Growing Concerns over Biden's Candidacy: Democrats Debate His Future as Nominee

Washington D.C., District of Columbia, United States United States of America
Democratic Party rules allow delegates to vote 'all good conscience'
Growing concerns within Democratic Party regarding President Joe Biden's future as nominee
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro urges Democrats to focus on prosecuting case against Trump instead of engaging in hand-wringing
Rep. Jamie Raskin signals possibility of Biden stepping aside
Top Democratic officials and political operatives monitoring potential replacements for Biden including Kamala Harris, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, California Governor Gavin Newsom, Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear as well as Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar and Senator Cory Booker
USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Biden
Growing Concerns over Biden's Candidacy: Democrats Debate His Future as Nominee

In recent days, there have been growing concerns within the Democratic Party regarding the future of President Joe Biden's candidacy following his debate performance against former President Donald Trump. According to various reports, Democrats are having serious conversations about Biden's future as their leader in November.

Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) signaled that there may be a possibility of Biden stepping aside, acknowledging the difficulties of the situation and expressing support for an open dialogue within the party.

However, not all Democrats share this view. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro has rejected concerns over Biden's ability to beat Trump in November and urged his fellow Democrats to focus on prosecuting the case against former President Trump instead of engaging in hand-wringing.

Meanwhile, some top Democratic officials and political operatives are monitoring potential replacements for Biden, including Kamala Harris, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, California Governor Gavin Newsom, Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear as well as Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar and Senator Cory Booker.

The Democratic Party's official rules seem to allow delegates to vote in 'all good conscience,' potentially enabling them to choose someone other than Biden. However, the process of replacing him would likely result in political upheaval within the party.

Despite these concerns, some major Democratic donors are waiting on the first batch of polls from major media organizations before deciding whether to press for Biden's removal as the party's nominee. An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Biden, while only 28% of his supporters agreed with this sentiment.

Independent fact-checkers identified more falsehoods from Trump during the debate than misstatements from Biden. The Republican Party, on the other hand, has shown no dialogue or conversation regarding Trump's criminal conviction on 34 counts.


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Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • Are the concerns over Biden's ability to beat Trump in November valid?
  • Is there enough evidence to suggest that Biden's debate performance was significantly poorer than Trump's?

Sources

80%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Nervous Democratic donors await polls before making a call on Biden

Axios News Site: https://www.axios.com/2024/01-30/prior-authorization-gap-insurer-drug-decisions Hans Nichols Sunday, 30 June 2024 21:39
  • Unique Points
    • Some top Democratic donors are waiting on the first batch of polls from major media organizations before deciding whether to press for President Biden’s removal as the party’s presidential nominee.
    • Biden had a bad showing in his debate against former President Trump.
    • Donors are holding their fire but their anxiety is quietly raging after Biden’s debate performance.
  • Accuracy
    • An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Joe Biden as its presidential nominee.
    • Rep. Jamie Raskin signaled that President Biden may not be the Democratic Party’s candidate in November
    • Multiple people noted the ‘interesting timing’ of fundraising appeals from some Democratic candidates.
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position about Democratic donors waiting on polls before deciding whether to press for Biden's removal. The article also uses emotional manipulation by describing the anxiety of Democratic donors and their frantic texting, which creates a sense of urgency and tension. Additionally, there is a lie by omission as the article does not mention that some polls have shown Biden leading Trump.
    • Some top Democratic donors are waiting on the first batch of polls from major media organizations before deciding whether to press for President Biden’s removal as the party’s presidential nominee, Axios has learned.
    • We had one table discussion across a broad variety of topics. He had absolute command of the details and big picture on every item – from Ukraine to, how do you get universal pre-K.
    • But so far they aren’t calling for the party to ditch Biden. That could change if the next round of highly regarded polls look as dismal as his debate performance, several donors told Axios.
  • Fallacies (90%)
    The article contains several informal fallacies, specifically appeals to emotion and fear. The author uses phrases like 'quietly raging anxiety' and 'frantically texting each other' to elicit an emotional response from the reader. Additionally, the author quotes a donor saying 'You can’t go into an election 10 points down in early July.' This is an appeal to fear as it implies that if Biden remains the nominee with a significant polling deficit, there will be dire consequences for Democrats. However, no formal logical fallacies were identified.
    • ][quotes]You can’t go into an election 10 points down in early July.[/]
    • ][/quotes]Quietly raging anxiety[/quotas]
    • ][quotes]for now they aren't calling for the party to ditch Biden. That could change if the next round of highly regarded polls look as dismal as his debate performance, several donors told Axios.[/quotas]
  • Bias (95%)
    The author expresses anxiety and concern from Democratic donors about Biden's debate performance and the upcoming polls. This could be seen as implying a negative view of Biden's abilities, which could be considered a form of bias against him.
    • But so far they aren’t calling for the party to ditch Biden. That could change if the next round of highly regarded polls look as dismal as his debate performance
      • Some top Democratic donors are waiting on the first batch of polls from major media organizations before deciding whether to press for President Biden’s removal as the party’s presidential nominee
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      80%

      The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
      (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

      A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

      Joe Biden's core Democratic support takes big hit after debate, exclusive poll shows

      USA Today Monday, 01 July 2024 00:00
      • Unique Points
        • An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Joe Biden as its presidential nominee.
        • 50% of those surveyed said Trump won the CNN debate against Biden, while only 28% of Biden supporters agreed.
        • Independent fact-checkers identified more falsehoods from Trump during the debate than misstatements from Biden.
      • Accuracy
        No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
      • Deception (30%)
        The article contains selective reporting as it only reports the percentage of people who thought Trump won the debate without mentioning that a significant number of independent fact-checkers identified more falsehoods from Trump than Biden. The article also uses emotional manipulation by using words like 'furor' and 'political firestorm' to describe the situation, implying a sense of urgency and importance.
        • Those with concerns about Biden used words like ‘confused’ and ‘incoherent.’ They overwhelmingly said Trump won.
        • The survey left no doubt which candidate ‘won’ the CNN debate in Atlanta Thursday night.
      • Fallacies (75%)
        The article contains several instances of informal fallacies and dichotomous depictions. The author's assertions are often conflated with direct quotes from the subjects of the article, making it difficult to distinguish between the two. However, after careful consideration and analysis, I have found no formal fallacies in this piece.
        • More than four in ten Democrats, 41%, said the Democratic Party should replace Biden as its presidential nominee.
      • Bias (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      98%

      The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
      (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

      A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

      Rep. Raskin says Democrats having 'serious conversations' about Biden's future after debate showing

      Fox News Media Jeffrey Clark Monday, 01 July 2024 14:45
      • Unique Points
        • Rep. Jamie Raskin signaled that President Biden may not be the Democratic Party’s candidate in November
        • Democrats are having serious conversations about Biden’s future as their leader after his debate performance
        • The Republican Party has shown no dialogue or conversation regarding Trump’s criminal conviction on 34 counts
      • Accuracy
        • Some top Democratic donors are waiting on the first batch of polls from major media organizations before deciding whether to press for President Biden’s removal as the party’s presidential nominee.
        • An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Joe Biden as its presidential nominee.
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Bias (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      96%

      The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
      (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

      A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

      Democrats fear replacement scenarios as much as keeping Biden

      CNN News Site: In-Depth Reporting and Analysis with Some Financial Conflicts and Sensational Language Edward-Isaac Dovere Sunday, 30 June 2024 21:00
      • Unique Points
        • Several Democratic replacements and top aides are monitoring each other’s moves and looking for openings or ways to call out potential opponents.
        • Top Democratic officials, political operatives, and donors are expressing fear about various scenarios including going forward with Biden, a Kamala Harris nomination, a nomination of someone else who would have beaten the first Black female vice president, long nights of multiple ballots spilling ideological and personal feuds on national television, and revelations of embarrassing details about people who have never been vetted by a national campaign.
        • One top Democratic official described the situation as ‘a Category 5 hurricane.’
        • A major Democratic donor believes they can swap the nominee and still win.
      • Accuracy
        • Several Democratic replacements and top aides are monitoring each other's moves and looking for openings or ways to call out potential opponents.
        • Some top Democratic donors are waiting on the first batch of polls from major media organizations before deciding whether to press for President Biden’s removal as the party’s presidential nominee.
        • An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Joe Biden as its presidential nominee.
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (95%)
        The author makes several statements implying fear and concern from Democratic officials about potential replacement scenarios for Joe Biden. These statements do not contain any explicit logical fallacies. However, the author does use inflammatory rhetoric by describing the potential situation as a 'Category 5 hurricane' which could be seen as an appeal to emotion.
        • “It would be a Category 5 hurricane,” said one top Democratic official nervous about Biden considering what would happen if the president stepped aside.
      • Bias (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      90%

      The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
      (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

      A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

      Could Democrats Replace Biden at the Top of the Presidential Ticket?

      Entertainment Variety Tv Site: https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/tv-site/ Adam Nagourney Monday, 01 July 2024 14:48
      • Unique Points
        • President Joe Biden's debate performance raised questions about his ability to lead the Democratic Party.
        • If Biden decides not to step aside, the process of replacing him is complicated and would likely result in political upheaval within the party.
        • Some potential replacements for Biden include Kamala Harris, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, California Governor Gavin Newsom, Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear as well as Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar and Senator Cory Booker.
        • The Democratic Party's official rules seem to allow delegates to vote in 'all good conscience,' potentially enabling them to choose someone other than Biden, although party bosses no longer have the power they once did.
      • Accuracy
        • Biden had a bad showing in his debate against former President Trump.
        • An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that 41% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to replace Joe Biden as its presidential nominee.
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (80%)
        The authors make an appeal to authority by quoting Elaine Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and an expert on convention rules and procedures. They also use inflammatory rhetoric in describing Biden's debate performance as 'disastrous'.
        • Elaine Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank, and an expert on convention rules and procedures.
        • Biden's debate performance was 'disastrous'
        • The prospect of an open convention raises many questions.
      • Bias (95%)
        The authors suggest that if Biden decides not to step aside, it is probably no because the delegates are loyal to him and cannot be compelled to support a successor. However, they also mention that once the delegates are free, they are free and loyalty does not automatically extend beyond Biden. This implies a possibility of a floor fight over who would emerge as the nominee, which could highlight ideological divides in the party and potentially weaken a future Democratic candidate heading into the fall campaign.
        • The prospect raises many questions. Should Biden decide to drop out of the race, could he compel his delegates to support a candidate of his choosing? No. He could certainly endorse a successor, and that would count for something. But once the delegates are free, they are free.
          • This is not the old days. There is no such thing as party leaders. There's no people with the power to take away this nomination.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication