Iranian Plot to Assassinate Trump: Recent Intelligence and Heightened Security Measures at Pennsylvania Rally

Washington D.C., District of Columbia United States of America
Iran has considered retaliating against Trump for ordering Qassem Soleimani's killing in 2020
Iran obtained intelligence from human sources about a plot to assassinate Donald Trump
No evidence linking the shooting at Trump's rally to the Iranian plot
Secret Service enhanced security measures for Trump's rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 16, 2024 due to the threat
Iranian Plot to Assassinate Trump: Recent Intelligence and Heightened Security Measures at Pennsylvania Rally

In recent weeks, US intelligence agencies obtained information from human sources about a plot by Iran to assassinate former President Donald Trump. This intelligence led the Secret Service to enhance security measures around Trump before his outdoor campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 16, 2024. However, there is no indication that the gunman who attempted to shoot Trump during the rally was connected to this plot.

The alleged Iranian assassination plot against Trump is not a new development. According to reports, Iran has considered retaliating against Trump for ordering the killing of Qassem Soleimani in 2020. However, it appears that the intelligence regarding this threat has become more concrete in recent months.

The US intelligence community takes these threats seriously and has taken steps to disrupt individuals involved in them and directly warn Iran. It is important to note that while physical threats of violence from Iran are unusual, they remain a concern for intelligence and national security officials.

Despite the heightened security measures, Trump was still targeted during his rally in Pennsylvania. Thomas Matthew Crooks, a 20-year-old local man, managed to access a nearby rooftop and fired shots at the former president. While Trump was not hit by the bullets, he was injured by shrapnel from an Secret Service agent's bullet that ricocheted off Crooks' gun.

The sources briefed on the matter stressed that there is no evidence to suggest that Saturday's shooting in Pennsylvania was connected to the Iranian plot. The investigation into the shooting is ongoing, and it remains unclear what motivated Crooks to attempt to assassinate Trump.

It is important for intelligence agencies and law enforcement officials to remain vigilant against potential threats, especially during election seasons when political figures are more visible in public. While the US has a history of Iranian attempts to influence American elections through online misinformation and influence campaigns, physical threats of violence are less common but still a concern.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • Was there any specific information about when or where the assassination was supposed to take place?
  • Were any suspects identified in relation to the Iranian plot?

Sources

99%

  • Unique Points
    • US authorities obtained intelligence from a human source in recent weeks on a plot by Iran to assassinate Donald Trump
    • The Secret Service increased security around former president Donald Trump based on the intelligence threat from Iran
    • Secret Service and Trump campaign were made aware of the threat before Saturday’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania
  • Accuracy
    • Iran denied there is an Iranian plot to assassinate Trump
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • US officials have received increasing intelligence about Iran's active planning to assassinate former President Donald Trump
    • Iran has considered a plan to retaliate against Trump for killing Qassem Soleimani in 2020
  • Accuracy
    • Iran's intentions have become more confident and concrete in recent months
    • Officials believe there may be more attempts on Trump’s life in the coming weeks
    • Intelligence suggests Iran’s intentions have become more confident and concrete in recent months
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article reports on intelligence received by the U.S. regarding alleged Iranian plots to assassinate former President Trump without providing specific details of the intelligence itself, which could lead to a lack of evidence or context for readers. Additionally, there is an appeal to authority in the form of quoting anonymous senior U.S. officials and a reference to Avril Haines, Director of National Intelligence. The article also presents dichotomous depictions by stating that Iran has traditionally posed threats to U.S elections through online misinformation and influence campaigns, without acknowledging any other methods.
    • CNN previously reported that the U.S. received intelligence about an Iranian plot to assassinate Trump before Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, tried to kill the former president at his rally in Pennsylvania Saturday.
    • Two senior U.S. officials familiar with the intelligence said the Biden administration has gathered information from various sources, including human sources, on threats from Tehran that are linked to physical acts of violence — acts that could kill Trump, they said, without providing further details.
    • Iran has traditionally posed threats to U.S. elections, primarily through online misinformation and influence campaigns.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

97%

  • Unique Points
    • U.S. intelligence agencies were tracking a potential Iranian assassination plot against former President Donald Trump in the weeks before an attack on him in Butler, Pa.
    • The intelligence prompted the Secret Service to enhance security for Trump’s outdoor campaign rally in Butler, Pa.
  • Accuracy
    • Intelligence that prompted the warning was new, but consistent with previous threat information against lower-level current and former U.S. officials
    • US officials have received increasing intelligence about Iran’s active planning to assassinate former President Donald Trump
    • Iran has considered a plan to retaliate against Trump for killing Qassem Soleimani in 2020
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • U.S. intelligence detected an Iranian plot against Donald Trump
    • No further details about the nature of the plot have been provided
  • Accuracy
    • Iran has considered a plan to retaliate against Trump for killing Qassem Soleimani in 2020
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • The Biden administration obtained intelligence about an alleged Iranian assassination plot against former President Donald Trump.
    • The Secret Service increased security around Trump after learning of the plot.
    • Iran’s mission to the United Nations dismissed the allegations of an assassination plot as
  • Accuracy
    • US authorities obtained intelligence from a human source in recent weeks on a plot by Iran to assassinate Donald Trump
    • U.S. intelligence agencies were tracking a potential Iranian assassination plot against former President Donald Trump
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (90%)
    The article contains an appeal to authority and inflammatory rhetoric. It reports on intelligence received by the US government about an alleged Iranian assassination plot against former President Trump which led to increased Secret Service protection around him. The article also includes details of a separate incident where a 20-year-old American attempted to assassinate Trump, but no evidence links this individual to the Iranian plot. The author, NBC News, cites unnamed US officials for some information and dismisses Iran's denial of the plot without providing further context or analysis. Additionally, there is an inflammatory statement suggesting that former national security adviser John Bolton, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and former Iran envoy Brian Hook all have been provided with US-funded security teams due to ongoing threats from the Iranian regime.
    • According to Iranian state media, Iran’s mission to the United Nations dismissed the allegations of an assassination plot as “unsubstantiated and malicious.”
    • The Trump campaign was informed in passing by USSS leadership of a general uptick in threats against President Trump, but were not made aware of any specific threats related to Iranian individuals or groups.
    • Former national security adviser John Bolton, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and former Iran envoy Brian Hook all have been provided U.S.-funded security teams, with Congress approving the funding for the added protection.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication