Potential Conference Rematches in Expanded College Football Playoff: A Challenge for the Selection Committee

Irving, Texas, Texas United States of America
Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark confident in his conference's future and ability to compete with financial powerhouses.
CFP selection committee faces challenge of avoiding first-round conference rematches while maintaining fairness and value.
College football's expanded 12-team playoff format may result in first-round conference rematches due to recent conference realignment.
Seven potential first-round conference rematches estimated over a decade.
Potential Conference Rematches in Expanded College Football Playoff: A Challenge for the Selection Committee

College football's expanded 12-team playoff format, set to debut in the 2024 season, has encountered a potential issue: first-round conference rematches. According to reports from Yahoo Sports and ESPN, this problem could arise due to the recent wave of conference realignment and the larger size of some leagues.

The FBS commissioners ran simulations based on the 2022 season rankings, revealing an estimated seven first-round conference rematches over a decade. While fans generally dislike these matchups, there is currently no rule preventing them in the current format. One possible solution could be implementing a rule similar to that of the NCAA basketball tournament, which requires first-round games to feature teams from separate conferences.

Despite this issue, Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark remains confident in his conference's future and its ability to compete with the financial powerhouses like the Big Ten and SEC. The expansion of the Big 12 to include former Pac-12 schools Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, and Utah is expected to strengthen the conference.

The College Football Playoff selection committee will have a challenging task in avoiding these rematches while maintaining fairness and value in the regular season by rewarding conference champions. The first round of CFP has seen several instances of conference matchups: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (2014), Georgia vs. Florida (2018), and Baylor vs. Oklahoma State (2021).

The expanded playoff format aims to keep the value in the regular season by rewarding conference champions, but challenges may arise with top 4 ranked teams that did not win their conference championships and Group of Five champion's inclusion pushing out power league teams ranked higher than it. The CFP selection committee will have a significant role in addressing these issues.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • Is the estimated number of seven first-round conference rematches accurate?
  • Will the NCAA basketball tournament rule be effective in preventing first-round conference rematches?

Sources

93%

  • Unique Points
    • Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark expressed dissatisfaction with the league’s revenue distribution plan from the College Football Playoff but remains confident in the future of the conference.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (80%)
    The author expresses her opinion about the Big 12 commissioner's unhappiness with the CFP revenue plan but also acknowledges that she was satisfied with it. This is an example of editorializing and pontification, which is a form of deception by presenting her personal feelings as facts. The author also uses emotional manipulation by implying that the Big 12 teams have to perform at a higher level to receive more revenue, creating a sense of urgency and pressure on the teams.
    • But we’re going to continue to invest for the right reasons.
    • I certainly wasn’t happy with the distribution. I guess you could say in some respects I was satisfied. It was fine.
    • It wouldn’t be a bad thing to just play it out this year, but I’m just one of many. We’ll collectively make that decision.
    • We spend a lot of time talking strategically about the direction of collegiate athletics and what’s in the best interest of everyone.
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

82%

  • Unique Points
    • The Big 12 conference is expanding to include former Pac-12 schools Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, and Utah.
    • Despite losing their flagship schools with recent national championship pedigree, Texas and Oklahoma, the Big 12 still has a chance to be a strong and deep conference.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (30%)
    The article makes editorializing statements and uses emotional manipulation by implying that the Big 12 is at a disadvantage due to the departure of Oklahoma and Texas. The author also engages in selective reporting by focusing on the revenue distribution in the CFP and ignoring other factors such as team performance. Additionally, there are instances of sensationalism with phrases like 'demise of the Pac-12' and 'bigger bank accounts automatically means better football teams'.
    • For the non-Florida State, Clemson and Miami schools in the ACC, the conference already being viewed as a less-than is disconcerting because they are already at a perception disadvantage.
    • When you look at the first 10 years of the CFP, we didn’t perform probably as well as we would have liked. That’s OK. History might not repeat itself.
    • The Big 10 and SEC have already established something of a pecking order.
    • Instead of a Power Five, college football now has a ‘Big Two,’ with the expanded SEC, now home to the Sooners and Longhorns, and Big Ten at the top of the pack.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several instances of Appeals to Authority fallacies. The author quotes multiple individuals making statements about the perceived value or importance of certain conferences based on their revenue and historical performance in the College Football Playoff. These statements are used to support the narrative that bigger bank accounts mean better football teams, without providing any evidence or logical reasoning beyond the authority of those quoted.
    • Instead of a Power Five, college football now has a “Big Two,” with the expanded SEC, now home to the Sooners and Longhorns, and Big Ten at the top of the pack.
    • You’re kind of either labeled as one of the haves, one of the have-nots.
    • When you look at the first 10 years of the CFP, we didn’t perform probably as well as we would have liked. That’s OK. History might not repeat itself.
    • The Big Ten and SEC have already established something of a pecking order.
    • You always want your program to be judged by the merits, not by the geography.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

100%

  • Unique Points
    • College football decision makers have identified a potential issue with the expanded 12-team playoff format: first-round conference rematches.
    • According to Yahoo Sports, there were estimated to be seven first-round conference rematches over the 10 years of the proposed playoff format.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

84%

  • Unique Points
    • The College Football Playoff (CFP) is expanding to a 12-team format for the 2024 season.
    • Despite losing their flagship schools with recent national championship pedigree, Texas and Oklahoma, the Big 12 still has a chance to be a strong and deep conference.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (50%)
    The article discusses the potential issues with the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff format, specifically focusing on the lack of a protocol to avoid first-round rematches. While not explicitly stating opinions or using emotional manipulation, the author expresses his disapproval of rematches in the first round and suggests that they are unnecessary. The article also mentions some potential problems with seeding and conference representation, but these issues are not directly related to deception.
    • Such a protocol is necessary because modeling shows that this format, combined with realignment moves, produces a lot of rematches.
    • But for the most part, it is.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article highlights some valid concerns with the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff system such as the lack of a protocol to avoid first-round rematches and potential issues with seeding and automatic qualifying spots for conference champions. However, it also includes<dummy00006> Fallacies: Dichotomous Depiction (Black and White Thinking) in describing the problems with the new format, Appeals to Authority (using the opinions of commissioners as evidence) and Inflammatory Rhetoric ('Don’t give us a sequel in the first round. Save that for later.').
    • The article argues that there is no CFP protocol on avoiding first-round rematches, which it presents as a major problem with the new format.
    • The article cites opinions of commissioners to support its concerns about rematches and seeding issues in the expanded playoff system.
    • The author uses inflammatory language when stating, 'Don’t give us a sequel in the first round. Save that for later.' This is an appeal to emotion rather than a logical argument.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

79%

  • Unique Points
    • Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark is pushing back against the narrative that bigger bank accounts automatically mean better football teams in the conference.
    • Despite losing their flagship schools with recent national championship pedigree, Texas and Oklahoma, the Big 12 still has a chance to be a strong and deep conference.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains selective reporting and editorializing. The author focuses on the perceived disparity in revenue distribution between the Big Ten, SEC, Big 12, and ACC in the expanded College Football Playoff (CFP), implying that this will negatively impact the performance of teams from these conferences. However, no facts or data are provided to support this claim. The author also quotes coaches expressing their concerns about being labeled as 'have-nots' and feeling slighted by the CFP selection committee, further perpetuating a negative narrative without providing any evidence of deception or wrongdoing.
    • The demise of the Pac-12 prompted a change in the 12-team format before it even went into effect from six conference champions being guaranteed a spot in the field to five.
    • When you look at the first 10 years of the CFP, we didn’t perform probably as well as we would have liked. That’s OK. History might not repeat itself.
    • Sometimes I think anytime a non-traditional power in a power conference has success, it’s easier to discredit the league than to credit the team.
    • You’re kind of either labeled as one of the haves, one of the have-nots.
    • Instead of a Power Five, college football now has a ‘Big Two,' with the expanded SEC, now home to the Sooners and Longhorns, and Big Ten at the top of the pack.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes an appeal to authority when quoting Sonny Dykes and Dave Clawson stating 'You're kind of either labeled as one of the haves, one of the have-nots.' and 'Sometimes I think anytime a non-traditional power in a power conference has success, it's easier to discredit the league than to credit the team.' These statements are not fallacies in themselves but when used by Dykes and Clawson they are expressing their opinions, which the author is presenting as facts. This is an appeal to authority fallacy. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric when stating 'Instead of a Power Five, college football now has a “Big Two,” with the expanded SEC, now home to the Sooners and Longhorns, and Big Ten at the top of the pack.' This statement is an oversimplification and creates a dichotomy between two conferences which may not be accurate.
    • ][The author] Instead of a Power Five, college football now has a “Big Two,” with the expanded SEC, now home to the Sooners and Longhorns, and Big Ten at the top of the pack.[/]
  • Bias (95%)
    The article does not demonstrate any clear bias towards a specific political, religious, ideological or monetary position. However, the author does use language that implies a perceived disadvantage for certain conferences and teams in relation to others based on their financial resources and historical success. This could be seen as implying that bigger bank accounts do not always mean better football teams, which is the main focus of the article.
    • For the non-Florida State, Clemson and Miami schools in the ACC, the conference already being viewed as a less-than is disconcerting because they are already at an perception disadvantage.
      • Instead of a Power Five, college football now has a “Big Two,” with the expanded SEC, now home to the Sooners and Longhorns, and Big Ten at the top of the pack.
        • The Big 10 and SEC have already established something of a pecking order.
        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication