Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Projects Fewer Cuts in 2024 Amid Persistent Inflation

Washington D.C., District of Columbia United States of America
Benchmark rate at 5.3% since July, a 23-year high
Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged
Fed raises forecasts for where it sees interest rates settling over long term to 2.8% from 2.6% in March
Improvements seen in services, motor vehicle insurance, and electricity but housing remains a challenge
Inflation eased for second consecutive month in May with core prices rising at slower pace
Persistent inflation not meeting 2% annual target
Projects fewer cuts for 2024
Reducing policy restraint too soon or too much could reverse progress towards inflation objective
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Projects Fewer Cuts in 2024 Amid Persistent Inflation

In a major shift, the Federal Reserve announced it is leaving interest rates unchanged for now and projects fewer cuts for 2024, despite cooling inflation last month. The central bank has been grappling with persistent inflation that has yet to meet its 2% annual target. The Fed's benchmark rate has remained at roughly 5.3% since July, a 23-year high and following a series of rapid hikes throughout much of 2022 and 2023. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that reducing policy restraint too soon or too much could result in a reversal of the progress made towards its inflation objective. While some improvements have been seen in areas such as services, motor vehicle insurance, and electricity, persistent trouble spots like housing continue to pose challenges. The Fed will need to see more good data to be confident that inflation is moving sustainably toward 1%. Inflation eased for the second consecutive month in May as core prices rose at a slower pace. The Federal Reserve's decision comes after it raised its forecasts for where it sees interest rates settling over the long term, boosting its median estimate to 2.8% from 2.6% in March. Powell said that the Fed is coming to the view that rates are less likely to go down to their pre-pandemic level and that current rates are still restrictive.



Confidence

91%

Doubts
  • Are there any potential negative consequences to keeping interest rates high for an extended period?
  • Is the Fed's projection of fewer cuts in 2024 accurate given the current state of inflation?

Sources

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at their June meeting
    • Fed predicted one rate cut before the end of 2024
    • Jerome H. Powell made cautious approach after months of bumpy inflation data
  • Accuracy
    • The Fed predicted one rate cut before the end of 2024
    • The FOMC projects a single quarter-point cut in 2024
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

99%

  • Unique Points
    • The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged.
    • Core inflation rose by 0.2% in May, a slower pace than in April.
    • Some persistent trouble spots like services, motor vehicle insurance, and electricity are showing improvement.
    • New government data showed inflation eased for the second consecutive month.
  • Accuracy
    • The Fed is projecting fewer cuts for 2024.
    • Fed predicted one rate cut before the end of 2024.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • The FOMC projects a single quarter-point cut in 2024
    • Powell expressed hope that inflation will come in better than the forecasts suggest
  • Accuracy
    • ]The FOMC projects a single quarter-point cut in 2024[
    • Fed predicted one rate cut before the end of 2024
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) updated their statement following their policymaking meeting that concluded on June 1.
    • Words removed from the prior statement are indicated in red with a horizontal line through the middle.
    • New text appearing for the first time in the June statement is indicated in red and underlined.
  • Accuracy
    • Fed left interest rates unchanged.
    • Fed predicted one rate cut before the end of 2024.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

89%

  • Unique Points
    • The Fed penciled in one rate cut for 2024, down from earlier forecast of three reductions
    • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell expressed caution about inflation still being above the central bank’s target
    • Some Federal Reserve participants have pushed back their rate-cut expectations into 2025
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (50%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position of the Federal Reserve expecting to cut interest rates once in 2024. The article does not mention any opposing views or alternative interpretations of the Fed's decision. Additionally, there is editorializing and pontification from the author when she states 'Inflation-weary consumers will likely have to bear higher borrowing costs throughout 2024.' This statement implies that the author believes it is a negative thing for consumers to bear higher borrowing costs, but she does not provide any evidence or reasoning to support this claim.
    • Inflation-weary consumers will likely have to bear higher borrowing costs throughout 2024.
    • Mortgage rates, which have remained higher for longer, will likely remain in the high sixes until later this year.
    • The Fed has been wary of cutting rates due to stubborn inflation, which is showing some signs of easing yet remains above the central bank’s 2% annual target.
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication