Disney Turns Profit in Streaming Business Amidst Q2 Earnings Growth and CEO Succession Uncertainty

Burbank, California, California United States of America
Disney reported better-than-expected profits for its second quarter in May 2024.
Disney's Q2 earnings report showed an increase in subscriber additions and higher average revenue per user (ARPU) for its streaming services.
Disney's theme parks segment faced challenges during the quarter due to global moderation from peak post-COVID travel.
The company attributed this growth to price hikes, strong content offerings, and the addition of ESPN+ to Disney+ bundles.
The company's streaming business, which includes Disney+ and Hulu, turned a profit for the first time.
Disney Turns Profit in Streaming Business Amidst Q2 Earnings Growth and CEO Succession Uncertainty

Disney, the media and entertainment giant, reported better-than-expected profits for its second quarter in May 2024. The company's streaming business, which includes Disney+ and Hulu, turned a profit for the first time. However, Disney is expected to have losses in the third quarter due to a seasonal slowdown in subscriber additions and added expenses related to cricket rights in India.

Disney's Q2 earnings report showed an increase in subscriber additions and higher average revenue per user (ARPU) for its streaming services. The company attributed this growth to price hikes, strong content offerings, and the addition of ESPN+ to Disney+ bundles. However, Disney also reported a decline in revenues from its legacy TV business due to advertising losses.

Despite these positive signs, Disney's stock dropped sharply following the earnings report. Analysts cited concerns over the company's streaming business profitability and uncertainty surrounding succession planning at the top executive level. Bob Iger, who has led Disney since 2005, is expected to step down as CEO in the coming months.

One potential frontrunner for the CEO role is Dana Walden, who currently heads Disney Television Studios and ABC Entertainment. However, nothing is set in stone yet.

Disney's theme parks segment also faced challenges during the quarter due to global moderation from peak post-COVID travel. The company expects similar operating income for its experiences segment in the third quarter compared to the prior year, which implies operating income around $300 million below current forecasts.

Despite these challenges, Disney raised its full-year earnings growth guidance to 25% from 20%. Analysts remain bullish on Disney's long-term prospects as it transitions to a streaming-focused business model.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Are there any non-peer reviewed studies or unverified sources used in the article?

Sources

86%

  • Unique Points
    • Disney now expects fiscal third-quarter experiences operating income to be similar to the prior year, implying operating income around $300 million below current forecasts
    • Investors are still looking for clarity on succession planning, with Dana Walden being the frontrunner for the CEO role but nothing set in stone
  • Accuracy
    • Disney reported mixed fiscal second-quarter earnings
    • Disney narrowed its streaming loss to $18 million and reached a $47 million profit when excluding ESPN
    • Disney's streaming division will be in the black in the fiscal fourth quarter
    • Disney now expects fiscal third-quarter experiences operating income to be similar to the prior year
  • Deception (70%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it focuses on the negative impact of Disney's earnings report on its stock price, while downplaying the positive aspects such as progress towards streaming profitability and increased full-year earnings forecast. The author also uses emotional manipulation by stating that Disney's stock had 'one of the worst days over the past year', creating a sense of urgency and fear for investors.
    • It wasn’t enough to boost bullishness to new heights.
    • Despite healthy demand at parks, we are seeing some evidence of a global moderation from peak post-COVID travel.
    • Disney now expects fiscal third-quarter experiences operating income to be similar to the prior year which implies operating income around $300 million below our current forecast.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author uses an appeal to authority fallacy when quoting analysts and financial experts. For example, 'Many financial experts highlighted the fact that Disney narrowed its streaming loss to $18 million and even reached a $47 million profit when excluding ESPN+, while reiterating that its streaming division will be in the black in the fiscal fourth quarter, as previously promised, and be a 'meaningful future growth driver for the company.' The author is not making any assertions here but rather reporting on what experts are saying. However, by repeating these statements without qualification or criticism, the author implies that these predictions are reliable and trustworthy.
    • ]Many financial experts highlighted the fact that Disney narrowed its streaming loss to $18 million and even reached a $47 million profit when excluding ESPN+, while reiterating that its streaming division will be in the black in the fiscal fourth quarter, as previously promised, and be a 'meaningful future growth driver for the company.'[
    • Disney reported stronger earnings per share and in-line revenues, while forward commentary for the parks was mixed due to higher costs from the new cruise ship (similar to previous launches).
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

87%

  • Unique Points
    • Disney's streaming business turned a profit for the first time in Q2, but is expected to have losses in Q3.
    • Disney reported an increase in Disney+ subscriber additions and higher ARPU.
  • Accuracy
    • Disney narrowed its streaming loss to $18 million and reached a $47 million profit when excluding ESPN+
    • Disney's streaming division will be in the black in the fiscal fourth-quarter.
    • Disney now expects fiscal third-quarter experiences operating income to be similar to the prior year.
  • Deception (70%)
    The article provides financial information about Disney's earnings and business performance. While there is no overt deception in the article, there are instances of selective reporting and emotional manipulation. The author highlights the first-time profitability of Disney's streaming business while downplaying the losses in other segments, creating a misleading impression. Additionally, phrases like 'key priority', 'recent turnaround plan', and 'long-awaited turnaround' are used to evoke positive emotions from readers. However, these phrases do not add any factual information to the article.
    • An important part of its streaming business turned a profit for the first time
    • Investors may view Disney’s tepid outlook for its Experiences business as a negative
    • The forecast highlights Disney's challenges in achieving sustained profitability in streaming
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains a few instances of inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority. It also uses dichotomous depictions in describing Disney's streaming business.
    • soft guidance for entertainment streaming next quarter might tamp enthusiasm
    • Disney's challenges in achieving sustained profitability in streaming
    • In all, though, today's news strengthens Iger's argument that Disney is in the middle of a long-awaited turnaround.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

93%

  • Unique Points
    • Disney reported better-than-expected profits and a slight revenue miss for Q2.
    • Disney raised its full-year earnings growth guidance to 25%.
  • Accuracy
    • Disney's streaming division is expected to be profitable by the fiscal fourth-quarter.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes a dichotomous depiction by presenting Disney's streaming growth as either meeting or falling short of Wall Street's high expectations. This oversimplification ignores the nuances of the situation and contributes to an inflammatory rhetoric surrounding Disney's performance. Additionally, there is an appeal to authority when citing Wall Street analysts who defend the company, implying their opinions hold more weight than others.
    • . . .the stock diving as much as 11% following the earnings report, its worst daily decline in 18 months.
    • But that wasn't enough for Wall Street, with the stock diving as much as 11% following the earnings report, its worst daily decline in 18 months.
    • Disney investors would like the media giant to obtain a Netflix-like valuation multiple given its growing streaming business. But in order for that to happen, Disney would have to deliver incredible Netflix-like execution that's capable of shaking off investor fears about its shrinking legacy TV business.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Disney announced that Disney+ and Hulu were profitable together in the last quarter.
    • Revenues and profits from Disney's division that includes theater ticket sales fell 40% last quarter.
  • Accuracy
    • Disney expects its combined streaming business to be profitable in the fourth fiscal quarter and a ‘meaningful future growth driver for the company’.
    • Disney grew its subscriber base by 6.3 million, bringing the total number of Disney+ subscribers (excluding Disney+ Hotstar subscribers) to 117.6 million last quarter.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication