Multiple Rounds of Severe Weather Headed for Central US: Tornadoes, Large Hail, and Wind Damage Expected in Plains and Midwest Regions

United States of America
Areas including Des Moines, Omaha, Kansas City in Missouri, Wichita in Kansas, Oklahoma City and Dallas in Oklahoma at risk for Thursday-Friday with at least a Level 2 out of 5 risk of severe weather
Central US braces for multiple rounds of severe weather starting late this week
First round expected to bring tornadoes, large hail, and wind damage to Plains and Midwest regions on Thursday-Friday
Jet stream disturbance tracking from Rockies into Plains causing daily bouts of severe weather
May is most active month for tornados in US with 275-300 tornados typically occurring
Second round expected this weekend with same regions being affected and expansion to include parts of Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Missouri, Kansas and Oklahoma
There have been 10% more tornado reports than average in 2024 with a total of 341 reported as of April
Multiple Rounds of Severe Weather Headed for Central US: Tornadoes, Large Hail, and Wind Damage Expected in Plains and Midwest Regions

Central United States Braces for Multiple Rounds of Severe Weather Starting Late This Week

The central United States is gearing up for multiple rounds of severe weather starting late this week, with two systems moving into the region. The first round is expected to bring tornadoes, large hail, and wind damage to the Plains and Midwest regions on Thursday-Friday.

According to various meteorological sources including The Weather Channel's Chris Dolce and NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, a jet stream disturbance will track from the Rockies into the Plains, causing daily bouts of severe weather. This setup is typical for springtime in the central US.

The first round of severe weather is expected to affect areas including Des Moines, Omaha and Kansas City in Missouri, Wichita in Kansas, Oklahoma City and Dallas in Oklahoma. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has highlighted Thursday-Friday as having at least a Level 2 out of 5 risk of severe weather.

The second round is expected to occur this weekend, with the same regions being affected. The threat expands to include parts of Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Missouri, Kansas and Oklahoma.

May is the most active month for tornados in the US with 275-300 tornados typically occurring. According to various sources including FOX Weather's Robert Ray and NASA's Voyager 1 spacecraft resuming data transmission from interstellar space, there have been 10% more tornado reports than average in 2024 with a total of 341 reported as of April.

Stay tuned for updates on this developing story.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Exact number of tornados that have occurred in 2024 as of April
  • Precise location and timing of tornados in upcoming rounds

Sources

99%

  • Unique Points
    • Threat of severe weather in central US starting late this week
    • Two rounds of severe thunderstorms expected
    • Large hail, wind damage, and tornadoes are threats
    • First round expected Thursday-Friday in Plains and Midwest regions
    • Second round expected this weekend in same regions
    • Jet stream disturbances will track from Rockies into Plains causing daily bouts of severe weather
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Severe thunderstorms will return to the central US late this week.
    • Two systems are moving into the central US region.
  • Accuracy
    • Threat of severe weather in central US starting late this week
    • Two rounds of severe thunderstorms expected
    • Large hail, wind damage, and tornadoes are threats
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • A low-end severe weather threat is expected in Oklahoma and Texas as early as Wednesday.
    • Rainy weather is expected in a swath stretching from Maine to the mid-Atlantic starting Tuesday night, with the most widespread rain occurring on Wednesday.
    • A monstrous storm caused extensive damage in Rock Hill, South Carolina over the weekend with softball-sized hail.
  • Accuracy
    • The risk zone for severe weather will expand to include at least eight states by Friday.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • Severe weather threat hitting Midwest and Plains starting Thursday, affecting Wichita, Kansas, Wichita Falls, Texas and Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
    • May is the most active month for tornados in the US with 275-300 tornados typically occurring.
    • There have been 10% more tornado reports than average in 2024 with a total of 341 reported as of April.
  • Accuracy
    • Severe weather threat starting Thursday in Wichita, Kansas, Wichita Falls, Texas and Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
    • Threat expands on Friday to include parts of Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • Expansive zones are expected on Friday spanning from Des Moines, Omaha, Kansas City to Wichita, Oklahoma City and Dallas.
    • An above-average number of tornadoes are being forecasted for May.
    • A pronounced dip in the jet stream will lead to disturbances or shortwaves swinging around it and ejecting onto the Plains forming storms.
    • On Thursday, a few isolated thunderstorms will develop on a dryline stretching from the Texas Panhandle to southwest Kansas with potential for large hail and wind damage and an isolated tornado threat.
    • On Friday, scattered thunderstorms are expected in the afternoon across North Texas to the lower Missouri Valley with a slightly greater risk of tornadoes.
    • A big storm system moving in from the Pacific is expected to spark the next big severe weather outbreak around April 26-29.
  • Accuracy
    • The upcoming severe weather threat in the United States is expected to begin on Thursday and last through the weekend.
    • Two rounds of severe thunderstorms are expected.
    • Large hail, wind damage, and tornadoes are threats.
    • Thursday's risk area covers parts of Texas Panhandle, western Oklahoma, and southwestern Kansas.
    • An above-average number of tornadoes are being forecasted for May.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication