College football's expanded 12-team playoff format, set to debut in the 2024 season, has encountered a potential issue: first-round conference rematches. According to reports from Yahoo Sports and ESPN, this problem could arise due to the recent wave of conference realignment and the larger size of some leagues.
The FBS commissioners ran simulations based on the 2022 season rankings, revealing an estimated seven first-round conference rematches over a decade. While fans generally dislike these matchups, there is currently no rule preventing them in the current format. One possible solution could be implementing a rule similar to that of the NCAA basketball tournament, which requires first-round games to feature teams from separate conferences.
Despite this issue, Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark remains confident in his conference's future and its ability to compete with the financial powerhouses like the Big Ten and SEC. The expansion of the Big 12 to include former Pac-12 schools Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, and Utah is expected to strengthen the conference.
The College Football Playoff selection committee will have a challenging task in avoiding these rematches while maintaining fairness and value in the regular season by rewarding conference champions. The first round of CFP has seen several instances of conference matchups: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (2014), Georgia vs. Florida (2018), and Baylor vs. Oklahoma State (2021).
The expanded playoff format aims to keep the value in the regular season by rewarding conference champions, but challenges may arise with top 4 ranked teams that did not win their conference championships and Group of Five champion's inclusion pushing out power league teams ranked higher than it. The CFP selection committee will have a significant role in addressing these issues.