Mixed Stock Market Performances: Dow Hits New Record Amid Disappointing Earnings and Anticipated Chinese Leadership Meeting

Beijing, China China
China's GDP grows at 4.7% in Q2 of 2024, missing expectations of a 5.1% expansion forecast by Reuters poll
China's top leaders expected to gather for the Third Plenum meeting on July 18, 2024
Dow Jones Industrial Average sets new record on July 16, 2024
Europe's Stoxx 600 index drops 0.4% on July 16, 2024
Former U.S. President Donald Trump faces an assassination attempt at a rally over the weekend on July 16, 2024
Hugo Boss slumps after cutting profit guidance due to weaker demand for high-end fashion on July 16, 2024
JP Morgan revises China's annual economic growth forecast to 4.9% in Q3 of 2024
Rio Tinto Group declines after giving disappointing guidance on copper operations on July 17, 2024
U.S. futures rise with contracts for the S&P 500 up 0.25%, Nasdaq gains about 0.41% and Dow Jones Industrial Average higher by 0.24% on July 17, 2024
Mixed Stock Market Performances: Dow Hits New Record Amid Disappointing Earnings and Anticipated Chinese Leadership Meeting

Stock markets around the world saw mixed performances on July 16 and 17, with some indices experiencing gains while others declined. The Dow Jones Industrial Average set a new record on July 16, but disappointing corporate earnings weighed on sentiment in Europe and Asia.

In Europe, the Stoxx 600 index dropped 0.4%, with most sectors in the red. Hugo Boss slumped 11% after cutting its profit guidance due to weaker demand for high-end fashion. Miners were the worst-performing industry group, as Rio Tinto Group declined after giving disappointing guidance on its copper operations.

In Asia, China's GDP grew 4.7% in the second quarter, missing expectations of a 5.1% expansion forecast by a Reuters poll and lower than the 5.3% rise seen in the first quarter. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 1.73%, while mainland China's CSI 300 was up slightly at 3,476.25.

China's top leaders are expected to gather this week for a highly anticipated meeting known as the Third Plenum, with analysts expecting the gathering to focus on areas such as high local government debt levels and a push for advanced manufacturing.

Investors also kept an eye on U.S. futures, which rose on Monday morning, with contracts for the S&P 500 up 0.25%, while those for the Nasdaq saw gains of about 0.41%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 0.24%.

Meanwhile, in other news, former U.S. President Donald Trump faced an assassination attempt at a rally over the weekend, and David Roche, president of Quantum Strategy, predicted that Trump would win the presidency with an increased probability of a Republican clean sweep of both the House of Representatives and the Senate.

JP Morgan revised its forecast for China's annual economic growth to 4.9%, while Goldman Sachs kept its forecast at 4.8%. Yields for longer-term Treasurys remained low, with the 10-year Treasury yield hovering around 2.5%.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak on inflation and interest rates later this week.

In other markets, oil prices fell, with US benchmark crude oil priced at $81.68 per barrel and Brent crude at $84.64 per barrel.

The Japanese yen was trading at 158.56 to the dollar, while the euro was valued at $1.0891.



Confidence

91%

Doubts
  • Are there any conflicts of interest in JP Morgan's economic growth forecast for China?
  • Is the assassination attempt on Donald Trump a credible threat?

Sources

96%

  • Unique Points
    • Disappointing corporate earnings weighed on sentiment.
    • Hugo Boss slumped 11% after cutting profit guidance due to weaker demand for high-end fashion.
  • Accuracy
    • European stocks fell.
    • Asian stocks were mixed.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • China reported annual economic growth had fallen from 5.3% to 4.7% in the April to June quarter
    • Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for China’s annual economic growth to 4.9%
    • Four-day economic meeting of the ruling Communist Party expected to set strategies and policies for the coming decade
  • Accuracy
    • China's GDP grew 4.7% in Q2
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The article contains some instances of appeals to authority and inflammatory rhetoric, but no formal or dichotomous fallacies are present. The author reports on the opinions of economists and their revised growth forecasts for China as a result of weaker economic data. This is an appeal to authority as these economists are considered experts in their field. Additionally, there are instances of inflammatory rhetoric such as 'Some of the market’s best performing areas were ones that do best when former President Donald Trump’s chances for election look better.' and 'Trump could get an immediate bump in his support in polls, as President Ronald Regan did in 1981.' These statements are not fallacious, but rather expressive language used to convey the potential impact of certain events on the market and Trump's political standing.
    • ][The author] reports on the opinions of economists and their revised growth forecasts for China as a result of weaker economic data. This is an appeal to authority.[/]
    • [[]Some of the market’s best performing areas were ones that do best when former President Donald Trump’s chances for election look better.[/
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • China's GDP grew 4.7% in Q2, missing expectations of a 5.1% expansion
    • China's top leaders will gather for the Third Plenum this week to focus on high local government debt levels and advanced manufacturing
  • Accuracy
    • China reported annual economic growth had fallen from 5.3% to 4.7% in the April to June quarter
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication