China's Unexpected Trade Surplus of $99 Billion in June: Imports Decrease, Exports Rise Amid Global Concerns

Qingdao, Shangdong, Shangdong China
China experienced a record monthly trade surplus of over $99 billion in June.
China's trade with ASEAN surged by 7.1%, EU's trade with China fell both in terms of imports and exports.
Decline in imports was driven by decrease in rare earths, meat, cosmetics products and machine tools but increase in iron ore and oil.
Exports of cars rose by 18% last month.
Factories are racing to catch up with global demand after Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai.
Imports decreased by 2.3% and exports rose by 8.6%.
Record trade surplus raised concerns among foreign governments leading to tariffs on Chinese goods.
China's Unexpected Trade Surplus of $99 Billion in June: Imports Decrease, Exports Rise Amid Global Concerns

China's imports unexpectedly decreased by 2.3% in June from the previous year, while exports rose by 8.6%, resulting in a record monthly trade surplus of over $99 billion according to customs data released on July 12, 2024.

The decline in imports was driven by a decrease in China's imports of rare earths, meat, cosmetics products and machine tools. However, imports of iron ore and oil grew during the first half of the year. Exports of cars rose by 18% in volume last month from the same period last year.

China's trade with its major trading partners such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, European Union and US saw mixed results in the first six months of 2024. While China's trade with ASEAN surged by 7.1%, EU's trade with China fell, both in terms of imports and exports.

China's factories have been racing to catch up with global demand after a stringent Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai had crippled output throughout much of central China. Millions of people in China are looking for ways to save money due to falling apartment prices, which represent 60 to 80 percent of household savings, an unusually large proportion by international standards.

The record trade surplus has raised concerns among foreign governments about the impact on their economies and industries. Officials in the US, European Union, Brazil and India have been imposing tariffs or increasing existing ones on Chinese goods to protect their domestic industries.

China's exports of furniture, home appliances, ships and cars grew in the first half of 2024. However, exports of rare earths fell in terms of value but rose in volume. China's imports and exports with Brazil grew rapidly during the same period.

The National Bureau of Statistics is scheduled to release second-quarter Gross Domestic Product figures and economic indicators for June on Monday.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • Are there any specific reasons for the decrease in imports of rare earths, meat, cosmetics products and machine tools?
  • What is the exact reason for the increase in exports of cars?

Sources

95%

  • Unique Points
    • China's factories and households became more cautious about spending money leading to a decrease in imports
    • Millions of people in China are looking for ways to save money due to falling apartment prices which represent 60 to 80 percent of household savings, an unusually large proportion by international standards.
    • Chinese factories and ports were racing to catch up with global demand after a stringent Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai had crippled output throughout much of central China.
  • Accuracy
    • China's exports surged in June 2024
    • Imports shrank in China in June 2024
    • Record monthly trade surplus of over $99 billion was reported by China’s customs administration on July 12, 2024
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The article contains an appeal to authority when it states that 'officials around the world worry that exports from China will displace their own industrial output, forcing factories to close and hurting economic growth.' This is an appeal to authority because it relies on the assumption that these officials have valid concerns without providing any evidence or reasoning as to why this is the case. Additionally, there are some instances of inflammatory rhetoric such as 'hurting economic growth' and 'forcing factories to close,' which can be seen as attempting to elicit an emotional response from the reader. However, these instances do not significantly impact the overall score due to their limited use.
    • officials around the world worry that exports from China will displace their own industrial output, forcing factories to close and hurting economic growth.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • China's imports of rare earths, meat, cosmetics products and machine tools fell sharply in the first half of the year.
    • Imports of iron ore and oil grew during that time.
    • Exports of cars rose by 18% in volume last month from the year-ago period.
  • Accuracy
    • China's imports fell by 2.3% in June from a year ago in U.S. dollar terms.
    • Imports missed expectations for slight growth of 2.8%.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • China's exports surged in June 2024
    • Imports shrank in China in June 2024
    • Record monthly trade surplus of over $99 billion was reported by China’s customs administration on July 12, 2024
  • Accuracy
    • China's trade surplus reached a record high in the previous month
    • Imports decreased unexpectedly
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication