Far-Right National Rally's Surprising Win in France's Legislative Elections: Implications and Contenders for Youngest Prime Minister

Le Touquet-Paris-Plage, Henin-Beaumont, Northern France France
Far-right National Rally won a third of the votes in France's legislative elections.
Jordan Bardella, 28-year-old leader of the National Rally, could become France's youngest prime minister if they achieve an absolute majority.
Marine Le Pen's National Rally could secure a working majority in parliament or fall short.
The implications of the National Rally's success include potential support for Russian President Vladimir Putin and uncertainty for the euro.
Far-Right National Rally's Surprising Win in France's Legislative Elections: Implications and Contenders for Youngest Prime Minister

In the first round of France's legislative elections held on June 30, 2024, the far-right National Rally (RN) party and its opponents scrambled to capitalize on the results. The official tally showed that the RN and its allies could secure a working majority in parliament in the final round next Sunday or fall short at the last hurdle due to opposition.

The elections came after French President Emmanuel Macron dissolved Parliament and called for a snap vote, effectively ending his political configuration that emerged from the presidential election of 2017. The far-right National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, won a third of the votes in the election.

The selection was curated by AP photo editor Anne-Marie Belgrave in London.

People gather at Republique plaza to protest the National Rally, which came out strongly ahead in the first-round legislative elections. The left-wing alliance, New Popular Front, also did well by coming second with 28% of the votes. Macron's Ensemble alliance trailed behind.

The far-right National Rally's success could have significant implications for France and Europe as a whole. If the RN achieves an absolute majority in the legislative elections, it would be good news for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has only briefly criticized Moscow's invasion of Ukraine and has taken a huge loan from a Russian bank. The RN's leader, Jordan Bardella, has categorically stated that as prime minister he would not let any French soldier set foot in Ukraine.

Jordan Bardella is 28 years old and has helped the far-right National Rally become the strongest political force in France. He could become the country's youngest prime minister if the National Rally achieves an absolute majority in the legislative elections. Bardella has a significant social media presence, with over 1.7 million followers on TikTok and 750,000 on Instagram.

The euro's rebound after the first round of France's legislative elections masks lingering pessimism over the currency's outlook ahead of the second vote. Options traders remain skeptical that the currency will stick to recent gains against the pound and Swiss franc.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • It is unclear whether opposition parties will be able to prevent the National Rally from achieving an absolute majority.
  • The article does not specify the exact percentage of votes won by each party in the second round.

Sources

98%

  • Unique Points
    • France's National Rally and opponents are scrambling to capitalize on the first round of voting in high-stakes legislative elections.
    • French President Emmanuel Macron and his wife voted in Le Touquet-Paris-Plage, northern France on June 30, 2024.
    • National Rally leader Marine Le Pen voted in Henin-Beaumont, northern France on June 30, 2024.
    • Far-left party France Insoumise and far-right National Rally are among the parties competing in the elections.
  • Accuracy
    • President Emmanuel Macron’s party, known as ‘Macronism’, suffered an overwhelming defeat in the first round of French parliamentary elections on Sunday.
    • The far-right National Rally trounced Mr. Macron in European parliamentary elections.
    • Marine Le Pen and Bardella present themselves as American-style running mates, with Le Pen vying for the presidency while pushing him to be prime minister.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • President Emmanuel Macron's party, known as 'Macronism', suffered an overwhelming defeat in the first round of French parliamentary elections on Sunday.
    • The far-right National Rally won a third of the votes in the election.
    • Mr. Macron dissolved Parliament and called for a snap vote, effectively ending his political configuration that emerged from the presidential election of 2017.
  • Accuracy
    • In 2017, Mr. Macron swept to power by eviscerating the center-right Gaullists and center-left socialists.
    • Mr. Macron failed to form a credible moderate political party, leaving him with a shrinking circle of allies standing against the extremes of right and left.
    • The National Rally trounced Mr. Macron in European parliamentary elections.
    • Mr. Macron did not have to call an election just weeks before the Paris Olympics but did so due to desperate political straits.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy when quoting Édouard Philippe stating 'It worked for a while, but increasingly, as Mr. Macron failed to form a credible moderate political party, the result has been one man and a shrinking circle of allies standing against the extremes of right and left.' This statement is an opinion by Philippe and does not provide any logical reasoning or evidence to support the claim.
    • 'It worked for a while, but increasingly, as Mr. Macron failed to form a credible moderate political party, the result has been one man and a shrinking circle of allies standing against the extremes of right and left.'
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

92%

  • Unique Points
    • Options traders remain skeptical that the euro will stick to recent gains against the pound and Swiss franc
  • Accuracy
    • ]The euro's rebound after the first round of France's legislative elections masks lingering pessimism over the currency's outlook[
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist alliance was crushed on Sunday after the far-right National Rally (RN) party surged in the first round of France's parliamentary elections, winning 33% of the vote.
    • The left-wing alliance, New Popular Front, also did well by coming second with 28% of the vote.
    • If the RN does dominate parliament, it will also be good news for Russian President Vladimir Putin. Marine Le Pen has only briefly criticized Moscow's invasion of Ukraine and has taken a huge loan from a Russian bank.
    • Jordan Bardella, leader of RN, has categorically said that as prime minister he would not let any French soldier set foot in Ukraine, throwing the French constitutional order into question.
  • Accuracy
    • The RN could be positioned to assume power, becoming the first far-right party to enter the French government since World War II.
    • Jordan Bardella, leader of RN, has categorically said that as prime minister he would not let any French soldier set foot in Ukraine.
    • Macron’s party is already governing in France’s lower house, the National Assembly, without a majority after its poorer-than-expected showing in the 2022 legislative elections.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The authors use inflammatory rhetoric by describing Macron as 'Icarus' and the far-right as 'at the gates of power'. They also make a dichotomous depiction by portraying the far-right as a monolithic bloc that seeks to weaken the European project and regain control of borders, while ignoring their more nuanced positions. No formal fallacies were found.
    • The man who once described his leadership style as Jupiterian now resembles Icarus, after he played with political fire and got burnt.
    • There's a long way to go in this election yet, however, so what happens next?
    • Far-right doyenne Marine Le Pen’s RN party’s manifesto puts into question the very foundations of the European project.
    • Jordan Bardella, the 28-year-old leader of RN, has categorically said that as prime minister, he would not let any French soldier set foot in Ukraine.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

93%

  • Unique Points
    • Jordan Bardella is 28 years old and has helped the far-right National Rally become the strongest political force in France.
    • Bardella could become the country's youngest prime minister if National Rally achieves an absolute majority in the legislative elections.
    • Bardella has a significant social media presence, with over 1.7 million followers on TikTok and 750,000 on Instagram.
  • Accuracy
    • ]Marine Le Pen has only briefly criticized Moscow's invasion of Ukraine and has taken a huge loan from a Russian bank.[
    • Jordan Bardella has categorically said that as prime minister he would not let any French soldier set foot in Ukraine.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (95%)
    The article does not contain any clear examples of bias towards a specific political ideology or religious belief. However, the author does use language that depicts Bardella and the National Rally in a positive light and portrays their opponents as having 'lasting damage' to the French economy and violating human rights.
    • He promised to cut taxes on fuel, gas and electricity, and pledged a rollback of Macron’s pension changes.
      • Rivals say his policies could do lasting damage to the French economy and violate human rights.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication