Kamala Harris Narrows Gap with Donald Trump in 2024 Presidential Race: Key Poll Findings

Washington D.C., District of Columbia, United States United States of America
A New York Times/Siena College poll found that Harris is doing better among young and Hispanic voters than President Biden did.
Biden left the presidential race after weeks of turmoil within his party and endorsed Harris as the Democratic nominee.
In a Fox News poll, Harris is tied with Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and trails him by one point in Wisconsin.
Kamala Harris has narrowed the gap with Donald Trump in several national polls since launching her campaign for president.
Most voters in four battleground states approve of Biden’s decision to end his re-election bid and want him to complete his term.
Kamala Harris Narrows Gap with Donald Trump in 2024 Presidential Race: Key Poll Findings

In recent polls, Vice President Kamala Harris has shown a narrowing gap with former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election. According to multiple national polls taken since Harris launched her campaign, the Democrats' deficit has been cut in half. Some closely watched polls have even shown Harris and Trump in a statistical tie.

The latest Fox News poll reveals that Harris is tied with Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while trailing him by one point in Wisconsin. This comes after former President Biden left the race, endorsing Harris as the Democratic nominee.

Despite these developments, it's important to note that no single poll should be taken as definitive evidence of the election outcome. It is crucial to consider multiple sources and perspectives when evaluating political news.

Here are some key facts from various sources regarding the 2024 presidential race:

  1. Kamala Harris has narrowed the gap with Donald Trump in several national polls since launching her campaign for president.
  2. In a Fox News poll, Harris is tied with Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and trails him by one point in Wisconsin.
  3. Biden left the presidential race after weeks of turmoil within his party and endorsed Harris as the Democratic nominee.
  4. A New York Times/Siena College poll found that Harris is doing better among young and Hispanic voters than President Biden did.
  5. Most voters in four battleground states approve of Biden's decision to end his re-election bid and want him to complete his term.


Confidence

90%

Doubts
  • It's important to note that no single poll should be taken as definitive evidence of the election outcome.
  • The New York Times/Siena College poll only represents the opinions of voters in four battleground states.

Sources

85%

  • Unique Points
    • Most voters in four battleground states approve of President Joe Biden getting out of the presidential race and two-thirds want him to complete his term.
    • Three-quarters or more approve of Biden’s decision to end his re-election bid.
    • Two-thirds want Biden to finish his term rather than resign.
  • Accuracy
    • In the horserace between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, they are tied in two states (Michigan and Pennsylvania), Trump is ahead by 1 point in Wisconsin, and Harris is up by 6 in Minnesota.
    • Fewer than one voter in five feels they are ‘getting ahead’ financially, as the largest number say they are ‘falling behind.’
    • The economy is the top issue to twice as many voters as the next highest issues, immigration and abortion.
    • Trump is preferred over Harris by wide margins among voters prioritizing the economy and immigration. Harris is favored among those saying abortion is their top issue.
    • Biden’s favorable ratings are a bit worse than in April and well below both Harris and Trump.
    • Democratic candidates for the U.S. Senate outperform Harris’s vote share in the horserace.
  • Deception (70%)
    The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position. For example, the statement 'Most voters in four battleground states approve of President Joe Biden getting out of the presidential race and two-thirds want him to complete his term,' implies that a majority of voters want Biden to finish his term, but it does not mention that a significant number also want him to resign. Additionally, the article states 'Fewer than one voter in five feels they are ‘getting ahead’ financially,' which is presented as a problem for Democrats, but it does not mention that this sentiment is also shared by many Republicans. The article also contains editorializing with statements like 'Most Democrats want Harris to replace Biden as their party’s presidential nominee' and 'Trump is meeting or exceeding his 2020 vote share in the two-way race against Harris.' These statements are the author's opinions and not facts.
    • Fewer than one voter in five feels they are ‘getting ahead’ financially,
    • Most voters in four battleground states approve of President Joe Biden getting out of the presidential race and two-thirds want him to complete his term,
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several instances of inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority. It also presents a dichotomous depiction of the political landscape by pitting Kamala Harris against Donald Trump without acknowledging other potential candidates or considering nuanced positions on issues. However, no formal logical fallacies were identified.
    • . . . two-thirds want him (Biden) to complete his term rather than resign.
    • Harris and Trump are tied in two states (Michigan and Pennsylvania), Trump is ahead by 1 point in Wisconsin, and Harris is up by 6 in Minnesota.
    • Trump is preferred over Harris by wide margins among voters prioritizing the economy and immigration.
    • The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Kamala Harris is doing better among young and Hispanic voters than President Biden did.
    • Ms. Harris's favorable rating is at 46%, up from 36% when last asked about her in February.
  • Accuracy
    • Kamala Harris has narrowed the gap with Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
    • Harris is tied with Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and down 1 point from him in Wisconsin.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • Kamala Harris has narrowed the gap with Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
    • Seven national polls taken since Harris launched her presidential bid have cut the Democrats’ deficit about in half.
    • Some closely watched polls, including a Wall Street JournalBloomberg Terminal poll, have Harris in a statistical tie with Trump.
  • Accuracy
    • They are tied in two states (Michigan and Pennsylvania), Trump is ahead by 1 point in Wisconsin, and Harris is up by 6 in Minnesota.
    • Donald Trump is ahead of Kamala Harris by one percentage point, 48% to 47% among likely voters.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • Harris has quickly garnered key endorsements and raked in massive amounts of fundraising.
    • Biden left the presidential race after weeks of turmoil in his party over his candidacy.
  • Accuracy
    • Vice President Harris is tied with former President Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and down 1 point from him in Wisconsin.
    • ,
    • ,
    • In April, Biden was tied with Trump in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and was 3 points behind him in Michigan.
    • A new poll from the Wall Street Journal found Trump leading Harris by 2 points.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication