Global Temperatures Surpass 1.5 Degrees Celsius Threshold for 13th Consecutive Month: Implications and Responses

New Zealand
Global temperatures surpassed 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold for 13 consecutive months in June 2024.
Implications of persistent warming trend include extreme weather events, health issues, and significant impacts on agriculture and ecosystems.
June's global average temperature was 16.66 degrees Celsius (61.98 degrees Fahrenheit), precisely 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial average.
Global Temperatures Surpass 1.5 Degrees Celsius Threshold for 13th Consecutive Month: Implications and Responses

June 2024 marked the 13th consecutive month that global temperatures surpassed the 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold above pre-industrial levels, according to data from multiple sources including Copernicus Climate Change Service and the European Union's Earth observation programme.

The persistent warming trend has significant implications for climate change, as it increases the likelihood of extreme weather events such as heatwaves, droughts, floods, and storms. These conditions have already led to numerous health issues including heat-related illnesses and deaths.

According to Copernicus Director Carlo Buontempo, this record-breaking streak is a stark warning that new records are bound to be broken as the climate continues to warm. June's global average temperature of 16.66 degrees Celsius (61.98 degrees Fahrenheit) was precisely 1.5 degrees Celsius above the estimated pre-industrial average.

Brenda Ekwurzel, director of climate science at the Union of Concerned Scientists, noted that we have been hovering around what the Paris agreement set as a threshold. She emphasized that this does not mean that the Paris accord has already failed because its 1.5-degree threshold is measured in averages reached over decades, not single months or years.

Despite these warnings, some countries continue to contribute to greenhouse gas emissions, which exacerbate global warming. For instance, Saudi Arabia recently announced plans to increase oil production and invest in new fossil fuel projects.

In the United States, nearly all regions are projected to experience warmer-than-average temperatures during July, August, and September. This trend is expected to have significant impacts on agriculture and ecosystems.

It is crucial for individuals, governments, and organizations to take action in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and transitioning towards renewable energy sources in order to mitigate the worst effects of climate change.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Is the data from Copernicus Climate Change Service and European Union's Earth observation programme reliable?

Sources

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Global temperatures have been more than 1.5 degrees Celsius hotter than pre-industrial levels for 13 consecutive months.
    • Copernicus recorded June as the third hottest month since 1940.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • June 2024 was the warmest June on record worldwide.
    • Global average temperature for the past 12 months came in as the highest on record, at 1.64°C above pre-industrial average.
    • New numbers come from Copernicus Climate Change Service.
    • June global average surface temperatures were 0.67°C above the 1991-2020 average.
    • Global ocean temperatures during June also hit a record high, extending the streak of record warm months to 15.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (95%)
    The article makes several statements that are emotionally manipulative and sensational. The title itself is sensational, stating that June was the 'warmest such month on record worldwide'. While this is technically true, it does not provide any context or perspective. The author also states that 'June was the last month of the extended global hot streak' without providing any evidence or explanation as to why this might be. Additionally, the article makes several statements about the implications of these temperature records without providing any peer-reviewed studies or scientific evidence to back up these claims.
    • June was the warmest such month on record worldwide
    • The odds that 2024 will overtake 2023 as the warmest year on record may be as high as 95% now
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The author commits the 'Hasty Generalization' fallacy by extrapolating the record-breaking warmth of June to imply that 2024 will definitely be the warmest year on record. He also uses inflammatory language such as 'extending a heat streak even longer' and 'major consequences for society'.
    • >June was the warmest such month on record worldwide, extending a heat streak even longer.
    • The odds that 2024 will overtake 2023 as the warmest year on record may be as high as 95% now.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Earth experienced 12 consecutive months of global warming at or above 1.5 degrees Celsius
    • Copernicus director Carlo Buontempo: ‘we are bound to see new records being broken as the climate continues to warm'
    • June’s global average temperature of 16.66 degrees Celsius (61.98 degrees Fahrenheit) was precisely 1.5 degrees Celsius above the estimated preindustrial average
    • Brenda Ekwurzel: ‘we have been hovering around what the Paris agreement set as a threshold'
    • Rising global temperatures have contributed to surging numbers of heat-related illnesses and deaths
    • Non-polar sea surface temperature in June was the highest value on record for the month
    • Nearly all of the US is projected to experience warmer-than-average temperatures in July, August and September
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains a few instances of inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority. It also uses the term 'record' in a way that could be misleading without context.
    • A stifling month marked by heat waves and heat deaths, June was also about a quarter of a degree warmer than the previous hottest June on record in 2023...
    • The planet’s persistent soaring temperature is “more than a statistical oddity and it highlights a large and continuing shift in our climate.” Copernicus’ director Carlo Buontempo said in a statement...
    • The 1.5-degree Celsius threshold, about 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, was established under the 2015 Paris agreement...
    • Already, rising global temperatures have contributed to surging numbers of heat-related illnesses and deaths...
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

88%

  • Unique Points
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Accuracy
    • The world is on track for the hottest year with temperatures exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius for 12 consecutive months.
    • Global temperatures have been more than 1.5 degrees Celsius hotter than pre-industrial levels for 13 consecutive months.
    • June was the hottest month on record, with an average temperature of 16.66C (62F), which was 0.67 degrees Celsius above the monthly average.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication