Economic hardship may contribute to National Rally's success in second round.
First round attracted unusually high number of voters with approximately 68% turnout. Second round scheduled for July 7, 2024.
French parliamentary elections: National Rally won approximately 33% of votes in first round.
If National Rally or another political force gets majority, Macron will appoint prime minister belonging to that new majority, potentially leading to significant shifts in France's domestic and foreign policy.
Left-wing and centrist parties planning strategic moves, known as 'tactical voting', to prevent National Rally from obtaining absolute majority.
Marine Le Pen stated voters have shown willingness to turn page after seven years of contemptuous power.
In the recent French parliamentary elections, the far-right National Rally party and its allies made significant gains in the first round, winning approximately 33% of the votes. This surge in support has left many political parties scrambling to prevent a National Rally win in the second round. According to various sources, including Deutsche Bank analysts and Eurasia Group experts Mujtaba Rahman and Anna-Carina Hamker, left-wing and centrist parties are planning strategic moves such as withdrawing their candidates in certain districts where they finished third to support other anti-National Rally candidates. This tactic is known as 'tactical voting' and is aimed at preventing the National Rally from obtaining an absolute majority.
Marine Le Pen, the leader of the National Rally, stated that voters have shown their willingness to turn the page after seven years of contemptuous and corrosive power. However, many French voters are struggling with inflation and low incomes and a sense that they are being left behind by globalization. This economic hardship may contribute to the National Rally's success in the second round.
If the National Rally or another political force other than Macron's centrist alliance gets a majority, Macron will be forced to appoint a prime minister belonging to that new majority. This could potentially lead to significant shifts in France's domestic and foreign policy.
The first round of elections attracted an unusually high number of voters, with approximately 68% turnout. The second round of voting is scheduled for July 7, 2024.
It is important to note that the information provided in this article comes from various sources and should be approached with a critical mindset. Biases may exist within these sources and it is essential to consider multiple perspectives when forming an opinion on the matter.
The first round of legislative elections in France attracted an unusually high number of voters.
The far-right National Rally party and its allies won about 33% of the votes.
New Popular Front, a broad alliance of left-wing parties got about 28% of the votes.
President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Renaissance party and its allies garnered about 20% of the votes.
Mainstream conservatives got only about 6.7% of the votes.
The second round of voting will be on July 7, 2024.
If a new majority opposed to Macron is ushered in, he will be forced to appoint a political adversary as prime minister and France’s domestic and foreign policy may shift significantly.
If no clear majority emerges, the country could face months of political deadlock or turmoil.
Macron cannot call new legislative elections for another year.
Accuracy
Marine Le Pen and her National Rally party are on the brink of winning an overall majority in the French parliament.
Emmanuel Macron's centrist bloc finished third in the first round of elections.
Marine Le Pen and her National Rally party are on the brink of winning an overall majority in the French parliament.
Emmanuel Macron is a spent force as a political figure.
Accuracy
Emmanuel Macron's centrist bloc finished third in the first round of elections.
Macron cannot call new legislative elections for another year.
Deception
(80%)
The author expresses his personal fear and apprehension towards the National Rally and Marine Le Pen, implying a negative opinion towards them. However, he does not provide any factual evidence or citations to support these opinions. He also makes assumptions about other people's voting intentions based on their political affiliations.
The only question for the second round is whether the National Rally emerges with an overall majority, which would force Macron into a humiliating and complex ‘cohabitation’: a very French phenomenon in which the president and the prime minister come from opposing parties.
We can also question a French political elite that was so blind it let the far right prosper in large corners of a society that felt forgotten and despised.
Fallacies
(85%)
The author uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing the Le Pen family as a shadow hanging over his head and accusing them of growing influence. He also makes an appeal to authority by mentioning the Dassault family's newspaper, Le Figaro, and its endorsement of Jordan Bardella. The author also engages in dichotomous depiction by portraying the far right as a threat to French politics and society, while implying that left-wing parties are less damaging.
For all of my adult life, the Le Pen family has felt like a shadow hanging over my head.
The only question for the second round is whether the National Rally emerges with an overall majority, which would force Macron into a humiliating and complex ‘cohabitation’: a very French phenomenon in which the president and the prime minister come from opposing parties.
We can also question a French political elite that was so blind it let the far right prosper in large corners of a society that felt forgotten and despised.
Bias
(80%)
The author expresses fear and apprehension towards the National Rally and their potential prime minister, Jordan Bardella. He also implies that voting for Jean-Luc Mélenchon of the radical left movement France Unbowed would lead to a far-right prime minister. This demonstrates a bias against the National Rally and an ideological bias towards maintaining the status quo.
At the very least, we’ll have to learn to live in a divided land where the National Rally controls small towns and vast areas of rural France, while the ‘reasonable’ people have the upper hand in major cities including Paris.
For the first time ever in France, a political party on the far right could win an overall majority of seats in parliament through an election, and place its 28-year-old figurehead, Jordan Bardella, in Hôtel de Matignon, the prime minister’s office in Paris.
We can also question a French political elite that was so blind it let the far right prosper in large corners of a society that felt forgotten and despised.
Marine Le Pen stated that voters have shown their willingness to turn the page after 7 years of contemptuous and corrosive power.
The left-wing coalition plans to withdraw its candidates in districts where they finished third to support other candidates opposed to the right.
If the National Rally or another political force other than Macron’s centrist alliance gets a majority, Macron will be forced to appoint a prime minister belonging to that new majority.
Many French voters are struggling with inflation and low incomes and a sense that they are being left behind by globalization.
Accuracy
Marine Le Pen's National Rally party received about 33% of the votes in the first round of elections.
The National Rally is projected to have the most seats in the next National Assembly.
If no clear majority emerges, the country could face months of political deadlock or turmoil.
Deception
(100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Fallacies
(85%)
The author makes an appeal to authority by quoting the Interior Ministry and French newspaper Liberation for the election results. He also uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing Le Pen's party as 'France's most conservative government since World War II' and 'a nationwide support network, notably in small towns and farming communities that see Macron and the Paris political class as out of touch'. However, no formal or dichotomous fallacies were found.
The French have almost wiped out the ‘Macronist’ bloc
Polling projections suggest the National Rally will have the most seats in the next National Assembly
If the National Rally or another political force other than his centrist alliance gets a majority, Macron will be forced to appoint a prime minister belonging to that new majority
Bias
(95%)
Greg Norman uses language that depicts the National Rally party as having 'built a nationwide support network' and 'tapped into voter frustration', implying that this is a negative thing. He also quotes Marine Le Pen saying 'the French have almost wiped out the
French right-wing leader Marine Le Pen, right, casts her ballot for the first round of the parliamentary election on Sunday, June 30, 2024 in Henin-Beaumont, northern France. Thibault Camus) (AP/Thibault Camus)
If the National Rally or another political force other than his centrist alliance gets a majority, Macron will be forced to appoint a prime minister belonging to that new majority. In such a situation – called “cohabitation” in France – the government would implement policies that diverge from the president’s plan.
Rivals of France’s right-wing National Rally party are scrambling Monday to prevent it from obtaining an absolute majority after it made considerable gains in the country’s first round of elections, potentially paving the way for France’s most conservative government since World War II.
