Biden's Proposed Three-Phase Deal for Israel-Hamas Conflict: Controversy and Uncertainty

Gaza, Gaza Strip Palestine, State of
First phase: ceasefire, Israeli forces withdrawal, captives exchange
President Joe Biden proposed a three-phase deal to end Israel-Hamas conflict
Second phase: Hamas and Israel negotiate permanent peace terms
Third phase: Gaza reconstruction and war end
Biden's Proposed Three-Phase Deal for Israel-Hamas Conflict: Controversy and Uncertainty

President Joe Biden has proposed a three-phase deal aimed at ending the Israel-Hamas conflict. The first phase includes a ceasefire, withdrawal of Israeli forces from populated areas in Gaza, and the exchange of some Israeli captives for Palestinian prisoners. In the second phase, Hamas and Israel would negotiate terms for a permanent end to hostilities. The third phase involves reconstruction of Gaza and an ultimate end to the war that has resulted in over 35,000 Palestinian deaths.

Biden's push for a ceasefire deal with Hamas has stirred controversy and divided Israeli public opinion. While some support the deal, others, including far-right members of Netanyahu's coalition government, have threatened to disband the government if he accepts it. The Israeli Prime Minister himself has attempted to distance himself from the proposal despite US claims that it came from Israel.

Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders have offered no clear plan for what to do when the war concludes. Some members of his coalition advocate for permanent occupation of Gaza, while others, like Benny Gantz and Moshe Ya'alon, suggest normalization with Arab countries and defense agreements with Saudi Arabia.

Despite political differences regarding Israel's approach to Gaza and the Middle East, Netanyahu wants normalization with Saudi Arabia but is not ready to publicly support a Palestinian Authority or two-state solution due to political survival concerns. Gantz himself does not openly advocate for a two-state solution due to Israeli public opinion, instead suggesting a plan for normalization and an international force in Gaza that is not Hamas or Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority.

The UN Security Council has circulated a draft resolution urging members to back the proposed ceasefire plan. However, its implementation remains uncertain due to Israeli political divisions.



Confidence

81%

Doubts
  • Is the Israeli government truly committed to this ceasefire deal?
  • What will happen in the third phase of the deal?

Sources

81%

  • Unique Points
    • The US circulated a draft resolution to the UN Security Council urging members to back a three-phase Gaza ceasefire plan announced by President Joe Biden last week.
    • Under the first stage, Israeli army would withdraw from populated areas of Gaza and some Israeli captives would be exchanged for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.
    • Civilians would be allowed to move across Gaza and humanitarian aid trucks would enter daily.
    • In the second phase, Hamas and Israel would negotiate terms for a permanent end to hostilities.
    • The third phase includes a permanent ceasefire, allowing reconstruction of Gaza and an ultimate end to the war in which over 36,000 Palestinians have been killed.
    • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not clearly stated his position on the proposal despite it being presented as an Israeli peace plan.
    • Two far-right members of Israel’s coalition government, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, have rejected the proposal and threatened to bring down the government.
    • Netanyahu himself has attempted to disassociate himself from the project despite US claims that it came from Israel.
    • The second phase of the plan, which involves negotiating with Hamas, is causing concern among Netanyahu and Israel’s right wing.
  • Accuracy
    • ]The US circulated a draft resolution to the UN Security Council urging members to back a three-phase Gaza ceasefire plan announced by President Joe Biden last week.[
    • Under the first stage, Israeli army would withdraw from populated areas of Gaza and some Israeli captives would be exchanged for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.
    • In the second phase, Hamas and Israel would negotiate terms for a permanent end to hostilities.
    • The third phase includes a permanent ceasefire, allowing reconstruction of Gaza and an ultimate end to the war in which over 36,000 Palestinians have been killed.
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position and implies facts without linking to peer-reviewed studies or retracted studies. The author states that 'Biden says is an Israeli proposal' but does not provide any evidence to support this claim. The article also states that 'The US claims has been so depleted that it is no longer capable of carrying out a repeat of its October 7 attack on Israel' without providing any evidence or citing sources for this claim.
    • The US claims has been so depleted that it is no longer capable of carrying out a repeat of its October 7 attack on Israel
    • Biden says is an Israeli proposal
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (80%)
    The author does not explicitly demonstrate bias in the article. However, there are some instances where the author's language could be perceived as critical of Israel and its leadership. For example, the author describes Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir as 'far-right members' who have rejected the proposed peace plan outright and threaten to bring down the government. The author also characterizes their positions as wanting to 'colonise Gaza and force its population to voluntarily emigrate.' While these statements are factually accurate, they could be perceived as critical of Smotrich and Ben-Gvir's ideologies. Additionally, the author quotes US President Joe Biden stating that there is 'every reason for people to draw that conclusion' regarding Netanyahu wanting to continue the war in order to avoid corruption charges. This statement could be seen as an implicit criticism of Netanyahu. However, it is important to note that these criticisms are balanced by the author's acknowledgement of the divisions within Israel's coalition government and the potential consequences for Netanyahu if he were to agree to a ceasefire without approval from all members.
    • Are Israel's allies angry with the lack of commitment? Allies – including the US – are becoming more and more open in their criticism of Israel.
      • Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir have rejected the proposal outright, and have threatened to bring down the government.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication

      94%

      • Unique Points
        • President Biden is pushing for a cease-fire deal with Hamas that includes the release of remaining hostages held by the group.
        • Biden’s criticism of Israel’s military actions in Gaza has stirred controversy and divided Israeli public opinion.
        • Far-right and extremist members of Netanyahu’s coalition are threatening to disband the government if he accepts a cease-fire deal.
        • There is separation in how the Israeli public views Netanyahu’s handling of the war and Biden’s efforts to pressure him.
      • Accuracy
        • Under the first stage, Israeli army would withdraw from populated areas of Gaza and some Israeli captives would be exchanged for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.
        • Netanyahu himself has attempted to disassociate himself from the project despite US claims that it came from Israel.
      • Deception (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Fallacies (85%)
        The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy. The author quotes Yoav Fromer, head of the Center for the Study of the United States at Tel Aviv University, to support a claim about how Israelis are taking a less positive attitude towards the United States. This is not necessarily true just because an expert said it.
        • “More and more Israelis are taking a less positive, less empathetic attitude towards the United States, and that’s going to undermine the relationship.” said Yoav Fromer, head of the Center for the Study of the United States at Tel Aviv University.
      • Bias (95%)
        The author uses language that depicts some Israeli politicians and their supporters as extremist and threatening to disband the government. She also quotes an expert stating that there is no anti-war movement in Israel, implying that those who are critical of Biden's pressure on Israel are not representative of the majority.
        • far-right and extremist members of his coalition are threatening to disband the government by resigning if Netanyahu accepts a deal.
          • We don’t have an anti-war movement in Israel.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          75%

          • Unique Points
            • The Israeli military campaign in Gaza has been ongoing for eight months and has resulted in over thirty-five thousand Palestinian deaths.
            • Netanyahu has offered no plan for what to do when the war concludes, with several members of his far-right coalition advocating for permanent occupation of Gaza.
            • Gantz and Eisenkot have real differences with Netanyahu regarding Israel’s approach to Gaza and the Middle East, including potential defense agreements with Saudi Arabia and normalization between Israel and Arab countries.
            • Netanyahu wants normalization with Saudi Arabia but is not ready to publicly support a Palestinian Authority or two-state solution due to political survival concerns.
            • Gantz himself does not openly advocate for a two-state solution due to Israeli public opinion, instead suggesting a plan for normalization and an American-European-Arab force in Gaza that is not Hamas or Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority.
          • Accuracy
            • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not clearly stated his position on the proposal despite it being presented as an Israeli peace plan.
          • Deception (30%)
            The article contains selective reporting as the author only discusses certain aspects of the ceasefire proposal and Biden's announcement without mentioning other important details. The author also uses emotional manipulation by describing the number of Palestinian deaths in a way that may evoke strong emotions from readers, potentially influencing their perception of the situation.
            • Israel is continuing its invasion of the city of Rafah. Netanyahu has still offered no plan for what to do when the war eventually concludes.
            • Thirty-five thousand, by current estimates
          • Fallacies (75%)
            The article contains some fallacies, but overall provides a clear and detailed analysis of the political situation in Israel. The author does not make any false claims or misleading statements. There are a few instances where the author's interpretation of events may be debatable, but these do not rise to the level of formal fallacies.
            • The entire paragraph beginning with 'I dare say that his criticism is a little—I don’t know—convoluted?' contains several inflammatory rhetorical statements. The author suggests that Netanyahu is unwilling to publicly support a two-state solution due to political survival, without providing direct evidence for this claim.
            • The author claims that 'Nobody is embracing fully and publicly the inherent outcome of normalization with Saudi Arabia—of bringing Saudis, Emiratis, and Palestinians to rule Gaza. Nobody goes the whole nine yards because they know how unpopular that sounds.' This is an exaggeration and a misrepresentation of the positions of Israeli politicians.
            • The author suggests that President Biden should present a plan for normalization with Saudi Arabia and the Middle East, which would put pressure on Israeli politicians to choose sides. This is an appeal to authority, implying that Biden has the power to force Israel's hand in this situation.
          • Bias (80%)
            Isaac Chotiner demonstrates ideological bias by focusing on the political differences between Gantz and Netanyahu, specifically their approaches to dealing with Iran and Hamas. He quotes Gantz extensively discussing his opposition to a two-state solution due to Israeli public opinion, but does not mention Netanyahu's stance on the issue. Chotiner also uses language that depicts one side as extreme or unreasonable by describing Netanyahu's coalition members as 'extreme right-wing' and suggesting that they want to permanently occupy Gaza.
            • several members of his far-right coalition have spoken in favor of permanently occupying Gaza.
              • The road that leads us to the de-facto Israeli occupation of Gaza. Nobody will say it explicitly, not Netanyahu, maybe the extreme right-wing of this government, maybe Smotrich and Ben-Gvir, but Netanyahu won't say it out loud.
              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication

              98%

              • Unique Points
                • President Joe Biden has proposed a three-phase deal aimed at ending the Israel-Hamas conflict.
                • President Biden is pushing for a cease-fire deal with Hamas that includes the release of remaining hostages held by the group.
                • Biden's criticism of Israel's military actions in Gaza has stirred controversy and divided Israeli public opinion.
                • President Joe Biden called for a ceasefire in Gaza, which Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has given conflicting signals about supporting.
              • Accuracy
                • The third phase includes a permanent ceasefire, allowing reconstruction of Gaza and an ultimate end to the war in which over 36,000 Palestinians have been killed.
                • Netanyahu himself has attempted to disassociate himself from the project despite US claims that it came from Israel.
              • Deception (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Fallacies (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Bias (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication