New York Jury's Trump Verdict: A Game Changer for 2024 Presidential Race?

New York, New York United States of America
Democrats are torn over whether the conviction will help President Biden in November
New York jury found former President Donald Trump guilty of falsifying business records
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has come to Trump's defense, further galvanizing support from establishment Republicans
Trump is scheduled for sentencing on July 11, which could lead to prison time just days before the Republican National Convention
Trump's campaign saw a surge in fundraising following the guilty verdict, raising over $140 million in May and announcing a $35 million haul
Yale Law Professor Jed Rubenfeld suggested a legal strategy for Trump's team to limit the impact of Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's case on the 2024 presidential election
New York Jury's Trump Verdict: A Game Changer for 2024 Presidential Race?

A week after a New York jury found former President Donald Trump guilty of falsifying business records, the political landscape is shifting as both Democrats and Republicans react to the verdict. While some see it as an opportunity to attack Trump's character and campaign, others view it as a potential boost for his bid for re-election in 2024.

According to reports, Trump's campaign saw a surge in fundraising following the guilty verdict, raising over $140 million in May and announcing a $35 million haul. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has also come to Trump's defense, further galvanizing support from establishment Republicans.

Democrats, on the other hand, are torn over whether the conviction will help President Biden in November. Some believe it could be a powerful campaign tool against Trump, while others worry that it may not resonate with voters or even backfire. In an interview with ABC's David Muir, Biden himself tested out calling Trump a convicted felon.

Yale Law Professor Jed Rubenfeld has suggested another strategy for Trump's legal team to limit the impact of Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's case on the 2024 presidential election. According to Rubenfeld, one is not considered a convicted felon until the judge enters the judgment of guilt.

As Trump is scheduled for sentencing on July 11, which could lead to prison time just days before the Republican National Convention, this legal strategy could potentially play a significant role in the coming weeks. The appeal process through the New York Appeals Court system and eventually to the Supreme Court is also expected to take place soon.


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Confidence

91%

Doubts
  • It's unclear how the appeal process will unfold and its potential impact on the 2024 election
  • The exact amount of prison time Trump may face if convicted is uncertain

Sources

85%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Yale law professor says Trump isn't a convicted felon despite guilty verdict -- here's why

New York Post Fox News Saturday, 08 June 2024 22:16
  • Unique Points
    • A Yale Law professor suggests a strategy for former President Trump’s legal team to limit the impact of the Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s case on the 2024 presidential election.
    • Yale Law Professor Jed Rubenfeld argues that one is not considered a convicted felon until the judge enters the judgment of guilt.
    • Trump is scheduled for sentencing on July 11, which could lead to prison time just days before the Republican National Convention.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (50%)
    The author, Jed Rubenfeld of Fox News, makes several statements that could be considered deceptive or misleading. He states that 'You are not convicted until the judge enters that judgment of guilt.' This is technically correct but misleading in context as Trump has been found guilty by a jury and is awaiting sentencing. Rubenfeld also implies that the conviction could interfere with the 2024 presidential election, stating 'it could have an effect on that election of the next President of the United States.' However, he does not provide any evidence to support this claim. Additionally, Rubenfeld expresses concern over how it's a 'bad look for this country' to criminally target former presidents and implies that there are serious constitutional arguments against the case. However, he does not disclose what these arguments are or provide any evidence to support them.
    • You are not convicted until the judge enters that judgment of guilt.
    • It could have an effect on that election of the next President of the United States.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (95%)
    Fox News author Jed Rubenfeld expresses concern over the political implications of former President Trump's conviction and suggests that it could interfere with the upcoming presidential election. He argues that an unlawful conviction could result in 'irreparable harm' and implies that those bringing the case against Trump do not have 'the goods'. Rubenfeld also advocates for a federal court to review the constitutionality of the prosecution before the election takes place.
    • It's a very bad look for this country, going after criminally a former president of the United States and somebody who is running for president now.
      • Maybe that's what the nation needs, and maybe that's what the law requires here.
        • That could be a very dangerous precedent for this country. A very bad and dangerous precedent.
          • You better not be pursuing some novel legal theory where you have to hide the ball [and] it's not even clear what the charges are.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          79%

          The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
          (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

          A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

          Democrats torn over Trump conviction one week later

          The Hill News Site: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate-seethe-republicans-call-for-israeli-elections/ Alex Gangitano Saturday, 08 June 2024 10:00
          • Unique Points
            • A week after a New York jury found former President Trump guilty of falsifying business records,
            • Democrats are torn over whether the conviction will help President Biden in November.
            • Trump’s campaign announced a $35 million fundraising haul after the guilty verdict and raised over $140 million in May.
            • Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is coming to Trump’s defense, supercharging GOP support for him.
          • Accuracy
            • Trump's support remained steady in the aftermath of his convictions according to polling data.
            • A quarter of voters said they were more likely to support Trump after the conviction.
            • Independents seem to resonate with Biden’s message regarding Trump’s conviction as a clear hit against him as a candidate.
          • Deception (30%)
            The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position about the impact of Trump's conviction on Biden's election chances. The author quotes several Democrats expressing skepticism about the conviction being a game changer in the election and includes polling data showing Trump's support remaining steady. However, these counter-arguments are not balanced with any quotes or information from Republicans or Trump supporters who may have a different perspective.
            • A week after a New York jury found former President Trump guilty of falsifying business records, Democrats are torn over whether the conviction will help President Biden in November.
            • But in what is expected to be a tight race that may be decided on the margins, Democrats aren’t sure the first ever conviction of a former president on criminal charges is a massive win for Biden.
            • Some though are skeptical the efforts will work given Trump’s ability to deflect controversy and scandal.
          • Fallacies (85%)
            The author makes several appeals to authority in the article. For example, when quoting Steve Elmendorf and Jim Kessler, the author implies that their opinions hold weight due to their positions or expertise. Additionally, there are instances of inflammatory rhetoric used by both Biden and Trump that could be seen as attempts to sway public opinion. However, no formal logical fallacies were identified in the article.
            • ][Steve Elmendorf], a Democratic lobbyist and donor... thinks the conviction, while not a game changer, helps on the margins with a small group of voters.[/]
            • [Jim Kessler], executive vice president for policy at Third Way... it's going to be close and it's going to be decided on the issues at the ballot box between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, convicted felon or not.[
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          90%

          The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
          (Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

          A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

          Hear what undecided voters think of Trump after guilty verdict

          CNN News Site: In-Depth Reporting and Analysis with Some Financial Conflicts and Sensational Language Ally Hill Friday, 07 June 2024 01:59
          • Unique Points
            • CNN spoke with a group of undecided female voters from Georgia about their thoughts on Donald Trump’s guilty verdict in his hush money criminal trial
            • Trump is beating Biden in key swing states, according to a poll
          • Accuracy
            • Trump calls for indictment of Jan. 6 committee members
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication