Inflation continues to impact consumers, with major corporations such as McDonald's and Starbucks reporting a squeeze on low-income individuals. According to recent reports, Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky mentioned that customers are trading down and looking for deals, while Starbucks sales declined 3% in the US year on year. McDonald's CFO Ian Borden also noted that consumers have become sensitive to price, resulting in moderating check growth. These trends indicate a cautious approach to spending among US consumers.
The impact of inflation is not limited to the food industry. Disposable income declines, particularly in the lower-income cohort, have put pressure on quick-service chains such as KFC owner Yum Brands for several quarters. Menu prices have risen across industries to mitigate higher commodity and supply chain costs, but this has hurt demand and boosted consumers' desire to eat at home.
Packaged food companies are also feeling the pinch of weak consumer spending, especially from low-income households. Mondelez CFO Luca Zaramella noted that brands with higher penetration among lower-income households, such as Chips Ahoy!, have seen a slowdown in sales.
Starbucks CEO Laxman Narasimhan expects full-year comparable sales globally to come in between flat and a low single-digit gain. McDonald's, which has a higher exposure to the lower-income cohort, saw global sales decline for the fourth straight quarter and is leaning on improving offers on its meals.
Despite these challenges, some companies have managed to thrive. Domino's Pizza and Burger King owner Restaurant Brands reported a sales boost in the most recent quarter due to their loyalty programs and higher promotions. Shares of Domino's Pizza have gained 27% year-to-date, while those of Restaurant Brands and McDonald's are down 6% and 8%, respectively.
The cautious spending trend among US consumers is expected to continue as they seek value in their purchases. The U.S. consumer confidence index fell for the third consecutive month in April, with 44.8% of those surveyed planning to cut back on food away from home to save money.