Fact-Checking the Economic, Immigration, Tax, and Regulation Claims of Trump and Biden's National Conventions Speeches

Milwaukee, Wisconsin United States of America
There is no evidence of a major surge in crime caused by recent arrivals at the southern border, and U.S.-born citizens are over 2 times more likely to be arrested for violent crimes and 2.5 times more likely to be arrested for drug crimes than undocumented immigrants.
Trump claimed he oversaw the biggest regulation cuts ever, but there is no reliable metric on which to judge this claim.
Trump claimed the stock market was higher under his administration than before COVID-19, but it has gone up by 50% under Biden.
Trump made claims about Biden's plans to quadruple taxes, but his latest budget does not include such plans.
Under Biden's administration, annual GDP growth is averaging 3.4%, and the unemployment rate is currently at 4%. Trump stated he oversaw the best economy in US history with an average GDP growth of over 2.5% after inflation during his term.
Fact-Checking the Economic, Immigration, Tax, and Regulation Claims of Trump and Biden's National Conventions Speeches

Former Presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden have made various claims during their speeches at the Republican and Democratic National Conventions regarding the economy, immigration, taxes, and regulation cuts. Let's fact-check some of these statements.

Economy: Trump claimed that he handed over a stock market that was higher than prior to COVID-19. However, under Biden's administration, the S&P 500 index has gone up by 50%. Trump also stated that he oversaw the best economy in US history based on GDP growth, which averaged over 2.5% after inflation during his term. In contrast, under Biden's administration, annual GDP growth is averaging 3.4%, and the unemployment rate is currently at 4%.

Immigration: Trump made claims about a 'massive invasion' at the southern border causing misery, crime, poverty, disease and destruction to communities. However, there is no evidence of a major surge in crime caused by recent arrivals. U.S.-born citizens are over 2 times more likely to be arrested for violent crimes and 2.5 times more likely to be arrested for drug crimes than undocumented immigrants.

Taxes and Regulation Cuts: Trump claimed that he oversaw the biggest regulation cuts ever, but there is no reliable metric on which to judge this claim. Trump also made claims about Biden's plans to quadruple taxes, but his latest budget does not include such plans.

It is important to note that fact-checking requires a thorough analysis of all available evidence and context. The statements made by both presidents during their speeches should be taken with a grain of salt and verified through multiple sources before accepting them as true.


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Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • It is possible that there are other factors contributing to the economic indicators mentioned in the article.
  • The article does not provide specific sources for some of the statistics used.

Sources

85%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Fact check of Trump, others on Day 4 of the Republican National Convention

CBS News Site: https://www.cbsnews.com/articles/about-us/ Laura Doan Friday, 19 July 2024 13:22
  • Unique Points
    • Former President Donald Trump made false claims about having oversaw the best economy in US history based on GDP growth, which averaged over 2.5% after inflation during his term.
    • Former President Donald Trump misled about the unemployment rate being the lowest ever at 3.5% in February 2020.
    • Under President Biden, annual GDP growth is averaging 3.4%, and the unemployment rate is currently at 4%.
    • Around 450 miles of barriers were built at the US southern border during Trump’s term, representing roughly 23% of the total length of the border. Most of these replaced old barriers, and only about 52 miles were new wall constructions.
    • President Biden’s latest budget does not include plans to quadruple taxes as Trump claimed.
    • Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo misleadingly claimed that the US destroyed ISIS and its caliphate, but the group continues to operate in various regions including Afghanistan, Libya and Africa.
    • Chinese surveillance balloons flew over the US at least three times during Trump’s administration despite his claims otherwise.
  • Accuracy
    • The unemployment rate was 3.5% in February 2020, but not the lowest ever as Trump claimed.
    • Under President Biden, annual GDP growth is averaging 3.4%, and the unemployment rate is currently at 4%.
    • Around 450 miles of barriers were built at the US southern border during Trump’s term, representing roughly 23% of the total length of the border. Most of these replaced old barriers, and only about 52 miles were new wall constructions.
  • Deception (70%)
    The article contains multiple instances of exaggeration and misleading statements. While some economic metrics were strong during Trump's presidency, the claims that he oversaw the best economy in history and that he finished building the southern border wall are both misleading or false. Additionally, Trump's claim that the Biden administration wants to quadruple taxes is also false.
    • Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo:
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several instances of false or misleading statements made by former President Donald Trump and other speakers at the Republican National Convention. Some examples include claims about the best economy in history, stock market performance during Trump's presidency, the number of miles of border wall built, and tax policies under Biden's administration. However, no blatant logical fallacies were identified in the article itself.
    • False: It is not true that Trump oversaw the best economy in the history of the U.S. by many of the metrics used to judge economic performance.
    • Misleading: Around 450 miles of barriers were built at the U.S. southern border during Trump's term, representing roughly 23% of the total length of the border.
    • False: President Biden’s latest budget does not include plans to quadruple taxes.
    • False details: The territorial losses [of ISIS] do not mean a full defeat.
  • Bias (80%)
    Laura Doan's article primarily focuses on fact-checking statements made during the Republican National Convention. While she presents facts and provides context for each statement, her tone is neutral and objective. However, there are a few instances where she labels some of the statements as 'False' or 'Misleading'. This could be seen as an expression of bias against false or misleading information. Additionally, the article includes several examples of statements made by Donald Trump that have been fact-checked and labeled as false or misleading. While Doan is simply reporting on these facts, her repeated use of the labels could be perceived as biased against Trump.
    • False What we know: It is not true that Trump oversaw the best economy in the history of the U.S.
      • Misleading Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo: We destroyed ISIS and its caliphate.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      97%

      The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
      (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

      A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

      Dale counted more than 20 false claims in Trump’s RNC speech. Here are a few

      CNN News Site: In-Depth Reporting and Analysis with Some Financial Conflicts and Sensational Language Allison Love Friday, 19 July 2024 04:49
      • Unique Points
        • CNN's Daniel Dale fact-checked former President Donald Trump’s Republican National Convention speech and found it to be remarkably dishonest.
        • The RNC speech by Donald Trump was compelling until he went off the rails, according to some commentators.
        • Former President Donald Trump handed over a stock market that was higher than prior to COVID-19, but the S&P 500 index has gone up 50% under Biden.
        • Trump claimed the biggest regulation cuts ever, but there is no reliable metric on which to judge this claim and many experts dispute it.
        • Former President Donald Trump made claims about a ‘massive invasion’ at the southern border causing misery, crime, poverty, disease and destruction to communities. However, there is no evidence of a major surge in crime caused by recent arrivals.
      • Accuracy
        • CNN’s Daniel Dale fact-checked former President Donald Trump’s Republican National Convention speech and found it to be remarkably dishonest.
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Bias (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      70%

      The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
      (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

      A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

      Fact-checking Trump on Day 4 of the 2024 Republican National Convention

      The Fixing Site: A Summary of the Article. Glenn Kessler Friday, 19 July 2024 05:55
      • Unique Points
        • Trump's tax cut amounted to nearly 0.9% of the gross domestic product, smaller than Reagan’s tax cut in 1981 and two tax cuts passed under Obama.
      • Accuracy
        • Former president Donald Trump handed over a stock market that was higher than prior to COVID-19, but the S&P 500 index has gone up 50% under Biden.
        • Trump’s tax cut amounted to nearly 0.9% of the gross domestic product, smaller than Reagan’s tax cut in 1981 and two tax cuts passed under Obama.
        • Trump claimed the biggest regulation cuts ever, but there is no reliable metric on which to judge this claim and many experts dispute it.
      • Deception (30%)
        The author makes multiple comparisons between Trump's actions and those of previous presidents without providing clear evidence to support his claims. He states that 'There is no reliable metric on which to judge this claim [Trump's biggest regulation cuts] - or to compare him with previous presidents.' This is an example of selective reporting, as the author only reports details that support his position and ignores contradictory evidence. Additionally, the author uses emotional manipulation by describing Trump's speech as 'rambled, often incoherently,' implying a negative opinion of Trump.
        • The biggest regulation cuts ever.
        • The biggest tax cuts ever.
      • Fallacies (85%)
        The author makes several assertions that are not supported by evidence or are misleading. The author asserts that the stock market was higher when Trump left office than before covid, but does not mention that it has gone up even more under Biden. The author also asserts that Trump's tax cuts were the biggest ever, but does not provide any evidence to support this claim and ignores the fact that they were smaller than Reagan's and even some of Obama's tax cuts. The author also asserts that Trump made the biggest regulation cuts ever, but provides no evidence to support this claim and ignores the fact that many experts say the most significant regulatory changes in US history were during Carter's administration.
        • The S&P 500 index gained about 70 percent during his first term. But it has gone up 50 percent under Biden.
      • Bias (80%)
        The author, Glenn Kessler, makes several comparisons between Trump's policies and those of previous presidents in an attempt to discredit Trump's claims. This can be seen as a political bias as the author is presenting information in a way that favors a particular viewpoint (that of Biden and Obama) over another (Trump).
        • But it has gone up 50 percent under Biden.
          • Formore information on the record under Barack Obama, see...
            • Many experts say the most significant regulatory changes in U.S. history were the deregulation of the airline, rail and trucking industries during the Carter administration
              • This is also one of Trump’s favorite falsehoods.
                • Trump’s tax cut amounted to nearly 0.9 percent of the gross domestic product, meaning it was far smaller than President Ronald Reagan’s tax cut in 1981, which was 2.89 percent of GDP.
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication

                83%

                The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
                (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

                A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

                Fact-checking Donald Trump's RNC speech on immigration, the economy, world affairs and more

                ABC NEWS SITE NAMES Name: ABC News Site Names URL: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-officially-blames-iran_106834435 ABC News Friday, 19 July 2024 13:27
                • Unique Points
                  • Former President Donald Trump made claims about a 'massive invasion' at the southern border causing misery, crime, poverty, disease and destruction to communities. However, there is no evidence of a major surge in crime caused by recent arrivals.
                  • U.S.-born citizens are over 2 times more likely to be arrested for violent crimes, 2.5 times more likely to be arrested for drug crimes, and over 4 times more likely to be arrested for property crimes than undocumented immigrants.
                • Accuracy
                  No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                • Deception (70%)
                  The article contains selective reporting and emotional manipulation. The author fact-checked former President Trump's statements during his RNC speech and found several instances of false claims regarding immigration. However, the article only reports on these false claims without providing context about the rest of Trump's speech or the broader political context. This selective reporting can create a misleading impression for readers. Additionally, the author uses emotional language in describing the impact of immigration on communities, which can manipulate readers' emotions and influence their perception of the issue.
                  • Trump argued there was ‘a massive invasion at our southern border that has spread misery, crime, poverty, disease and destruction to communities all across our land.’
                  • That declining trend followed unprecedented spikes in 2019 and 2020, Trump’s last two years in office,
                  • There is no evidence of a major surge in crime caused by recent arrivals and Trump’s claims ignore the fact that crime is down across the country overall.
                • Fallacies (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Bias (95%)
                  The author of the article fact-checked former President Trump's claims during his RNC speech and provided evidence to refute them. The examples provided demonstrate that the author is presenting facts and not expressing any bias or opinion.
                  • FACT CHECK: This is false. There is no evidence of a major surge in crime caused by recent arrivals and Trump's claims ignore the fact that crime is down across the country overall.
                    • ] Former President Donald Trump argued there was a 'massive invasion at our southern border that has spread misery, crime, poverty, disease and destruction to communities all across our land.'[
                      • Violent crimes were down 6% in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the same time frame last year, according to the latest FBI statistics. There was a 13% decline in murders and a 4% drop in property crimes across the country, the data showed.
                      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication
                      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication