Avian Flu Spreads Among Dairy Cattle: Concerns Over Human Transmission and Data Gaps

Jackson, Warren, Michigan United States of America
At least 94 herds of dairy cattle in 12 states have tested positive for avian flu.
CDC and Politico report the spread among dairy cattle poses a greater risk of human transmission due to increased opportunity for virus mutation.
Former government health officials express concern about lack of data on avian flu spread in dairy herds.
High levels of H5 influenza A virus found in wastewater, indicating potential wider spread than reported.
Michigan is a national hotspot for highly pathogenic avian influenza virus despite no known outbreaks among dairy cows or people this year.
Avian Flu Spreads Among Dairy Cattle: Concerns Over Human Transmission and Data Gaps

In recent weeks, there have been growing concerns about the spread of avian flu among dairy cattle in the United States. According to various sources, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and Politico, at least 94 herds across 12 states have tested positive for bird flu. However, only a fraction of the nation's nine million dairy cattle have been tested.

The rapid spread of avian flu among dairy cattle poses a greater risk of human transmission due to the increased opportunity for the virus to mutate. Marisa Eisenberg, an expert at the University of Michigan, expressed her concerns about Michigan being a national hotspot for highly pathogenic avian influenza virus despite having no known outbreaks among dairy cows or people this year.

Researchers are still trying to understand why samples from all six of Michigan's wastewater testing sites show high levels of the H5 influenza A virus, even in areas like Jackson and Warren where there are no known outbreaks. The presence of the virus in wastewater could indicate that it is spreading more widely than currently reported.

Former government health officials have expressed concern about the lack of data on avian flu spread in dairy herds. They argue that relying on individual farmers to help track the spread of the virus is leaving the federal government without sufficient information to understand and slow its spread.

The CDC is currently tracing the spillover from birds to cows, but additional data could reveal other spillover events. Doctors have also expressed concern about the limited availability of bird flu tests for potential cases.

According to a report published on Wednesday, infected dairy cows can show symptoms like disorientation, inability to fly, trouble breathing and tremors or death. Infected terns seemed disoriented and unable to fly. Elephant seal pups had trouble breathing and developed tremors after catching the virus. Infected cats went blind, walking in circles; two-thirds of them died.

It's important to note that the current strain of H5N1 virus causes mild symptoms in humans such as eye infections, cough, and nasal discharge. However, barn cats that drink raw milk from sick cows are at risk of developing neurological symptoms, eye and nose discharge, and death.

The mutation of the virus is a cause for concern as it could potentially become easier to jump to additional humans. The USDA and CDC are currently working on containing the spread of bird flu among dairy cattle herds. It's crucial that they continue their efforts to gather more data and understand the full extent of this issue.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • What is causing high levels of H5 influenza A virus in wastewater in areas with no known outbreaks?
  • Why are only a fraction of the nation's nine million dairy cattle being tested?

Sources

97%

  • Unique Points
    • H5N1 virus has been rapidly gaining new hosts in animals
    • Accumulating evidence suggests that H5N1 may not be benign if it begins to spread among people
    • Infected animals such as dairy cows, terns, elephant seal pups and cats have shown symptoms like disorientation, inability to fly, trouble breathing and tremors or death
  • Accuracy
    • ]Three farmworkers in the US have had mild symptoms after being infected with H5N1 virus[
    • ]The virus has been circulating since late 2023 and officials are unsure of its spread due to limited testing and participation from farmers.[
    • ]About 45 exposed and symptomatic humans have been tested for avian flu.[
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

93%

  • Unique Points
    • Bird flu, specifically H5N1, has been detected in 92 dairy cattle herds across 12 states.
    • Doctors express concern about the limited availability of bird flu tests for potential cases.
    • The CDC is currently tracing the spillover from birds to cows, but additional data could reveal other spillover events.
  • Accuracy
    • Three U.S. dairy farm workers have had confirmed infections that were mild.
    • The virus has been circulating since late 2023 and officials are unsure of its spread due to limited testing and participation from farmers.
    • Experts believe there may be undetected cases among cows and humans.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (75%)
    The article contains a few informal fallacies and appeals to authority. It does not contain any formal logical fallacies according to the analysis rules provided.
    • . . . we're not getting high marks.
    • Doctors say limited availability of bird flu tests could also make it difficult to detect potential cases who show up in their offices.
    • There are key differences between the initial COVID and H5N1 responses, said CDC principal deputy director Nirav Shah.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Avian flu is spreading rapidly among dairy cows in the US.
    • Former government health officials express concern about the lack of data on avian flu spread in dairy herds.
    • The virus's spread among dairy cows increases the opportunity for it to mutate and potentially infect humans.
    • As of now, 94 herds across 12 states have tested positive for bird flu, but only a fraction of the nation's nine million dairy cattle have been tested.
  • Accuracy
    • Three farmworkers in the US have had mild symptoms after being infected with H5N1 virus.
    • As of now, 94 herds across 12 states have tested positive for bird flu, but only a fraction of the nation’s nine million dairy cattle have been tested.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

99%

  • Unique Points
    • Michigan is a national hot spot for the highly pathogenic avian influenza virus.
    • H5 influenza A virus was detected in all six of Michigan’s wastewater testing sites.
    • Three farmworkers in Michigan have been identified as having the H5N1 virus.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

81%

  • Unique Points
    • Highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) virus has been circulating in the US since January 2022 and globally since 2021.
    • Michigan had high levels of H5 influenza detected at every site it tested, even in places without known cattle herd infections.
    • Jackson and Warren wastewater treatment plants had the highest number of H5 influenza detections statewide with 10 and 5 respectively, but neither city has identified any dairy cattle outbreaks.
    • The current strain of H5N1 virus causes mild symptoms in humans such as eye infections, cough, and nasal discharge.
    • Barn cats that drink raw milk from sick cows are at risk of developing neurological symptoms, eye and nose discharge, and death.
  • Accuracy
    • Three known human cases of the virus in farmworkers in the US this year, all with mild illness and full recovery.
    • Wastewater testing can give the first clue to widespread infection in a community but doesn’t reveal exactly where the virus is coming from or whether it’s people or animals that are infected.
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it focuses on the high levels of H5N1 bird flu detected in Michigan's wastewater without mentioning that only six states had detections and Michigan was the only state with high levels at each of its testing sites. The author also uses emotional manipulation by stating 'what little we know about how widespread the infections actually are' and 'the more the virus spreads, the greater chance it has to mutate to become better at infecting people'. These statements create a sense of fear and urgency without providing any concrete evidence.
    • What has scientists and researchers worried, however, is that the virus is increasingly spilling over to infect other animals...and how little we know about how widespread the infections actually are.
    • The more the virus spreads, the greater chance it has to mutate to become better at infecting people...
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes several appeals to authority by mentioning the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Stanford University's WastewaterSCAN, and the Michigan chief medical executive without providing any context or criticism of their findings or expertise. Additionally, there are instances of inflammatory rhetoric such as 'what scientists and researchers worried', 'how little we know about how widespread the infections actually are', and 'potentially making humans sicker'. These statements do not provide any new information or evidence, but rather attempt to elicit an emotional response from the reader.
    • What has scientists and researchers worried, however, is that the virus is increasingly spilling over to infect other animals...
    • But without more precise and refined testing, samples from a wastewater treatment plant with a large catchment area don’t reveal exactly where the virus is coming from or show whether it’s people or cows, other creatures, (or all of them) that are infected.
    • Following are details of the known human cases so far:...
    • In April 2022, a Colorado farm worker who culled poultry suspected of being infected with the H5N1 flu virus reported feeling fatigue for several days. The person tested positive for the virus and was isolated and also treated with a flu antiviral drug. This was a case of bird-to-human transmission.
    • At Last Stop Animal Rescue and Sanctuary in Carleton, Vinnie, a feral cat, keeps close watch of the barn’s activities.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication