Asian Markets Decline Amidst Political Risks and Anticipated Inflation Data: RBA Discusses Rate Hike, BOJ Ponders Interest Rate Increase, and China Reports Fiscal Revenue Drop

Melbourne, Australia, Victoria, Australia Australia
Asia-Pacific markets declined on June 24, 2024 due to political risks and anticipated inflation data.
BOJ considered raising interest rates after economic indicators confirm rebound in inflation and increase in medium to long-term inflation expectations.
China reported a 2.8% fall in fiscal revenue for the first five months of 2024 compared to 2023, with a 3.2% year-on-year decline for May alone.
RBA discussed hiking rates at last meeting.
Technology stocks, specifically Nvidia shares, were in the spotlight.
Asian Markets Decline Amidst Political Risks and Anticipated Inflation Data: RBA Discusses Rate Hike, BOJ Ponders Interest Rate Increase, and China Reports Fiscal Revenue Drop

Asia-Pacific markets experienced a decline on Monday, June 24, 2024, as investors prepared for a week filled with political risks and inflation data from various countries. The Australian and Japanese consumer price index readings were highly anticipated after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) discussed hiking rates at its last meeting.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.65%, while Japan's Nikkei 225 was up 0.24% and the Topix rose by 0.26%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index dropped by 1.1%, and mainland China's CSI 300 lost 0.5%. South Korea's Kospi dipped by 0.82%, and the small-cap Kosdaq was down by 1.08%. In the United States, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all saw slight movements.

The Bank of Japan revealed it discussed raising interest rates during its June monetary policy meeting but stated that any change in policy should only be considered after economic indicators confirm a clear rebound in inflation and an increase in medium to long-term inflation expectations. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reportedly told the country's parliament that the central bank could raise rates as soon as its July meeting.

China reported a 2.8% fall in fiscal revenue for the first five months of 2024 compared to 2023, widening from a 2.7% year-on-year fall from January to April. For May alone, fiscal revenue was down by 3.2% year on year.

Technology stocks continued to be in the spotlight as Nvidia shares declined for a second day after hitting an all-time high on Thursday and closing more than 3% lower.

Traders were also preparing for key political events such as the first UK prime ministerial debate, US presidential debate, French legislative election, and various speeches from central bank officials including Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, and Fed Governor Christopher Waller.

Asian markets remained cautious amidst ongoing political risks and inflation data releases. The Japanese yen was trading below 160 per dollar as top currency official Masato Kanda stated that authorities were ready to intervene to support it if needed.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • Are there any other significant factors contributing to the decline in Asian markets?
  • Is the decline in Asian markets solely due to political risks and anticipated inflation data?

Sources

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Australia's May consumer price index reading will be released on Wednesday.
    • , Australia's Reserve Bank discussed hiking rates at its last meeting.
    • , The RBA has two inflation readings to consider before its next meeting on Aug. 6.
  • Accuracy
    • The RBA has two inflation readings to consider before its next meeting on Aug. 6.
    • Japan's Governor Kazuo Ueda reportedly told the country’s parliament that the central bank could raise rates as soon as its July meeting.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Asian equities fell on June 24, 2024.
    • Traders prepared for a week of political risks and inflation data.
  • Accuracy
    • Japanese yen was trading below 160 per dollar.
    • The Bank of Japan discussed raising interest rates during its June monetary policy meeting.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

92%

  • Unique Points
    • Chinese officials warned of a potential trade war with the EU and were considering retaliatory tariffs against imports of European automobiles.
    • Losses in Hong Kong were also driven by declines in heavyweight technology stocks.
  • Accuracy
    • Chinese markets were nursing extended losses after the European Union imposed steep tariffs on imports of Chinese electric vehicles.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • BNY Mellon head of markets strategy and insights Savage expects the US dollar trading direction to set the tone for fiscal risks.
    • Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson believes the ongoing policy mix of heavy fiscal spending and tight interest rate policy is unsustainable, leading to a correction for some stocks.
  • Accuracy
    • Asian stocks are slipping as traders await inflation data and political risks.
    • The Federal Reserve’s favored inflation yardsticks are expected to show the tamest monthly advances since late last year, potentially paving the way for interest rate cuts.
    • Australia’s May consumer price index reading will be released on Wednesday.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication