique Points
    • Caleb Williams is a lock for the first round.
    • Jayden Daniels and North Carolina's Drake Maye are also locks for the first round.
  • Accuracy
    • The Bears are projected to select Bryce Young with the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft
    • Kliff Kingsbury, coach of the Commanders, had success with Johnny Manziel in college and handpicked Kyler Murray at Arizona. The Commanders are projected to select Hendon Hooker with the second overall pick
    • `Jaquan Maye` didn't work out at the combine but received positive feedback from team sources regarding his interviews and work on the whiteboard. He is projected to be selected by the Lions with the third overall pick
    • The top receivers are not in consensus order, but Jaxon Smith-Nabers is considered ultra-explosive and can work all three levels. He is projected to be selected by the Cardinals with the fourth overall pick
  • Deception (30%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that there could be up to six quarterbacks taken in Round 1 of the NFL Draft. However, this statement contradicts itself as it states that at least three quarterbacks are locks to be first-round picks and then goes on to say other signal-callers like Bo Nix could sneak into the first round. This is a lie by omission as there is no mention of any other positions being taken in Round 1, which would make it impossible for six quarterbacks to be picked. Secondly, the author quotes Adam Schefter stating that Caleb Williams will likely go first overall and then goes on to say he had thought Justin Fields' market was not as robust as expected. This is a lie by omission as there is no mention of any other positions being taken in Round 1, which would make it impossible for six quarterbacks to be picked.
    • The author claims that there could be up to six quarterbacks taken in Round 1 but then goes on to say at least three are locks. This contradicts itself and is a lie by omission.
  • Fallacies (70%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses inflammatory rhetoric when he says that there could be as many as six quarterbacks taken in the first round and that it would be a surprise if Caleb Williams wasn't picked at one. He also appeals to authority by citing Adam Schefter, an ESPN analyst, without providing any evidence for his claims.
    • The author uses inflammatory rhetoric when he says that there could be as many as six quarterbacks taken in the first round and that it would be a surprise if Caleb Williams wasn't picked at one.
    • He also appeals to authority by citing Adam Schefter, an ESPN analyst, without providing any evidence for his claims.
  • Bias (80%)
    The author has a clear bias towards the idea that there will be multiple quarterbacks taken in the first round of the NFL draft. The author uses quotes from ESPN's Adam Schefter to support this claim and also mentions several specific quarterback prospects who could potentially be selected in Round 1.
    • Making an appearance on The Pat McAfee Show on Monday, Schefter explained that there could be as many as six quarterbacks taken in the opening frame of April's event. Certainly five, that could happen.
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
      The author Andrew Peters has a conflict of interest on the topic of NFL Draft as he is reporting for Bleacher Report which is owned by Turner Sports. The company owns several sports teams including Atlanta Falcons and Los Angeles Clippers.
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
        The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of NFL Draft as they are reporting on it and also mentioning specific quarterbacks such as Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye and Bo Nix. The article mentions that Adam Schefter is excited about the upcoming draft which could have up to 6 QBs in Round 1.
        • Adam Schefter is excited about the upcoming draft which could have up to 6 QBs in Round 1.
          • The author reports on the NFL Draft and specifically mentions Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye and Bo Nix.

          78%

          • Unique Points
            • The Bears are projected to select Bryce Young with the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft
            • `Jaquan Maye` didn't work out at the combine but received positive feedback from team sources regarding his interviews and work on the whiteboard. He is projected to be selected by the Lions with the third overall pick
            • The top receivers are not in consensus order, but Jaxon Smith-Nabers is considered ultra-explosive and can work all three levels. He is projected to be selected by the Cardinals with the fourth overall pick
            • `Joshua Harrison Jr.` put up impressive numbers against Michigan while coached by Jim Harbaugh. He is projected to be selected by the Chargers with the fifth overall pick
            • The NFL Scouting Combine is a key event for college players looking to be selected in the 2024 NFL Draft. Some of the biggest names in the draft are skipping it, including quarterbacks Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels as well as wide receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Malik Nabers.
            • Caleb Williams is at the top of most mock drafts, including USA Today's latest projections. He won't be throwing at the Scouting Combine but has years of tape on him from his time in Southern California.
          • Accuracy
            No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
          • Deception (80%)
            The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that any outcome other than Williams being taken with this selection would be a shock. However, there are multiple examples of teams taking quarterbacks at different positions and it's not uncommon for teams to take players who aren't considered their top need.
            • The Falcons making a trade with the Bears for QB Justin Fields or signing Kirk Cousins
            • The Commanders giving the coach another dual-threat quarterback in Daniels
          • Fallacies (85%)
            The article contains several logical fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Kliff Kingsbury had success with Johnny Manziel in college and then handpicked Kyler Murray at Arizona without providing any evidence or reasoning for this claim. Additionally, the author makes a false dilemma by stating that there is only one outcome other than the Bears taking Williams with this selection when many teams could potentially trade up to take him. The article also contains an example of a slippery slope fallacy where the author suggests that if Latham is taken at number 1, then Rome Odunze will be taken later in the draft without providing any evidence or reasoning for this claim.
            • Kliff Kingsbury had success with Johnny Manziel in college and then handpicked Kyler Murray at Arizona
            • There is only one outcome other than the Bears taking Williams with this selection
            • If Latham is taken at number 1, then Rome Odunze will be taken later in the draft
          • Bias (85%)
            The author has a clear bias towards the NFL and football. They frequently use phrases such as 'NFL Scouting Combine' and '2024 NFL Draft', which are specific to the sport. Additionally, they make assumptions about players based on their performance in these events without providing any evidence or context for why those assumptions were made.
            • Below is my second mock draft of the year, which features a shake-up at the receiver position compared to my first go-around, along with a handful of projected trades.
              • The 2024 NFL Scouting Combine moved us closer to the 2024 NFL Draft
                • Thereys a lack of consensus on the WR pecking order
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                  The author of this article is Lance Zierlein, who also happens to be the creator of this mock draft. This creates a potential conflict of interest as he may have biases towards certain players or teams based on his own personal opinions and predictions.
                  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                    Lance Zierlein has conflicts of interest on the topics of NFL Draft and Lance Zierlein 2024 NFL mock draft. He is biased towards certain players such as J.J. McCarthy and Xavier Worthy.
                    • Lance Zierlein's mock draft 1.0 had Xavier Worthy as his top pick for WR and he is now included in this article.
                      • The article mentions that Lance Zierlein has a history of predicting the success of certain players in the NFL Draft, including J.J. McCarthy.

                      64%

                      • Unique Points
                        • Caleb Williams is at the top of most mock drafts
                        • Brock Bowers didn't work out at the combine but is still available in this mock draft.
                      • Accuracy
                        • The Bears select Caleb Williams at No.1 overall and snag Brock Bowers at No.9.
                        • Daniels took a sack on 24.5% of his pressured dropbacks in college, which is a scarily high number.
                      • Deception (30%)
                        The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author uses sensationalism by describing Caleb Williams and Brock Bowers as a 'one-two punch' for Chicago Bears. This implies that they are two of the best prospects in the draft when there is no evidence to support this claim. Secondly, the article quotes Jayden Daniels without disclosing any sources or providing context about his college performance beyond his sack rate which does not give a complete picture of his abilities as a quarterback. Thirdly, PFF's 2024 NFL Draft Guide is mentioned but no information on how it was created or who the authors are provided.
                        • Jayden Daniels
                        • Caleb Williams and Brock Bowers
                      • Fallacies (75%)
                        The article contains several logical fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that PFF grades are reliable and accurate without providing any evidence or context for their reliability. Additionally, the author makes a false dilemma by suggesting that either the Bears should have selected Maye at No. 1 overall instead of Williams or they should not have reset at the quarterback position altogether.
                        • The article states that PFF grades are reliable and accurate without providing any evidence or context for their reliability.
                      • Bias (85%)
                        The author demonstrates bias by disproportionately quoting statistics that reflect negatively on Jayden Daniels and positively on other quarterback prospects. The author also uses language to depict Daniels as extreme or unreasonable.
                        • `Drake Maye gives them a better chance at finding a franchise signal-caller`
                          • `Jayden Daniels took a sack on 24.5% of his pressured dropbacks in college, which is a scarily high number`
                          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                            Gordon McGuinness has conflicts of interest on the topics of Caleb Williams and Brock Bowers as he is a writer for PFF's NFL Draft Guide.
                            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                              The author has conflicts of interest on the topics of Caleb Williams and Brock Bowers.

                              60%

                              • Unique Points
                                • Caleb Williams is at the top of most mock drafts
                                • Justin Fields is also being rumored to be traded as the draft gets closer.
                                • `Jaquan Maye` didn't work out at the combine but received positive feedback from team sources regarding his interviews and work on the whiteboard. He is projected to be selected by the Lions with the third overall pick
                                • The top receivers are not in consensus order, but Jaxon Smith-Nabers is considered ultra-explosive and can work all three levels. He is projected to be selected by the Cardinals with the fourth overall pick
                              • Accuracy
                                • Caleb Williams is at the top of most mock drafts, including USA Today's latest projections. He won't be throwing at the Scouting Combine but has years of tape on him from his time in Southern California.
                              • Deception (30%)
                                The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that some of the biggest names in the 2024 NFL Draft are skipping the combine process when in fact only four players have been mentioned and none of them are considered big names.
                                • Fallacies (85%)
                                  The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the players are at the top of most mock drafts without providing any evidence or reasoning for this claim.
                                  • > Washington Commanders – Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina <br> Some of the biggest names in the 2024 NFL Draft are skipping the combine process. Quarterbacks Caleb Williams of USC and Jayden Daniels of LSU as well as wide receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. (Ohio State) and Malik Nabers (LSU) will not be participating.
                                  • > Middlehurst-Schwartz: "Asked on 'The St. Brown Brothers' podcast about the rumors of a possible trade involving him, Justin Fields said, 'IƔm tired of hearing the talk. I just want it to be over.ᩞ<br> Maybe the end is near, as it would certainly make sense for the Bears and a potential trade partner to have a clear picture of their assets before free agency begins in a couple of weeks.
                                  • > Davis: "Though moving the selection would doubtless...
                                • Bias (100%)
                                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                  The author of the article has a conflict of interest with regards to QBs and mock drafts as they are part of USA TODAY'S coverage. The site also covers NFL teams such as the Chicago Bears and Carolina Panthers which could further influence their reporting on these topics.
                                  • The author is an employee of USA TODAY, a company that has financial ties to the NFL through its ownership by Gannett Media Partners.
                                  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                    The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of NFL mock drafts as they are reporting on their own projections.