French Parliamentary Elections: Macron Faces Opposition from Marine Le Pen and National Rally

Paris, Ile-de-France France
Emmanuel Macron dissolved parliament and called for snap elections after losses in European elections.
French parliamentary elections held on July 7, 2024 for the second round.
Macron faced opposition during his presidency including yellow vest protests and riots.
Marine Le Pen and National Rally projected to send between 175-205 deputies to the national assembly.
French Parliamentary Elections: Macron Faces Opposition from Marine Le Pen and National Rally

In a historic moment for French politics, voters went to the polls on July 7, 2024 for the second round of snap parliamentary elections. The outcome of these elections could determine which party will control France's lower house of parliament and who will be the prime minister. French President Emmanuel Macron took a gamble in dissolving parliament and calling for these elections after his centrists suffered significant losses in European elections on June 9, 2024 (AP, Paris).

Marine Le Pen and her National Rally (RN) were poised to become the dominant force in the national assembly with an estimated number of deputies ranging from 175 to 205. Emmanuel Macron looked set to face the final three years of his presidency without a clear ruling majority (The Guardian).

Macron, who was first elected president in 2017 after leaving the Socialists and implementing pro-business policies, faced significant opposition during his presidency including yellow vest protests and riots. These events damaged his leadership (ABC News).

Jordan Bardella, a French politician seeking to be the youngest prime minister of France, grew up in Saint-Denis, a suburb north of Paris with a multicultural population. In scathing critiques, Bardella cited the multiculturalism in this area as an example of everything that is wrong with today's France (The Washington Post).

The first round of voting on June 30, 2024 saw French President Emmanuel Macron taking a gamble by dissolving parliament and calling for snap elections. The outcome of these elections will determine which party controls France's lower house of parliament and who will be prime minister (AP).

Marine Le Pen and her National Rally (RN) are poised to become the dominant force in the national assembly, with pollsters projecting them to send between 175 and 205 deputies to the parliament. Emmanuel Macron looks set to face the final three years of his presidency with no clear ruling majority (The Guardian).

French voters are heading to the polls on Sunday for the second and final round of voting in a snap parliamentary election. After an initial ballot suggested that the far-right National Rally group would become the biggest party in France's National Assembly, parties on the center-right and left have joined forces to try to block RN's advance (CNNBC).

Macron was first elected president in 2017 after leaving the Socialists and implementing pro-business policies to boost France's economy. However, he faced significant opposition during his presidency including yellow vest protests and riots, which damaged his leadership (ABC News).

Jordan Bardella is a French politician seeking to be the youngest prime minister of France. He grew up in Saint-Denis, a suburb north of Paris with a multicultural population. In scathing critiques, Bardella cites the multiculturalism here as an example of everything that is wrong with today's France (The Washington Post).



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Exact number of deputies for Marine Le Pen and National Rally is uncertain.
  • Impact of yellow vest protests on Macron's leadership may be subject to interpretation.

Sources

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Marine Le Pen and her National Rally (RN) are poised to become the dominant force in the national assembly.
    • Pollsters project RN and its allies to send between 175 and 205 deputies to the parliament.
    • Emmanuel Macron looks set to face final three years of his presidency with no clear ruling majority.
  • Accuracy
    • Macron’s camp is forecasted to have at most 148 MPs in the new parliament.
    • New Popular Front (NFP) is expected to win between 145 and 175 seats, making it the second largest force in the new assembly.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

92%

  • Unique Points
    • French voters are heading to the polls on Sunday for the second and final round of voting in a snap parliamentary election.
    • It is unclear how French voters will react to being told who to vote for by the political establishment.
  • Accuracy
    • Marine Le Pen and her National Rally (RN) are poised to become the dominant force in the national assembly.
    • Pollsters project RN and its allies to send between 175 and 205 deputies to the parliament.
    • Macron’s camp is forecasted to have at most 148 MPs in the new parliament.
    • New Popular Front (NFP) is expected to win between 145 and 175 seats, making it the second largest force in the new assembly.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes an appeal to authority by quoting analysts' predictions and poll data. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing the National Rally as 'nationalist, anti-immigrant and euroskeptic party'.
    • 'Analysts predict that National Rally … is now less likely to be able to achieve an absolute majority', 'The Harris Interactive poll for Challenges magazine, published Wednesday and reported by Reuters, also showed that the center-right Republicans were likely to win 30-50 seats', 'Teneo’s Barroso also sounded a note of caution that the poll data related to ‘attitudes at the national level, ignoring the local dynamics in each constituency.’
    • 'The author describes National Rally as 'nationalist, anti-immigrant and euroskeptic party'
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

89%

  • Unique Points
    • Jordan Bardella is a French politician seeking to be the youngest prime minister of France.
    • Bardella grew up in Saint-Denis, a suburb north of Paris with a multicultural population.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes an appeal to authority by quoting Marine Le Pen's statement without providing any context or criticism. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing the multicultural neighborhood as 'the hometown of a not-so-proud son' and 'filled with the savory scent of kebab shops and the lilting sounds of foreign-accented French'. The author also makes dichotomous depictions by separating immigrants into two camps: desirable ones who assimilate, learn French, and love their adopted nation; and those he views as rejecting French values, language, and culture.
    • A victory could see Bardella, under Le Pen’s guidance, turn France into a laboratory in the heart of Western Europe for aggressive anti-migration policies
    • The Bardella who appears in campaign ads is a far cry from the one who grew up here. He is now the youthful face of the resurgent National Rally
    • Bardella’s words suggest he separates immigrants into two camps: desirable ones, like those of his own predominantly Italian family, who assimilate, learn French and love their adopted nation; and those – particularly from Islamic countries – he views as rejecting French values, language and culture.
  • Bias (75%)
    The author uses language that depicts immigrants from Islamic countries as rejecting French values, language and culture. This is an example of religious bias.
    • The Bardella who appears in the media is a not-so-proud son of this country. He cites the multiculturalism here as an example of everything that is wrong with today's France. 'I grew up in a humble project where I experienced, to my very core, the feeling of becoming a foreigner in my own country.', 'I’ve experienced the Islamization of my neighborhood. I’ve experienced the insecurity. I’ve experienced the search-and-frisk when you enter your building and you’re confronted with drug trafficking.'
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication

    89%

    • Unique Points
      • Macron was first elected president in 2017 after leaving the Socialists and implementing pro-business policies to boost France’s economy.
      • Macron faced significant opposition during his presidency, including yellow vest protests and riots, which damaged his leadership.
    • Accuracy
      • French President Emmanuel Macron is facing a potential political failure in the upcoming parliamentary elections on Sunday, which could weaken him domestically and abroad.
      • Macron’s centrist alliance is expected to come in third place in the first round of elections, raising concerns about his ability to govern effectively.
      • If Macron’s far-right opponents win a majority in parliament, he may be forced to work with an anti-immigration, nationalist prime minister.
      • Emmanuel Macron looks set to face final three years of his presidency with no clear ruling majority.
    • Deception (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Fallacies (85%)
      The author makes several appeals to authority by mentioning the Associated Press and Dominique Moësi multiple times. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing Macron's situation as 'awkward,' 'unknown,' and a 'struggle not to become a lame duck.'
      • French media have recently described an ‘end of reign’ atmosphere at the Elysee presidential palace.
      • Dominique Moësi told the Associated Press.
      • It looks as if on the first ballot, the French wanted to punish their president.
      • We are in the unknown. The unknown unknown.
    • Bias (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication

    96%

    • Unique Points
      • French President Emmanuel Macron took a gamble in dissolving parliament and calling for snap elections
      • The outcome of the elections will determine which party controls France’s lower house of parliament and who will be prime minister
    • Accuracy
      • Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally could win the elections
      • More than 49 million people are registered to vote in the elections
      • The first round on June 30 saw the largest gains ever for the National Rally
    • Deception (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Fallacies (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Bias (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication