New COVID-19 Subvariants KP.2 and KP.3: Concerns of Potential Rise in Cases as Summer Approaches

Seattle, Washington United States of America
CDC data shows COVID-19 infections have been declining since winter but recent reports indicate a 7% increase compared to the previous week's data collection period.
It's unclear if KP.2 causes more severe illness than other variants.
New COVID-19 subvariants KP.2 and KP.3 are gaining traction and account for nearly half of all reported cases in some areas.
Some states, particularly those in the West, are reporting even greater increases in COVID wastewater concentrations.
Symptoms of COVID-19 include sneezing, congestion, headaches, sore muscles, nausea or vomiting and feeling exhausted or experiencing a general 'blah' feeling.
The upcoming fall vaccine is expected to help protect against novel variants and provide cross protection against subvariants like FLiRT (KP.2, KP.3, KP.1.1).
Wastewater surveillance programs show SARS-CoV-2 levels have been rising for the past 21 days.
New COVID-19 Subvariants KP.2 and KP.3: Concerns of Potential Rise in Cases as Summer Approaches

As the summer season approaches, health experts are expressing concerns about a potential rise in COVID-19 cases due to new variants, specifically KP.2 and KP.3. These subvariants of the Omicron variant have been gaining traction and now account for nearly half of all reported cases in some areas.

According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), COVID-19 infections have been on the decline since winter. However, recent reports indicate that national levels of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, have increased by approximately 7% compared to the previous week's data collection period. Wastewater surveillance programs like WastewaterSCAN also show that SARS-CoV-2 levels have been rising in the past 21 days.

Some states, particularly those in the West, are reporting even greater increases in COVID wastewater concentrations. The upcoming fall vaccine is expected to help protect against novel variants and provide cross protection against subvariants like FLiRT (KP.2, KP.3, KP.1.1).

It's important to note that while these new variants may cause more or less severe disease than previous ones, it's unclear at this time whether KP.2 is causing more severe illness than other variants.

If you do fall ill with COVID-19, experts recommend taking a test as soon as symptoms appear or if you have been exposed to the virus. Ideally, take another test a day or two later for accurate results.

Symptoms of COVID-19 include sneezing, congestion, headaches, sore muscles, nausea or vomiting. Many people also report feeling exhausted and experiencing a general 'blah' feeling.

The more immunity you have built up from vaccination or past infections, the milder your next bout with the virus is likely to be.

It's important to remember that symptoms of COVID-19 can look similar to those caused by allergies or other infections. The best way to tell the difference is through testing.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • It's unclear if KP.2 causes more severe illness than other variants.
  • The CDC data and wastewater surveillance reports may not be representative of the entire population.

Sources

96%

  • Unique Points
    • New variants of the coronavirus, including KP.2, are increasing in number and causing a potential rise in cases this summer.
    • Ideally, people should take a COVID test as soon as they develop symptoms or learn they were exposed and then test again a day or two later.
  • Accuracy
    • KP.3 variant is now the dominant strain of COVID-19 nationwide, making up 25% of new cases.
    • If you have had symptoms for more than three days but are still testing negative, it’s unlikely you’ll ever test positive on an at-home test.
    • FLiRT subvariants include KP.2, KP.3, and KP.1.1.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • CDC estimates COVID-19 infections are growing in 30 states and territories.
    • Data from CDC’s wastewater surveillance has tracked levels of the virus starting to accelerate in the West.
  • Accuracy
    • KP.3 variant is now the dominant strain of COVID-19 nationwide, making up 25% of new cases.
    • COVID infections are growing in 30 states and territories.
    • Previous years have seen surges of the virus peak around August.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (95%)
    The author uses the phrase 'very, very similar' multiple times to describe the differences between KP.2 and KP.3 variants and JN.1 variant without providing any concrete evidence or explanation of what makes them similar or different. This is an example of a vague or ambiguous claim fallacy.
    • ][The new KP.3 variant] is now estimated to be outpacing the KP.2 variant, a so-called 'FLiRT' strain that this week inched up to 22.5% of cases.[/
    • Both KP.3 and KP.2 are ‘very, very similar’ to the JN.1 variant that had dominated this past winter’s wave of infections.
    • When you look at KP.2 and KP.3, they’re nearly identical to each other with really one difference between the two of them.
    • Thornburg was speaking at a Food and Drug Administration meeting debating what strains should be targeted by this fall’s vaccines. ‘JN.1 and KP-2-like viruses, they’re really, really on top of each other. And KP.3 is very close, but not absolutely on top of it.’
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • Today the Food and Drug Administration’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee unanimously voted in favor of an updated 2024-2025 monovalent COVID vaccine to target the JN.1 lineage.
    • Data from vaccine manufacturers Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax showed that formulas based on JN.1 provided cross protection against subvariants in the lineage, including FLiRT variants.
    • COVID infections in the U.S. have declined since this past winter.
    • National levels reported on May 25 increased approximately 7 percent from the previous week’s data collection period.
    • WastewaterSCAN, a separate wastewater dataset monitored by researchers at Stanford University and Emory University, indicates that SARS-CoV-2 levels have been high and continuing to rise in the past 21 days.
    • Some states, particularly in the West, have been reporting even greater increases in COVID wastewater concentrations.
    • The upcoming fall vaccine is expected to help protect against novel variants.
    • It’s unclear whether KP.2 is causing more or less severe disease than previous variants.
  • Accuracy
    • COVID deaths were down from the previous fall-winter season in 2022 to 2023 but were still worse than flu: those hospitalized with COVID had an approximately 35 percent higher risk of death.
    • Versions of the COVID vaccines that target the XBB.1.5 variant are available, and those who are age 65 and older or immunocompromised are eligible to receive an additional shot if they already received one in the fall of 2023.
    • A study published in the New England Journal of Medicine on May 29 showed the XBB.1.5 vaccine reached 52 percent effectiveness against infection after four weeks, then immunity began to wane.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • FLiRT is a new family of viral subvariants of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID-19.
    • FLiRT subvariants include KP.2, KP.3, and KP.1.1.
  • Accuracy
    • FLiRT is a new family of viral subvariants of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID-19. KP.2 is currently the dominant strain nationwide, accounting for 29% of infections during the two-week period ending May 25.
    • The CDC hasn’t identified specific symptoms for FLiRT infection but recommends keeping an eye out for traditional COVID-19 symptoms.
    • COVID-19 immunizations are still recommended to provide a notable measure of protection against the newer variants, especially for high-risk individuals.
    • The 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines may offer better protection against FLiRT variants.
    • People who have already been infected by JN.1, a previous subvariant, are likely to have natural cross-immunity against the FLiRT variants.
    • FLiRT variants may cause an upsurge in cases during the summer but are expected to be less severe than past variants.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (90%)
    The article contains a few instances of inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority without explicitly naming fallacies. The author states that the CDC hasn't identified symptoms specific to FLiRT infection but then lists traditional COVID-19 symptoms, implying a connection. Additionally, the author quotes Dr. William Schaffner as an expert opinion on COVID-19 vaccines and their effectiveness against FLiRT variants.
    • The CDC hasn't identified symptoms specific to FLiRT infection, but...
    • Congestion or runny nose, cough, diarrhea...
    • According to the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA)...
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • Experts are bracing for a potential rise in Covid cases this summer due to new variants KP.3 and KP.2.
  • Accuracy
    • New variants of the coronavirus, including KP.2, are increasing in number and causing a potential rise in cases this summer.
    • FLiRT is a new family of viral subvariants of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID-19. KP.2 is currently the dominant strain nationwide.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication