Florida and Texas Housing Markets: Surge in Inventory Leads to Price Drops for Sellers

Cape Coral, Florida, Florida United States of America
Cape Coral and North Port-Sarasota in Florida saw the most significant increase (about 50% more homes listed for sale year over year in March).
Housing inventory in Florida and Texas has surged, leading to a significant increase in the number of homes for sale.
In March 2024, new home sales were at 693,000 units, which is above the revised February rate and the March 2023 estimate.
Many sellers are being forced to reduce their asking prices due to stiff competition from both existing inventory and new home construction.
McAllen, Texas experienced a 25% increase in homes for sale during the same period.
Florida and Texas Housing Markets: Surge in Inventory Leads to Price Drops for Sellers

In recent months, housing inventory in several metro areas in Florida and Texas has surged, leading to a significant increase in the number of homes for sale. According to a report by real estate brokerage Redfin, Cape Coral and North Port-Sarasota in Florida saw the most significant increase, with about 50% more homes listed for sale year over year in March. McAllen, Texas, also experienced a 25% increase in homes for sale during the same period. These surges have resulted in many sellers being forced to reduce their asking prices due to stiff competition from both existing inventory and new home construction.

The housing market correction has been particularly noticeable in Florida, where affordability and a shortage of homes for sale once made it an attractive destination for buyers. However, the situation has changed dramatically. Eric Auciello, a local Redfin sales manager in North Port-Sarasota, noted that the metro was once one of the most competitive housing markets due to its affordability and lack of available homes for sale but is no longer true today.

The shift in demand has left many aspiring homeowners priced out of Florida altogether. Instead, they are turning to other states like North Carolina or Tennessee, where they can find better value. Of the country's 10 metros where sellers are most likely to slash listed prices, seven are in Florida and Texas.

The surge in inventory has also been driven by a wave of new home construction in these states. In March 2024, new home sales were at 693,000 units, which is above the revised February rate and the March 2023 estimate. This trend is expected to continue as builders offer concessions such as money for home repairs or mortgage-rate buydowns to attract buyers.

Despite these challenges, it's essential to remember that all sources should be analyzed with a critical eye. As a neutral journalist, I will strive to provide you with accurate and unbiased information from multiple perspectives. In this case, the articles suggest that housing inventory is surging in Florida and Texas, leading to price drops for sellers in these areas. However, it's important to note that there are also underlying factors contributing to this trend, such as insurance premiums and homeowners association fees.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Are there any recent studies or data that support the claim of a housing market correction in Florida and Texas?

Sources

96%

  • Unique Points
    • Sellers are reducing prices in cities with surplus housing inventory, according to Redfin data.
    • Price cuts are occurring at a faster rate in Florida and Texas, which lead the nation in new home construction.
    • In March 2024, several metros in Florida and Texas saw the highest share of price drops and the softest median sale price growth compared to elsewhere in the country.
    • Eric Auciello, a Redfin sales manager from Florida, stated that sellers are facing stiff competition from home builders who offer concessions such as money for home repairs or mortgage-rate buydowns.
    • New home sales for March 2024 were at 693,000, which is above the revised February rate and the March 2023 estimate.
    • Redfin analyzed home price data from 85 US metros with populations of at least 750,000 to calculate which metros have the highest share of sellers reducing list prices.
    • The following are the top ten metros with the largest share of price drops in March: Jacksonville, Florida (33%), San Antonio, Texas (33%), Houston, Texas (33%), Portland, Oregon (34%), Orlando, Florida (35%), Denver, Colorado (37%)
    • Tampa, Florida (44%) and North Port-Sarasota, Florida (48%)
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes an appeal to authority by quoting Redfin data and a Redfin sales manager's statement multiple times. The article also contains inflammatory rhetoric with phrases like 'intense buying competition', 'relentless increase in mortgage rates', and 'stiff competition from home builders'.
    • Price cuts are occurring at a faster rate in Florida and Texas, which lead the nation in new home construction.
    • According to Census Bureau data, new home sales for March 2024 were at 693,000, which is 8.8% above the revised February rate, and 8.3% above the March 2023 estimate.
    • My advice to sellers is to price your home fairly; the comps from six months ago don’t exist now.
    • To calculate which metros have the highest share of sellers reducing list prices, Redfin analyzed home price data from 85 US metros with populations of at least 750,000.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • In multiple metros in Florida, home listings surged in March, according to a new report by real-estate brokerage Redfin RDFN. This increase of 50% from a year ago indicates that housing supply is surging in these areas.
    • The five metro areas with the most significant increase in housing supply, on a year-over-year basis, are Cape Coral, North Port-Sarasota, Fort Lauderdale, Tampa and McAllen.
    • Many of these homes are sitting on the market with stagnating prices.
    • Homeowners in Florida are facing difficulties with insurance premiums, higher homeowners association fees and maintenance costs, which affects their decision to sell.
  • Accuracy
    • The metro areas which saw the highest share of listings with a price cut include North Port-Sarasota (48%), Tampa (44%), Indianapolis (43%), Cape Coral (41%) and Denver (37%)
    • New listings nationwide dropped 6.3% in March compared to the previous month.
    • The following are the top ten metros with the largest share of price drops in March: Jacksonville, Florida (33%), San Antonio, Texas (33%), Houston, Texas (33%), Portland, Oregon (34%), Orlando, Florida (35%), Denver, Colorado (37%)
    • Tampa, Florida (44%) and North Port-Sarasota, Florida (48%)
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Real estate inventory in parts of Florida is surging to uncomfortable levels
    • Cape Coral and North Port have seen the most significant increase in inventory, rising about 50%
    • North Port metro was once one of the most competitive housing markets due to affordability and a shortage of homes for sale but is no longer the case
    • Many aspiring homeowners have been priced out of Florida altogether and are looking at North Carolina or Tennessee instead
  • Accuracy
    • The number of houses up for sale in western Florida has jumped about 50% year-over-year as of March
    • Trendy North Port-Sarasota saw homes for sale rise 48%
  • Deception (80%)
    The article provides factual information about the increase in real estate inventory and home price reductions in Florida. However, the author makes editorializing statements that imply a negative opinion towards Florida as a place to buy a home due to high insurance costs and HOA fees. This is an example of emotional manipulation by painting Florida in a negative light.
    • Of the 10 cities where sellers are most likely to slash their list prices, five alone are in Florida...
    • Many aspiring homeowners have been priced out of Florida altogether...
    • Homeowners insurance in Florida even has seniors growing concerned that they won't be able to hang onto their homes...
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Two states, Florida and Texas, are experiencing an overflow of homes as demand shifts away from these areas.
    • Cape Coral and North Port, Florida, saw a 50% increase in homes for sale year over year in March.
    • McAllen, Texas, saw a 25% increase in homes for sale year over year in March.
    • Both states have been building more homes than any other part of the US to make room for pandemic-era newcomers.
    • Eric Auciello, a local Redfin sales manager, stated that North Port was once one of the most competitive housing markets due to affordability and a shortage of homes for sale but is no longer true today.
    • Buyers are now finding themselves priced out in Florida and price growth has slid as a result.
    • Of the country’s 10 metros where sellers are most likely to slash listed prices, seven are in Florida and Texas.
    • Out-of-town homebuyers no longer see Florida as a place to get amazing value and are moving to other states like North Carolina or Tennessee instead.
    • Many local blue-collar workers have been priced out of homeownership in Florida.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains an appeal to authority and a potential overgeneralization. The appeal to authority is evident in the quotes from Eric Auciello, a local Redfin sales manager. The overgeneralization can be seen in the statement 'Two years ago, the North Port metro was one of the most competitive housing markets in the country because it was affordable for remote workers, and there was a shortage of homes for sale, but none of those things are true today.' This statement implies that all areas experiencing an oversupply of homes were previously characterized by a shortage and high demand.
    • Two years ago, the North Port metro was one of the most competitive housing markets in the country because it was affordable for remote workers, and there was a shortage of homes for sale, but none of those things are true today.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication