BJP led by Narendra Modi seeks another five years in power.
Congress and other opposition groups challenge BJP with alliances.
Exit polls predict BJP's third straight landslide victory, targeting over 400 seats.
India's 18th Lok Sabha Election results will be announced on June 4, determining the next government.
From 1951 to 2019, Congress and the BJP have seen highs and lows in India’s parliamentary elections.
On June 4, the Election Commission of India will count hundreds of millions of votes in a few hours, announcing the results of the country’s 18th Lok Sabha election, after six weeks and seven phases of what has been the world’s most-populous nation's election. The results will determine who will form India's next government. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party is seeking to extend its decade in power by another five years, promising to bolster one of the fastest-growing major economies and advance its Hindu nationalist agenda. He is running against an alliance of opposition groups, led by the Indian National Congress, which had ruled India for much of its history before Modi took power.
Check back here for all the results as counting gets underway at 8 a.m. local time.
How India Is Voting
Percentage of votes won by leading parties in each seat so far
India’s politicians are fighting to win 543 seats in the lower house of parliament, known as the Lok Sabha. The party or coalition that wins a majority of seats selects the prime minister. Modi set a high bar for success heading into the election, predicting that his BJP-led National Democratic Alliance would win more than 400 seats in parliament, up from about 350 seats in 2019.
Modi already declared victory on Saturday night after exit polls showed he’s set for a third straight landslide victory, and may even reach that 400-seat target. India’s stock futures jumped on Monday, with analysts expecting the market to reach new highs.
In a bid to outwit Modi, more than 20 opposition parties — including the Indian National Congress, which had ruled India for much of its history before Modi took power — formed an alliance. It had sought to woo voters by focusing on issues like joblessness and the high cost of living.
The BJP’s rise is the culmination of the party’s decades-long rise, which began with a win of just two seats in 1984. The party’s Hindu-first policies have resonated with the country’s largest religious group, while India’s recent economic boom and Modi’s promotion of the country on the world stage have led to expanded support.
BJP and allies
The BJP's rise is the culmination of its decades-long ascent, which began with a win of just two seats in 1984.
The Congress party has steadily lost ground amid corruption scandals, weakened leadership, and what many voters see as a lack of visionary new policies.
India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi is likely to win a third consecutive term in office, according to exit polls.
Exit polls suggest the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as the frontrunner in the general election.
The Indian National Congress and a coalition of opposition parties gained significant momentum during the election campaign but are not predicted to surpass the NDA’s projected seat count.
India’s most populous country, with 1.4 billion people, held a nationwide election with 969 million citizens eligible to cast their ballot.
Accuracy
No Contradictions at Time
Of
Publication
Deception
(50%)
The author makes editorializing statements and uses emotional manipulation in the article. She states 'India's Modi could win third term, polls predict' and 'Mr Modi’s BJP is on course to win the election'. These statements are not facts but rather her interpretation of the exit poll data. She also uses phrases like 'big wins for the BJP-led NDA' and 'really big election', which can be seen as emotional manipulation to grab the reader's attention. The author also selectively reports information by only mentioning the potential wins for the BJP and not providing any context about the losses or gains of other parties.
A really big election
India's Modi could win third term, polls predict
Mr Modi’s BJP is on course to win the election
Fallacies
(90%)
The author makes an appeal to authority by citing exit polls as evidence of Prime Minister Modi's likely victory. However, the author also acknowledges that these polls have been wrong in the past and are not impartial. Therefore, while this may be a form of argument from authority, it is not a fallacious one as long as it is clear that the author is not taking these polls as definitive proof of Modi's victory.
]India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi is likely to win a third consecutive term in office, exit polls suggest.[
The BJP led-coalition, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), will cross this target - according to exit polls,
India's elections have come to a close with exit polls predicting prime minister Narendra Modi will win a historic third term.
Voting took place over seven phases from mid-April to 1 June, with almost a billion eligible voters.
Counting begins at 8am on Tuesday and results are expected the same day.
Modi and his BJP party may gain a two-thirds majority in parliament, allowing for constitutional amendments.
Allegations of irregularities emerged during the election process, including harassment and intimidation of opposition candidates and parties.
BJP leaders were accused of openly violating election rules with polarising anti-Muslim rhetoric.
Opposition figures, including Arwind Kejriwal, Rahul Gandhi, and Hemant Soren, were arrested during the campaign.
Modi was widely seen as a frontrunner despite allegations of irregularities and opposition accusations of rigging.
Accuracy
No Contradictions at Time
Of
Publication
Deception
(30%)
The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position of Modi potentially winning a third term. The author also uses emotional manipulation by describing the heatwave as 'deadly' and leading to 'dozens of voters and polling officials deaths'. Furthermore, there are statements made by opposition leaders that are not directly quoted from the article but rather paraphrased, which is against the analysis rules.
Opponents alleged the BJP was undermining India’s democratic processes through the harassment and intimidation of opposition candidates and parties and suppression of Muslim voters who are not the BJP’s usual vote bank.
According to a flurry of exit polls released on Saturday night, Modi and his BJP are looking at a decisive win and may even gain seats to win a two-thirds majority in parliament, which would allow the government to make far-reaching amendments to the constitution.
Modi was widely seen as a frontrunner even before elections began.
Fallacies
(80%)
The author makes several statements about allegations of irregularities during the elections, but these are not fallacies as they are reporting on claims made by others. The author also provides evidence of these allegations through direct quotations and examples. However, there is an instance of inflammatory rhetoric when the author describes Modi as India's 'strongman prime minister' and his politics as having significantly re-shaped India's secular democracy over the past decade. This is not a fallacy but it does add a biased tone to the article.
]India's opposition sought to dismiss the exit poll projections, which they described as 'bogus' and 'fraudulent' and alleged they were deliberate attempts to justify rigging of the elections.[
BJP leaders, including the prime minister himself, were accused of openly violating election rules as they resorted to polarising anti-Muslim rhetoric on the campaign trail.
The author does not provide any deceptive statements themselves, but they do report on others making deceptive statements. Rahul Gandhi and Mallikarjun Kharge make emotional manipulative statements by calling the exit polls a 'Modi media poll' and a 'fantasy poll'. Mamata Banerjee makes a lie by omission by dismissing the exercise as 'vague, fake, and done by BJP stooges' without providing any evidence. Akhilesh Yadav suggests that the exit polls could pave the way for fraudulent practices. These statements are examples of deception.
Mamata Banerjee dismissed the exercise as 'vague, fake, and done by BJP stooges'' three times.
Akhilesh Yadav suggested that the exit polls could pave the way for fraudulent practices.
Rahul Gandhi called the exit polls 'Modi ji’s poll, it is a fantasy poll.'
Fallacies
(75%)
The article contains several instances of informal fallacies and inflammatory rhetoric. The author, TNN, quotes various leaders from the opposition INDIA bloc who express doubt about the credibility of exit polls indicating a likely third term for PM Narendra Modi and his BJP-led NDA. While it is valid to report on these statements, some of them contain logical fallacies.
Gandhi called the exit polls 'Modi media poll', saying: 'This is Modi ji’s poll, it is a fantasy poll.'
Banerjee alleged that the exit polls were prepared two months ago and conducted by a purportedly biased agency with ties to BJP.
Yadav said. 'Based on this exit poll, BJP wants to benefit from the share market which opens Monday.'
Elangovan dismissed predictions of BJP victories in the state and its neighbouring regions, asserting that INDIA bloc would sweep all 39 constituencies in Tamil Nadu.
The Election Commission of India will announce the results of the 18th Lok Sabha election on June 4, 2024.
The Congress party, led by Jawaharlal Nehru, won the first Indian election in 1951-52 with about 45% of the votes and 364 out of 489 seats.
The Communist Party of India (CPI) was the second-largest party in both elections with respectively 16 and 27 seats.
The Socialist Party (SP) had the third-largest number of seats in the first election with 12 seats, and Swatantra had this position in the third election with an unspecified number of seats.
