At least 197 dairy herds in the US have been impacted by H5N1 bird flu since late March.
Former CDC director Robert Redfield believes there will be a bird flu pandemic with potential mortality rates between 25% and 50%.
Half of 275 raw milk samples tested positive for traces of the virus, with a quarter being infectious.
H5N1 Bird Flu Outbreak in US Dairy Herds: 197 Farms Affected, Raw Milk Safety Concerns

In recent weeks, there have been increasing concerns about the spread of H5N1 bird flu in dairy herds across the United States. According to reports from various sources, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), at least 197 dairy herds have been impacted by this highly pathogenic avian influenza since late March. The virus has been detected in milk processing plants in several states, raising concerns about the safety of raw milk and dairy products.

The FDA conducted tests on 275 bulk samples of raw milk collected from farms in four states where herds had tested positive for H5N1. Half of these samples were found to contain traces of the virus, with a quarter of those being infectious. However, the agency confirmed that flash pasteurization fully neutralizes the virus when all steps are followed, including a critical preheating step.

Despite this reassurance from the FDA, public health authorities have urged states to warn consumers about the potential dangers of raw milk and to test herds that produce it for sale. The CDC has also announced plans to do another round of testing on dairy products purchased at grocery stores, including cheese made from raw milk.

Meanwhile, Deputy Director for Infectious Diseases at the CDC, Jay Butler, provided updates on the ongoing H5N1 bird flu outbreak during an episode of AMA Update. He noted that the virus has been a focus of their reporting for several months and emphasized the importance of pandemic preparedness.

Former CDC director Robert Redfield believes it's likely that there will be a bird flu pandemic, with potential mortality rates between 25% and 50%. The USDA is leading the response to eliminate the threat, but scientists are concerned that not enough is being done to protect humanity from another pandemic.

Pathologist Thijs Kuiken drew parallels between the US response to H5N1 bird flu outbreak in dairy cows and the Netherlands' response to Q fever outbreaks from 2007 to 2010. In both cases, large numbers of infected animals shed large amounts of bacteria which can infect people through wind or contact with contaminated materials or environments.

Control over the H5N1 response lies with the USDA, but efforts have been made to involve public health authorities in testing farmworkers for potential infection. The agricultural sector and animal health are key areas of focus as scientists work to contain the spread of this highly pathogenic avian influenza.



Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • Are all 197 dairy herds confirmed to have H5N1 bird flu?
  • What percentage of raw milk samples tested negative for the virus?

Sources

81%

  • Unique Points
    • Pathologist Thijs Kuiken draws parallels between the US response to H5N1 bird flu outbreak in dairy cows and the Netherlands’ response to Q fever outbreaks from 2007 to 2010.
    • Large numbers of infected animals shed large amounts of bacteria which can infect people through wind or contact with contaminated materials or environments.
    • Control over the H5N1 response lies with the US Department of Agriculture, but efforts have been made to involve public health authorities in testing farmworkers for potential infection.
  • Accuracy
    • Initial inclination in both cases was to treat these events as economic problems rather than public health and animal health issues.
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it focuses on the economic impact of H5N1 bird flu outbreak in dairy cows and the similarities to Q fever outbreaks in the Netherlands. It does not provide enough context or information about the current state of human health consequences or efforts to address them. The author also uses emotional manipulation by describing how people were infected with Q fever due to privacy reasons and lack of transparency regarding affected farm locations.
    • The response to the Q fever outbreaks was similar: “At the beginning it was treated mainly as an economic problem and a problem of the dairy goat sector and was dealt with by the ministry of agriculture.”
    • But infected animals shed large amounts of the bacteria in their milk, urine, feces, and placentas; the infections induced “abortion storms” on farms with pregnant animals. The bacteria wafted off the farms in the wind. “There were people who would cycle by these farms and become infected.” But the locations of affected farms were not publicly disclosed, for privacy reasons.
    • With money to cover losses actually on the table, it’s hoped farmers will finally see a reason to test animals they suspect are infected with the virus.
  • Fallacies (90%)
    The author makes an appeal to authority when quoting pathologist Thijs Kuiken's concerns about the response to the H5N1 outbreak in cows. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the potential consequences of letting H5N1 become established in cows, but does not commit any formal fallacies or dichotomous depictions.
    • ]My overall concern about this outbreak is that it's being treated too much as an economic problem and too little as a public health and an animal health problem.[
    • At the beginning it was treated mainly as an economic problem and a problem of the dairy goat sector and was dealt with by the ministry of agriculture.
  • Bias (95%)
    The author expresses concern that the response to the H5N1 bird flu outbreak in dairy cows is being treated primarily as an economic problem for the agricultural sector, rather than as a public health and animal health problem. She compares this approach to how Q fever bacterial disease was initially handled in the Netherlands, where it led to significant human health consequences. The author quotes pathologist Thijs Kuiken expressing similar concerns about the lack of urgency and comprehensive plan for driving the virus out of cattle.
    • At the beginning it was treated mainly as an economic problem and a problem of the dairy goat sector and was dealt with by the ministry of agriculture.
      • My overall concern about this outbreak is that it’s being treated too much as an economic problem and too little as a public health and an animal health problem.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      97%

      • Unique Points
        • CDC is providing updates on the ongoing H5N1 bird flu outbreak
        • Deputy Director for Infectious Diseases at CDC is Jay Butler
        • Bird flu outbreak has been a focus of AMA Update for several months
      • Accuracy
        No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Bias (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      88%

      • Unique Points
        • Thirteen dairy herds have been impacted by H5N1 bird flu in twelve states since late March.
        • An additional sixty-five infected herds have been confirmed in the last thirty days across eight states.
        • Former CDC director Robert Redfield believes it's likely that there will be a bird flu pandemic, with potential mortality rates between 25% and 50%.
      • Accuracy
        • Since late March, a total of 132 dairy herds have been impacted by H5N1 bird flu in 12 states.
        • An additional 65 infected herds have been confirmed in the last 30 days across eight states.
        • The CDC has only tested 51 people potentially exposed to H5N1, with no new testing initiatives mentioned since the outbreak was detected.
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (85%)
        The article contains several informal fallacies and appeals to authority. The author makes repeated use of loaded language and emotional appeals to create a sense of urgency around the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. This includes phrases like 'deepens', 'delay action', 'little has been done', and 'significance of his warnings'. The author also quotes Kai Kupferschmidt making an appeal to authority by stating that he is a molecular biologist and social science journalist. Additionally, the author makes several dichotomous depictions by contrasting the actions of the federal government with those of scientists and experts. For example, 'despite repeated assurances given by the federal government that every resource is being utilized to eliminate the threat' versus 'scientists are increasingly concerned that far too little is actually being done to protect humanity from another pandemic'. However, no formal fallacies were identified in the article.
        • ]despite repeated assurances given by the federal government that every resource is being utilized to eliminate the threat[
        • scientists are increasingly concerned that far too little is actually being done to protect humanity from another pandemic
      • Bias (80%)
        The article expresses a clear bias towards the idea that public health authorities are not doing enough to address the H5N1 bird flu outbreak and that there is a potential for a pandemic. The author quotes experts who express concern about the lack of action being taken and implies that economic considerations are hindering effective responses.
        • Despite repeated assurances given by the federal government that every resource is being utilized to eliminate the threat, scientists are increasingly concerned that far too little is actually being done to protect humanity from another pandemic.
          • Despite the clear and growing dangers of a bird flu pandemic, there is now a repeated refrain that the threat posed thus far remains low.
            • Given that 16 million people were engaged in the wild animal trade industry in China at that time, estimated at $73 billion by the Chinese Academy of Engineering, brings to the fore the connection between economics, human activity, the need for sources of alternative proteins given the prohibitive cost of basic foods and the threat of pandemics.
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication

            100%

            • Unique Points
              • Half of 275 raw milk samples from farms in four states tested positive for bird flu virus H5N1.
              • Flash pasteurization method fully neutralizes H5N1 bird flu virus when all steps of the process are followed, including a critical preheating step.
            • Accuracy
              No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
            • Deception (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Fallacies (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Bias (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication