This week, investors will be closely watching key economic data and earnings reports from major financial institutions. The upcoming quarterly refunding update from the US Treasury will provide information on how much bond supply there will be. Inflation data, specifically the release of June's Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday, is expected to influence the case for potential interest rate cuts in September. America's largest financial institutions, including JPMorgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citi (C), will kick off second quarter earnings season on Friday morning.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reached all-time highs on Friday and ended at record closing levels. The Federal Reserve is currently expected to cut interest rates twice in 2024, with the first one in September. However, recent labor market data has shown signs of cooling, which could impact the timing of this rate cut.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday. Wholesale inventories data will be available on July 10.
Second-quarter earnings reports from companies such as PepsiCo (PEP), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Helena of Troy (HELE), and Conagra Brands (CAG) are also expected this week. The Consumer Price Index, Producer price index, labor market data, economic growth, equities, high yield bonds will be closely monitored by investors.
The S&P 500 has rallied about 16.7% this year and the benchmark index just had its fourth positive week in the last five amid ongoing optimism that an improving inflation backdrop could lead to a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. However, recent labor data reflected a slightly cooling labor market, which could impact the timing of this rate cut.
Investors will be closely watching these developments as they build their investment strategies for the remainder of 2024.