Geert Wilders and the Far-Right Surge in European Parliament Elections: A Potential Game Changer

Amsterdam, Netherlands Netherlands
Approximately 350 million EU citizens are eligible to vote in these elections.
Far-right parties are predicted to win the largest number of seats in these elections, potentially surpassing the traditional center-right group.
Geert Wilders and his Freedom Party (PVV) are projected to secure a significant win in the European Parliament elections in the Netherlands, potentially gaining 8 seats.
Wilders' promises of cracking down on asylum migration brought him a large win at the general election in November 2023.
Geert Wilders and the Far-Right Surge in European Parliament Elections: A Potential Game Changer

European Parliament elections held across the European Union (EU) member states kicked off on June 6, 2024. Dutch nationalist Geert Wilders is projected to secure a significant win with his Freedom Party (PVV) in the Netherlands, potentially gaining 8 seats in the EU parliament. This would mark a huge gain for Wilders who failed to secure a seat in the previous EU election in 2019.

Wilders' promises of cracking down on asylum migration brought him a large win at the general election in November 2023. Following months of tense talks, he secured a deal with three other conservative parties to form a right-wing government, which is expected to take a tough stance in Brussels and seek exemptions on EU asylum and environmental rules as well as significant cuts in the Dutch contribution to the EU budget.

Approximately 350 million EU citizens are eligible to vote in these elections. Far-right parties are predicted to win the largest number of seats, potentially surpassing the traditional center-right group. This shift towards the political right could result in significant changes in European policymaking and serve as a measure of Europe's political temperature.

Russia deleted a plan to redraw the Baltic Sea border, causing alarm among NATO allies. Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof, nicknamed 'Tricky Dick', has been at the helm of the Netherlands' far-right-led government since its formation.

The center-left once dominated the European scene but now faces strong competition from right and far-right parties. Some parties on the left have taken a tough stance on migration in an attempt to regain support from 'old left' voters. Raphaƫl Glucksmann, a moderate, pro-European leader has emerged as a new champion for the left in France.

Far-right parties have adapted their stances on issues like climate change and immigration to appeal to a wider audience. Geert Wilders of the Party for Freedom in The Hague, Netherlands is an anti-Islam Dutch lawmaker who has been advocating for limiting the EU's powers from within parliament.

These elections will be closely watched as they could preview voter sentiment in upcoming national elections, including those in the United States.



Confidence

91%

Doubts
  • It remains to be seen how significant the changes in European policymaking will be as a result of this shift towards the political right.
  • The exact number of seats gained by Geert Wilders and his party is not yet confirmed.

Sources

78%

  • Unique Points
    • The centre-left once dominated the European scene but now faces strong competition from right and far-right parties.
    • 'The left has championed issues like gender, LGBT rights or green policies which are popular with urban young voters but less so with working-class families.'
    • Centre-left parties have shifted towards more liberal policies, making them 'too similar' to the centre right.
    • Some parties on the left have taken a tough stance on migration in an attempt to regain support from 'old left' voters.
    • Raphaël Glucksmann, a moderate, pro-European leader has emerged as a new champion for the left in France.
  • Accuracy
    • The European left is described as being in ‘bad health’ and has been declining since the late 1990s and early 2000s.
    • Only four EU member states have centre-left or left-wing parties in government.
    • Centre-left parties have shifted towards more liberal policies, making them ‘too similar’ to the centre right.
  • Deception (30%)
    The article makes editorializing statements and uses emotional manipulation by implying that the 'very soul of Europe is at risk' and that the European left is in 'bad health'. The author also engages in selective reporting by focusing on the poor performances of centre-left parties and their projected losses, while not mentioning any successes or gains they may have made. Additionally, there are instances of sensationalism with phrases like 'the seemingly unstoppable rise of right-wing and far-right parties' and 'the left then started to champion issues like gender, LGBT rights or green policies: popular with urban young voters, less so with working-class families'.
    • The EU's centre left makes up the second largest group in the outgoing European Parliament. Known as the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D), they are projected, at best, to cling on to their 139 seats in the 720-seat parliament.
    • The European left is in bad health.
    • The omens for the coming days are not good.
    • Italian centre-left leader Elly Schlein and Spain's Pedro Sánchez warned fellow European centre-left politicians who had gathered in Rome ahead of a difficult EU election campaign that the 'very soul of Europe is at risk.'
    • For some opposition parties on the left the situation could end up far worse, as they face being overtaken by the far right.
    • It is Europe's parties on the right that have the wind in their sails, and any success the centre left achieves is likely be offset by losses elsewhere.
    • The very soul of Europe is at risk.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (95%)
    The author expresses a clear bias towards the European left and their struggles against the rise of right-wing and far-right parties. She uses language that depicts the European left as being in 'bad health' and 'too similar' to the centre right. The author also quotes experts who criticize centre-left parties for shifting away from traditional socialist ideas towards more liberal policies, which has allowed the right and far right to grow in strength.
    • centre-left parties have shifted in recent years away from traditional socialist ideas towards more liberal policies
      • for many voters it is too late, because the left failed to protect them when they had the chance
        • It remains internally fragmented and in opposition
          • The European left is in 'bad health'
            • The left then started to champion issues like gender, LGBT rights or green policies: popular with urban young voters, less so with working-class families.
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication

            98%

            • Unique Points
              • Approximately 350 million EU citizens are eligible to vote.
              • Far-right parties are predicted to win the largest number of seats in the EU’s legislative body.
              • These elections could result in a shift towards the political right in European policymaking.
              • The outcome of these elections may serve as a measure of Europe’s political temperature and potentially preview voter sentiment in upcoming national elections, including those in the United States.
            • Accuracy
              • Only four EU member states have centre-left or left-wing parties in government.
              • The European left is described as being in ‘bad health’ and has been declining since the late 1990s and early 2000s.
            • Deception (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Fallacies (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Bias (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication

            95%

            • Unique Points
              • Russia deleted a plan to redraw the Baltic Sea border, causing alarm among NATO allies.
              • Dick Schoof has been nicknamed ‘Tricky Dick’ for his rule-bending tendencies.
            • Accuracy
              • ]The EU election has officially begun in the Netherlands.[
              • Geert Wilders and his far-right party are expected to perform well in the EU elections.
              • Dick Schoof, a former spy chief, is being considered as the new Dutch prime minister by Geert Wilders.
            • Deception (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Fallacies (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Bias (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication

            100%

            • Unique Points
              • Dutch nationalist Geert Wilders is projected to get 8 seats in the European Parliament election held across the EU member states.
              • , Dutch nationalist Geert Wilders secured a deal with three other conservative parties to form a right-wing government.
              • , Wilders dropped his aim of holding a referendum on the country’s EU membership and instead aims to limit the EU’s powers from within parliament.
            • Accuracy
              No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
            • Deception (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Fallacies (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Bias (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication

            78%

            • Unique Points
              • Far-right parties have adapted their stances on issues like climate change and immigration to appeal to a wider audience.
            • Accuracy
              • Europe's far-right parties are expected to make significant gains in the upcoming European parliamentary elections.
              • Far-right parties may not win outright, but they can still impact policy decisions on issues like climate change, immigration, and the war in Ukraine.
              • Centre-left parties have shifted towards more liberal policies, making them 'too similar' to the centre. (Pawel Zerka)
              • The left has championed issues like gender, LGBT rights or green policies which are popular with urban young voters but less so with working-class families.
              • Some parties on the left have taken a tough stance on migration in an attempt to regain support from 'old left' voters.
              • 42% of working-class men and women in France voted for Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Rally party, which has been more successful than most in attracting voters with its anti-migration platform.
              • The Italian Democratic Party (PD) struggles to find a coherent line against the anti-immigrant message of Giorgia Meloni’s far-right Brothers of Italy (FdI).
            • Deception (30%)
              The article contains editorializing and sensationalism. The author uses phrases like 'far right is on the march', 'making a mark on overarching policy questions', and 'fringe ideas becoming mainstream'. These phrases are not objective statements but rather attempts to manipulate the reader's emotions. Additionally, the author quotes experts making opinions without clearly stating that they are opinions.
              • Far-right parties won't win outright, polls indicate. But analysts say victory isn’t necessary in order to make a mark on overarching policy questions such as climate change, the war in Ukraine and immigration.
              • It’s not only when they are in power that they have influence and affect the ideas of mainstream political parties.
              • The far right is on the march.
            • Fallacies (85%)
              The author makes an appeal to authority by quoting Matthijs Rooduijn and Marta Lorimer to support her claims about the influence of far-right parties in European politics. However, she does not explicitly state that these experts agree with her perspective or endorse her use of their quotes. This could be considered a potential fallacy if the author's intent is to mislead readers into believing that these experts hold the same views as her.
              • ]The far right will not become the largest group in the European Parliament, but they will grow in strength[,
            • Bias (95%)
              The author uses the term 'far-right' multiple times without providing any context or definition for what constitutes a 'far-right' party. This could potentially be seen as an attempt to demonize certain political parties without clearly explaining why they are being labeled as such. Additionally, the author quotes Matthijs Rooduijn stating that 'The far right will not become the largest group in the European Parliament, but they will grow in strength.' This statement implies that even a small increase in power for far-right parties is significant and concerning. The author also mentions 'fringe ideas becoming mainstream' and quotes Marta Lorimer stating that 'some of their ideas that were considered beyond the pale are things that voters have heard of now, and don’t shock them anymore.' These statements could be perceived as implying that far-right parties hold extreme or unreasonable views. Lastly, the author mentions infighting among far-right parties but does not provide any context or explanation for why this is significant.
              • But coalition wrangling will have to wait until after the vote-counting. Depending on their populations, EU countries have varying levels of representation in the European Parliament. Tiny Malta has only six seats; Germany, the continent’s economic powerhouse, has 96.
                • Europe's traditional centrist parties move to cooperate with factions whose views they once considered extreme – for instance, on immigration.
                  • The term has been repurposed to describe political barriers being breached as Europe’s traditional centrist parties move to cooperate with factions whose views they once considered extreme – for instance, on immigration.
                  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                    None Found At Time Of Publication
                  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                    None Found At Time Of Publication