Projected Higher Cancer Rates for Generation X than Baby Boomers: A Study by National Cancer Institute Epidemiologists

Bethesda, Maryland, Maryland United States of America
Generation X, born between 1965 and 1980, projected to have higher cancer rates at age 60 than Baby Boomers based on current trends.
Study published in JAMA Network Open by National Cancer Institute epidemiologists.
Projected Higher Cancer Rates for Generation X than Baby Boomers: A Study by National Cancer Institute Epidemiologists

Generation X, individuals born between 1965 and 1980, is projected to experience higher cancer rates when they reach the age of 60 compared to Baby Boomers based on current trends, according to a study published in JAMA Network Open by epidemiologists from the National Cancer Institute. The researchers found that if current cancer incidence trends continue,



Confidence

80%

Doubts
  • Are there any factors other than current trends that could impact cancer rates for Generation X and Baby Boomers?
  • Could the study be influenced by funding sources or conflicts of interest?

Sources

94%

  • Unique Points
    • New research projects higher cancer rates for Gen X when they hit age 60 compared to Baby Boomers.
    • Gen-Xers are more likely to be diagnosed with invasive cancer than Boomers when they turn 60.
    • Some research points to pollutants, including a class of manmade chemicals known as PFAS, as possible culprits.
  • Accuracy
    • Generation X is experiencing larger per-capita increases in cancer incidence than Baby Boomers.
    • Prostate cancer is also projected to increase for men.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The author makes an appeal to authority by citing the National Cancer Institute study and its findings. However, the author also includes speculation about potential causes of the rising cancer rates in Gen Xers, which goes beyond the conclusions of the study. This introduces an element of uncertainty and potential for error or bias.
    • If current cancer trends continue, the paper published this month in JAMA Network Open concludes, ‘cancer incidence in the U.S. could remain unacceptably high for decades to come.’
    • Researchers believe early detection, obesity and sedentary lifestyles might explain some of the rise in cancer rates.
    • Some research also points to pollutants, including a class of manmade chemicals known as PFAS, as possible culprits.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • Generation X is experiencing larger per-capita increases in cancer incidence than Baby Boomers.
    • Among women, the FCP IRRs for thyroid, kidney, rectal, corpus uterine, colon, pancreatic cancers, non-Hodgkin lymphoma and leukemia were significantly increased in Generation X compared to Baby Boomers (FCP IRRs: 2.76, 1.99, 1.84, 1.75, 1.56, 1.39 and 1.40 respectively).
    • Among men, increases were seen for thyroid, kidney, rectal colon and prostate cancers and leukemia (FCP IRRs: 2.16, 2.14, 1.80, 1.60 and 1.34 respectively).
    • Decreases in lung cancer incidence were seen among women (IRR: 0.60)
    • Decreases in lung, liver and gallbladder cancer incidence were seen among men (IRRs: 0.51, 0.76 and 0.85 respectively)
    • Increases in the incidence of cancers numerically overtook decreasing incidence in all groups except Asian or Pacific Islander men, resulting in higher FCPs for all cancers combined in Generation X than Baby Boomers.
  • Accuracy
    • Increases were seen for thyroid, kidney, rectal colon and prostate cancers and leukemia (FCP IRRs: 2.16, 2.14, 1.80, 1.60 and 1.34 respectively).
    • Increases in thyroid, kidney, rectal, colon cancers and leukemia were found for both men and women.
    • Prostate cancer is also projected to increase for men.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (90%)
    No formal fallacies found. However, there are several dichotomous depictions and inflammatory rhetoric in the article.
    • . . . larger per-capita increases in the incidence of cancers than Baby Boomers . . .
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

92%

  • Unique Points
    • A study published in the journal JAMA Network Open by American epidemiologists of the National Cancer Institute found that people born between 1965 and 1980, known as Generation X, have a higher probability of developing cancer compared to previous generations.
  • Accuracy
    • ]A study published in the journal JAMA Network Open by American epidemiologists of the National Cancer Institute found that people born between 1965 and 1980, known as Generation X, have a higher probability of developing cancer compared to previous generations.[
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication