India's Complex Coalition Politics: Narendra Modi Secures Third Term with Slim Majority

New Delhi, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh India
BJP lost 63 seats compared to the last election but still surpassed the majority mark with NDA partners having a combined total of 354 seats.
Congress-led INDIA alliance and Rahul Gandhi secured historic comeback, forming an alliance in Uttar Pradesh that beat BJP.
Modi's brand remains strong enough for third term despite loss of support and concerns from opposition leaders and internal party rivals.
Modi's third consecutive term as India's prime minister.
Narendra Modi and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a slim majority in Indian general elections, winning 293 seats out of 543 in Parliament.
India's Complex Coalition Politics: Narendra Modi Secures Third Term with Slim Majority

In the recent Indian general elections, Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a slim majority, winning 293 seats out of 543 in Parliament. This marks Modi's third consecutive term as India's prime minister. Despite the BJP's loss of 63 seats compared to the last election in 2019, the party still managed to maintain its majority with its National Democratic Alliance (NDA) partners. The NDA had a combined total of 354 seats, just surpassing the majority mark of 272.

The elections saw a significant shift in political dynamics, with opposition parties led by the Congress-led INDIA alliance and Congress party leader Rahul Gandhi securing a historic comeback. The perception that the BJP was seeking to go after the opposition backfired, leading to the formation of the INDIA bloc. In Uttar Pradesh, an alliance between Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and Samajwadi Party leader Akhilesh Yadav soundly beat the BJP, securing 43 of the state's 80 seats.

Despite Modi's loss of support in this election, his brand remains strong enough to face political challenges from both opposition leaders and internal party rivals. Morgan Stanley's equity strategists predict that the Sensex will deliver 12-15% compound annual returns over the next five years. With Modi at the helm for a third term, stability and predictability for Wall Street are expected to continue, despite concerns from those who believe his policies may have negative impacts on certain sectors of Indian society.

Overall, these elections highlight the complexities of coalition politics and demonstrate how even a weaker mandate can still result in significant influence. As India moves forward under Modi's leadership for another term, it remains to be seen how the political landscape will evolve and what challenges the country will face both domestically and internationally.



Confidence

100%

No Doubts Found At Time Of Publication

Sources

78%

  • Unique Points
    • India's opposition parties, led by the Congress-led INDIA alliance and Congress party leader Rahul Gandhi, have secured a historic comeback in the country's general election.
    • The perception that the BJP was seeking to go after the opposition backfired, leading to the formation of the INDIA bloc.
    • In Uttar Pradesh, an alliance between Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and Samajwadi Party leader Akhilesh Yadav soundly beat the BJP, securing 43 of the state's 80 seats.
  • Accuracy
    • India's opposition parties have secured a historic comeback in the country's general election.
    • The BJP has won a historic third term in power with more than 290 seats in the 543-member parliament.
    • Despite the BJP not reaching the magic figure of 272 seats needed to form the government, Prime Minister Modi is seen as a much diminished leader.
    • Opposition parties faced an uphill battle in the election, with government agencies raiding parties and leaders, two chief ministers jailed, and bank accounts belonging to Congress frozen by income-tax authorities.
    • Rahul Gandhi has been credited for the opposition’s performance, as he worked hard to change his image and gain support through events such as the Bharat Jodo Yatra and the Nyay March.
    • In several opposition-ruled states, such as Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, and Maharashtra, the BJP met strong resistance and secured fewer seats than in previous elections.
    • The BJP’s reliance on the Ram Mandir temple in Ayodhya as a trump card in the election did not yield the expected results.
  • Deception (50%)
    The article by Geeta Pandey contains editorializing and selective reporting. The author's statements about the opposition's 'comeback' and Mr. Modi being a 'much diminished leader' are editorial opinions that go beyond just reporting the facts. Additionally, the author only reports details that support her position, such as raids on opposition parties and leaders, while omitting any mention of positive developments for Mr. Modi or his BJP party.
    • The outcome is being seen as a huge comeback for the opposition INDIA alliance and Congress party leader Rahul Gandhi, whose great-grandfather Jawaharlal Nehru was the first and longest-serving prime minister of India. What you need to know about Rahul Gandhi
    • But, Mr. Kidwai says, he overcame the odds and, in recent years, has worked hard to change that impression of himself and his party.
    • The results of India’s general election announced on Tuesday are being interpreted in a rather unusual way. While the winners appear subdued, the runners-up are celebrating.
  • Fallacies (75%)
    The article contains several examples of appeals to authority. The author cites political analysts Rashid Kidwai and Ajoy Bose for their opinions on the election results and the opposition's performance. Additionally, there are examples of inflammatory rhetoric in phrases such as
    • [The BJP] got a bit arrogant and complacent... Their shock and awe tactics to intimidate the opposition worked against the BJP.
    • But as the results show, the BJP juggernaut met strong resistance in several opposition-ruled states.
    • In Tamil Nadu, the ruling DMK party kept the BJP out by winning all 39 seats in the state.
  • Bias (80%)
    The author, Geeta Pandey, demonstrates a subtle pro-opposition bias in her article. She describes the opposition's performance as a 'huge comeback' and 'surprising', while portraying Prime Minister Modi as a 'much diminished leader'. The author also quotes political analyst Rashid Kidwai, who expresses his surprise at the opposition's success and calls it an 'extraordinary story'. Additionally, the author uses language that depicts the BJP's actions against opposition parties as heavy-handed and intimidating. These biased statements are not extensive but do contribute to a slight bias in favor of the opposition.
    • A jubilant Congress party called the verdict a moral and political defeat for Mr Modi
      • But as the results show, this pair of boys soundly beat the BJP in UP.
        • The BJP got a bit arrogant and complacent. But their shock and awe tactics to intimidate the opposition worked against the BJP
          • The results of India’s general election announced on Tuesday are being interpreted in a rather unusual way. While the winners appear subdued, the runners-up are celebrating.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          94%

          • Unique Points
            • Despite a weaker mandate, Modi’s brand remains strong enough to face political challenges from both opposition leaders and internal party rivals.
            • Morgan Stanley’s equity strategists predict that the Sensex will deliver 12-15% compound annual returns over the next five years.
          • Accuracy
            • Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party, the BJP, won 240 seats in the 543-seat Parliament.
            • India's opposition parties, led by the Congress-led INDIA alliance and Congress party leader Rahul Gandhi, have secured a historic comeback in the country’s general election.
            • Analysts predict that India’s labor laws, which require serious reform, will not be addressed by Modi’s new administration due to the weakened mandate.
            • Investors may wait before making big decisions as stocks have ‘run up quite a bit’ over the last three to four years.
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (90%)
            The article contains a few informal fallacies. The author quotes Gavekal Research's Tom Miller and Udith Sikand as saying, “Modi’s air of invincibility is shot.” This is an overgeneralization based on the election results and assumes that Modi's political power has significantly diminished. Additionally, the author quotes Morgan Stanley's equity strategists as saying, “Macro stability is positive for share prices and this is the principal reason to be bullish about this election outcome.” This is an appeal to authority that assumes the expertise of Morgan Stanley without providing evidence to support the claim. Lastly, there are a few instances where the author presents opposing viewpoints as potential outcomes without adequately analyzing their validity, such as the possibility of a opposition alliance forming a government or Modi's new administration pursuing hardline Hindu nationalist policies.
            • Modi’s air of invincibility is shot.
            • Macro stability is positive for share prices and this is the principal reason to be bullish about this election outcome.
            • The dent to the BJP has been enough for speculators to float the idea — however outlandish it may be — that the opposition alliance could form a government by enticing the BJP-led alliance’s smaller coalition partners over to their side.
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          98%

          • Unique Points
            • PM Modi will be sworn in as the Prime Minister for a historic third consecutive term on Saturday.
            • BJP-led National Democratic Alliance won 293 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha election, surpassing the majority mark of 272.
            • Narendra Modi was unanimously chosen as the leader of the alliance and congratulated for his leadership and contributions to nation-building.
            • PM Modi met with NDA leaders at his residence to review election results and discuss government formation.
            • Telugu Desam Party boss Chandrababu Naidu and Janata Dal leader Nitish Kumar, whose combined 28 seats are crucial for the coalition’s majority, will be part of the delegation meeting President Droupadi Murmu to stake claim to power.
            • TDP won 16 Lok Sabha seats in Andhra Pradesh and returned as Chief Minister in a simultaneous Assembly election. JDU picked up 12 seats in Bihar.
            • Speculation exists that opposition INDIA bloc, which finished with 232 seats, could approach Naidu and Nitish Kumar for government formation.
          • Accuracy
            • Modi met President Murmu to resign ahead of government dissolution on June 16 and was asked to continue till a new government is appointed.
            • Modi chaired the final cabinet meet of his second term and downplayed any concerns over BJP’s performance, assuring continuation of good work.
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          94%

          • Unique Points
            • Prime Minister Narendra Modi led his party, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), to unprecedented heights with his charisma and political skills.
          • Accuracy
            • BJP’s election victories transformed Indian politics, shifting focus from secular principles to Hindu-nationalist ideology.
            • Modi’s singular persona became synonymous with the party, raising concerns that everything was about him rather than the people.
            • In 2020 elections, BJP lost more than 60 seats and failed to secure a majority in Parliament.
            • India’s democracy appeared revitalized after the opposition successfully used Modi’s cult of personality against him.
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          98%

          • Unique Points
            • Narendra Modi is likely to serve a third term as India’s prime minister after his Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies won a slim majority in the recent elections.
            • Narendra Modi won 293 seats in the 543-seat Parliament, surpassing the majority mark of 272.
          • Accuracy
            • The ruling alliance won 293 seats, compared with the opposition’s 234 seats.
            • Imran Khan, a former prime minister of Pakistan, was acquitted of leaking state secrets in a ruling by the high court in Islamabad.
            • Imran Khan will remain in jail for a separate conviction and is appealing the case.
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication