Brewing Atlantic Disturbance Shows Potential for Tropical Depression or Storm

A new tropical disturbance is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean.
Conditions are expected to become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation later this month.
The National Hurricane Center gives it a medium (40%) chance of becoming a named system by mid-week.
The system shows signs of potential momentum.
Brewing Atlantic Disturbance Shows Potential for Tropical Depression or Storm

A new tropical disturbance is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean, and meteorologists are closely monitoring its development. According to multiple sources, including the National Hurricane Center and AccuWeather, the system shows signs of potential momentum.

The Atlantic hurricane season has been relatively quiet since Hurricane Beryl caused significant damage in early July. However, conditions are expected to become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation later this month as dry and dusty air from Africa's Sahara Desert diminishes and ocean temperatures continue to rise.

The disturbance is currently located in the central Atlantic Ocean and may develop into a tropical depression or storm within the next few days. The National Hurricane Center gives it a medium (40%) chance of becoming a named system by mid-week.

Michael Lowry, hurricane specialist and storm surge expert at Local 10 News Weather Authority, warns that this year's higher water temperatures increase the chances of a tropical cyclone quickly strengthening from a depression into a storm or hurricane. The most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season typically runs from mid-August to mid-October, with activity peaking around September 10.

It is important to note that all sources should be approached with skepticism, as mainstream media outlets have been known to bias their reporting. Be sure to consult multiple reliable sources and cross-reference information before forming conclusions.



Confidence

80%

Doubts
  • The exact location and strength of the disturbance may change.
  • The National Hurricane Center's prediction of a 40% chance of development may be subject to change.

Sources

98%

  • Unique Points
    • A new disturbance is brewing in the tropics and is being tracked by the National Hurricane Center.
    • The system shows signs it could develop momentum.
    • Dust from Africa’s Sahara Desert and dry air have hindered tropical cyclone formation in the Atlantic over the last month.
    • Activity is expected to pick up at the end of July and early August as dry and dusty air diminishes and ocean temperatures continue to rise.
    • AccuWeather predicts there will be at least some development in early August.
    • The disturbance is predicted to develop within a day or two and could form a tropical depression mid-to-late week.
    • The system may face more favorable conditions for tropical development in August.
  • Accuracy
    • Beryl made landfall on Carriacou Island on July 1 as a Category 4 hurricane before weakening to a Category 1 and slamming the Texas coast.
    • The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30 and is expected to be extremely active.
    • Beryl broke records, rapidly strengthening to the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the Atlantic for the possibility of a tropical depression forming mid- to late week near the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, southwestern Atlantic Ocean or the southeastern Bahamas.
    • If a tropical cyclone forms, it is predicted to move near Florida or the Southeast coast.
  • Accuracy
    • The disturbance may approach the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week and move into a more favorable environment for development.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • The National Hurricane Center has given a central tropical Atlantic disturbance a medium (40%) chance of becoming a tropical storm or depression within the next week.
    • The disturbance is currently around 2,500 miles away from Florida.
  • Accuracy
    • The disturbance may approach the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week and move into a more favorable environment for development.
    • AccuWeather predicts there will be at least some development in early August.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • Michael Lowry warns that this year’s higher water temperatures increase the chances of a tropical cyclone quickly strengthening from a depression into a storm or hurricane.
  • Accuracy
    • A tropical wave is pushing west in the central Atlantic Ocean and could potentially form into a tropical storm or hurricane.
    • , A new disturbance is brewing in the tropics and is being tracked by the National Hurricane Center.
    • , The system may face more favorable conditions for tropical development in August.
    • , The National Hurricane Center has given a central tropical Atlantic disturbance a medium (40%) chance of becoming a tropical storm or depression within the next week.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • All necessary atmospheric conditions are estimated to come together within the next week and a half, opening the door for more hurricanes.
    • The most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season typically runs from mid-August to mid-October, with activity peaking around September 10.
  • Accuracy
    • Hurricane season has been relatively quiet for nearly three weeks after producing historic Hurricane Beryl.
    • The Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be hyperactive.
    • Beryl made landfall on Carriacou Island on July 1 as a Category 4 hurricane before weakening to a Category 1 and slamming the Texas coast.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication