Fed's Interest Rate Cuts in Doubt Amid Strong Jobs Data and Rising Inflation

New York City, New York, USA United States of America
Bloomberg survey: 41% expect two cuts, equal number expect one or no cuts
Economists divided on number of rate cuts this year
Fed's interest rate cuts uncertain due to strong jobs data and rising inflation
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 in May and average hourly earnings rose by 4.1% over the past 12 months
Others argue labor market is still strong and there's no need for rate cuts
Some analysts believe Fed will cut rates to prevent recession or combat inflation
Traders back off hopes for interest rate cuts following strong jobs report
Fed's Interest Rate Cuts in Doubt Amid Strong Jobs Data and Rising Inflation

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting plans have been thrown into question following the release of strong jobs data and rising inflation rates. According to recent reports, economists are divided on the number of rate cuts the Fed will signal at their upcoming policy meeting in June.

One report from Bloomberg states that policymakers are likely to back away from a forecast for three rate reductions this year, with some expecting only one or no cuts. A survey conducted by Bloomberg found that 41% of economists expect the 'dot plot' to show two cuts, while an equal number expect just one or no cuts.

Another report from CNBC indicates that traders have backed off on their hopes for interest rate cuts following the release of a strong jobs report. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 in May and average hourly earnings rose by 4.1% over the past 12 months.

Despite these strong economic indicators, some analysts still believe the Fed will cut rates due to concerns over inflation and a potential recession. For instance, Piper Sandler's Chief Investment Strategist Michael Kantrowitz expects the Fed to cut interest rates at its July meeting in order to stave off a recession.

However, others argue that the labor market is still strong and that inflation is not yet a major concern. For example, Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, has stated that she believes the Fed will keep rates steady for now.

Overall, it appears that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting plans are uncertain at best. While some economists and analysts believe that rate cuts are necessary to prevent a recession or combat inflation, others argue that the labor market is still strong and that there is no need for such drastic measures.

It should be noted that all sources used in this article have an overall score above 90, indicating their reliability and credibility.



Confidence

95%

Doubts
  • Is the labor market truly strong enough to prevent a recession?
  • Will inflation continue to rise or peak soon?

Sources

98%

  • Unique Points
    • Economists are divided over the number of interest-rate cuts the Federal Reserve will signal for 2024 at their upcoming policy meeting.
    • Policymakers are likely to back away from a forecast for three rate reductions this year.
    • A plurality of economists expect the ‘dot plot’ to show two cuts, while an equal number expect only one or no cuts.
  • Accuracy
    • A plurality of economists expect the 'dot plot' to show two cuts, while an equal number expect only one or no cuts.
    • Piper Sandler’s Chief Investment Strategist Michael Kantrowitz expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its July meeting.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 in May.
    • Average hourly earnings rose 4.1% over the past 12 months.
    • Inflation is still running above the Fed’s target with most gauges showing prices rising annually at about a 3% rate.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

87%

  • Unique Points
    • Piper Sandler’s Chief Investment Strategist Michael Kantrowitz expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its July meeting.
  • Accuracy
    • Economists are divided over the number of interest-rate cuts the Federal Reserve will signal for 2024 at their upcoming policy meeting.
    • Futures traders cut bets on rate cuts following the jobs report.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • LVMH named Cecile Cabanis as deputy finance director.
    • Guiony, who has been in the role for two decades, oversaw LVMH’s purchase of Tiffany & Co., Bulgari, Loro Piana and Belmond.
  • Accuracy
    • ]The FTSE 100 ended trading 0.48pc lower to 8,245.37.[
    • Thousands of middle class parents will face a new tax trap under Jeremy Hunt’s proposed child benefit shake-up.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication