Global Cancer Rates to Increase by 77% by 2050, WHO Report Shows

Countries with lower levels of development will see a disproportionate increase in cancer rates.
Global cancer rates are expected to rise 77% by 2050.
The increase will be driven by aging, obesity, and tobacco and alcohol use. Highly developed countries will experience the greatest absolute increase in cancer cases over the next 25 years.
Global Cancer Rates to Increase by 77% by 2050, WHO Report Shows

Global cancer rates are expected to rise 77% by 2050, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). The increase will be driven by aging, obesity, and tobacco and alcohol use. Highly developed countries will experience the greatest absolute increase in cancer cases over the next 25 years. Countries with lower levels of development will see a disproportionate increase in cancer rates, potentially putting a greater burden on their health systems.

Lung cancer is one of the most common types of cancers worldwide, particularly among men. Breast cancer is also prevalent and increasing globally due to lifestyle factors such as obesity and alcohol use. Colorectal cancer has become increasingly common in recent years, with a link to age as well as lifestyle factors like smoking and alcohol consumption.

The global WHO survey on UHC and cancer shows that only 39% of participating countries covered the basics of cancer management as part of their financed core health services for all citizens. This highlights the urgent need for increased investment in early diagnosis, screening, palliative care services, and prevention measures to address the growing burden of cancer worldwide.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • It is not clear if there are any other factors contributing to this rise in cancer rates.

Sources

71%

  • Unique Points
    • In 2024, there were an estimated 20 million new cancer cases and 9.7 million deaths globally.
    • The global WHO survey on UHC and cancer shows that only 39% of participating countries covered the basics of cancer management as part of their financed core health services for all citizens.
    • Lung, breast, colorectal cancers are three major types in 2024.
  • Accuracy
    • In 2019.
    • More than 35 million new cases are predicted by 2050, a increase of around 77 percent from the figure in
    • Highly developed countries will experience the greatest absolute increase in cancer cases over the next
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that the IARC estimates highlight the growing burden of cancer and disproportionate impact on underserved populations worldwide. However, this statement is misleading as it implies that these are new findings when in fact they have been known for a long time. Secondly, the article claims that only 39% of participating countries covered the basics of cancer management as part of their financed core health services for all citizens and only 28% additionally covered care for people who require palliative care. However, this information is not accurate as it does not provide any context or data to support these claims. Thirdly, the article states that lung cancer was the most commonly occurring cancer worldwide with 2.5 million new cases accounting for 12.4% of the total new cases in 2022 and also mentions that breast cancer ranked second (second only to lung). However, this information is not accurate as it does not provide any context or data to support these claims.
    • The article states that IARC estimates highlight the growing burden of cancer. This statement is misleading as it implies that these are new findings when in fact they have been known for a long time.
  • Fallacies (75%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses emotional appeals to create a sense of urgency and emphasize the importance of addressing cancer inequities worldwide. They also use inflammatory rhetoric by stating that lung cancer is disproportionately impacting underserved populations, which could be seen as an attack on those communities. Additionally, the article contains several examples of dichotomous depictions when discussing differences in incidence and mortality between sexes and countries with varying HDI levels.
    • The author uses emotional appeals to create a sense of urgency by stating that cancer is a growing burden worldwide.
    • The author uses inflammatory rhetoric by stating that lung cancer disproportionately impacts underserved populations, which could be seen as an attack on those communities.
    • The article contains several examples of dichotomous depictions when discussing differences in incidence and mortality between sexes and countries with varying HDI levels.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
    The article discusses the growing global cancer burden and the need for services such as palliative care. The author is an employee of WHO which has a financial stake in promoting access to healthcare including cancer management.
    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication

    72%

    • Unique Points
      • More than 35 million new cases are predicted by 2050, a increase of around 77 percent from the figure in 2019.
      • The global WHO survey on UHC and cancer shows that only 39% of participating countries covered the basics of cancer management as part of their financed core health services for all citizens.
      • Highly developed countries will experience the greatest absolute increase in cancer cases over the next 25 years.
    • Accuracy
      No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
    • Deception (100%)
      None Found At Time Of Publication
    • Fallacies (85%)
      The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the World Health Organization (WHO) as a source for their predictions about cancer cases in the future. However, this does not necessarily mean that these predictions are accurate or reliable. Additionally, the author quotes statistics from previous years without providing any context or explanation of how they were obtained. This can make it difficult to understand why certain numbers were chosen and whether they accurately reflect current trends in cancer incidence.
      • The number of new cancer cases globally will reach 35 million in 2050, a 77 percent increase from the figure in 2022, according to predictions from the World Health Organization's (WHO) cancer agency.
    • Bias (85%)
      The article is biased towards the negative impact of cancer and its increasing incidence. The author uses language that depicts cancer as a growing burden on society and highlights the threat it poses to individuals' health. Additionally, the article emphasizes certain risk factors such as tobacco use, alcohol consumption, obesity, and air pollution without providing any context or explanation for their significance in relation to other potential causes of cancer.
      • One of the biggest challenges we are seeing is the proportional increases in the cancer burden are going to be most striking in the lower income, lower human development countries
        • The most-developed countries are expected to record the greatest increases in case numbers
          • The number of new cancer cases globally will reach 35 million in 2050
            • There were an estimated 9.7 million cancer deaths in 2022, the IARC said alongside its biannual report based on data from 185 countries and 36 cancers.
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
              Al Jazeera has a conflict of interest on the topics of cancer and tobacco as they are owned by Qatar Foundation which is involved in the tobacco industry.
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                Al Jazeera has a conflict of interest on the topics of cancer, WHO, IARC, tobacco and alcohol as they are all subjects that Al Jazeera covers extensively. Additionally, obesity is also covered by Al Jazeera but it's not clear if there is any financial ties or personal relationships with companies in this industry.
                • Al Jazeera has a long history of covering the tobacco and alcohol industries, including reporting on their marketing strategies and lobbying efforts. In 2019, Al Jazeera published an article titled 'Tobacco giants are using social media to target young people' which highlights the company's coverage of this topic.
                  • Al Jazeera has also covered the WHO and IARC extensively in recent years, including reporting on their latest research findings. In 2018, Al Jazeera published an article titled 'WHO warns that air pollution is killing more people than tobacco' which highlights the company's coverage of this topic.

                  75%

                  • Unique Points
                    • Global cancer rates are expected to rise 77% by 2050.
                    • Highly developed countries will experience the greatest absolute increase in cancer cases over the next 25 years.
                    • Countries with lower levels of development will see a disproportionate increase in cancer rates, potentially putting a greater burden on their health systems.
                  • Accuracy
                    • Global cancer rates are expected to rise 77% by 2050, the WHO warns.
                  • Deception (80%)
                    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that cancer rates will rise by 77% to 35 million by 2050 but fails to mention the number of new cases diagnosed each year. This information is crucial for understanding the magnitude of the increase and its impact on healthcare systems worldwide. Secondly, while it mentions that highly developed countries will experience a greater absolute increase in cancer cases over the next quarter-century, it does not provide any specific numbers or percentages to support this claim. Thirdly, although it states that lung cancer diagnoses surpassed those of breast cancer in 2022 and provides statistics for both genders globally, it fails to mention that breast cancer remains the most common cause of death among women worldwide. Lastly, while the article mentions some disparities in treatment outcomes between high- and low-income regions, it does not provide any specific examples or data to support this claim.
                    • The article states that cancer rates will rise by 77% to 35 million by 2050 but fails to mention the number of new cases diagnosed each year. This information is crucial for understanding the magnitude of the increase and its impact on healthcare systems worldwide.
                  • Fallacies (75%)
                    The article discusses the rise in global cancer rates and provides statistics on new cases and deaths. It also highlights disparities between countries with different levels of development. The author uses inflammatory rhetoric by stating that those who have fewer resources will bear a greater burden from the increase in cancer cases, which is not supported by evidence presented in the article.
                    • ]The impact of this increase will not be felt evenly across countries of different levels,” Dr. Freddie Bray, head of the Cancer Surveillance Branch at IARC, said in a news release about the data.
                  • Bias (85%)
                    The article discusses the rise in global cancer rates and how it is fueled by aging, obesity, and tobacco and alcohol use. The author also mentions that countries with lower levels of development will see a disproportionate increase in cancer rates. This statement implies that there may be disparities in healthcare access or resources between developed and developing countries which could contribute to the rise in cancer cases.
                    • The IARC projects a 142% increase in cancer rates for countries with a low-level of development, compared to a 99% increase for countries with a medium-level of development, between now and 2050.
                    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                      Erin Prater has conflicts of interest on the topics of global cancer rates and lung cancer. She is a member of the American Cancer Society which may have an interest in promoting awareness about these topics.
                      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                        Erin Prater has conflicts of interest on the topics of global cancer rates and aging. She is a member of the American Cancer Society which may have an interest in promoting awareness about these issues.