In Iowa, where voting begins on Monday, Haley sits at 20% compared to Trumps 54%
in New Hampshire she is now tied with DeSantis for second place behind Trump
new polling shows her closing the gap between herself and former President Donald Trump
Nikki Haley has emerged as a strong contender in the Republican presidential race
Nikki Haley has emerged as a strong contender in the Republican presidential race, with new polling showing her closing the gap between herself and former President Donald Trump. In Iowa, where voting begins on Monday, Haley sits at 20% compared to Trumps 54%, while in New Hampshire she is now tied with DeSantis for second place behind Trump. The rest of the field lags far behind, with Christie sitting at just 12%. Despite facing criticism from some Republicans over her decision not to run until after the midterms, Haley has gained support among moderates and independents in New Hampshire.
Former President Trump has lost support in New Hampshire since November
Nikki Haley sits at 28 percent, up from 18 percent in November.
Chris Christie suspended his campaign on Wednesday with 12 percent support in New Hampshire
`The Suffolk University survey of 500 Iowa voters likely to participate in Monday's GOP presidential caucusesσshow Trump at 54%, Haley at 29% and DeSantis at 18%
Nikki Haley has trimmed Donald Trump's lead in the Republican primary race in New Hampshire to single digits.
`The rest of the field lags far behind, with Chris Christie at 12%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 8%, Ron DeSantis at 5% and Asa Hutchinson less than 1%
Support for Haley has risen by 12 percentage points since November
`Trump leads Haley by 47 percentage points among conservatives, by 39 points among registered Republicans and by 25 points among those without college degrees.
σHaley tops Trump in every demographic group except for white voters aged over 18 years old
Nikki Haley has gained support in New Hampshire while Donald Trump has lost it
Accuracy
`The Suffolk University survey of 500 Iowa voters likely to participate in Monday's GOP presidential caucusesσ shows Trump at 54%, Haley at 29% and DeSantis at 18%
`The rest of the field lags far behind, with Chris Christie at 12%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 8%, Ron DeSantis at 5% and Asa Hutchinson less than 1%.
`Trump leads Haley by 47 percentage points among conservatives, by 39 points among registered Republicans and by 25 points among those without college degrees.
`Haley tops Trump by 48 percentage points among moderates, 21 percentage points among undeclared voters and only a single point over Trump in the group of college graduates.
Christie lands in second between Haley and Trump in each of these three groups.
`Trumpχs supporters are less solidly committed than his base with only about 81% saying they have definitely decided on him, compared to a slim majority (54%) of Haley➹s current backers.
Just 46% of those backing other candidates in the race are decided
`Among those whose first choice is neither Haley nor Trump, 38% say that Haley would be their second choice for the nomination and only 21% pick Trump as their top alternative.
Christie has pushed back against calls from Haley allies to drop out of the race
`Only about 4 in 10 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire say they plan to vote for Donald Trump, but a majority (69%) are opposed to the ruling blocking him from Maine➹s ballot.
Just 23% of likely GOP primary voters support the decision by Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows that Trump is ineligible to run in Maineߩs GOP primary.
`Roughly three-quarters of likely Republican primary voters say they believe partisan politics factored at least somewhat into the ruling, with 63% saying it factored a lot.
Within the likely GOP electorate, there is a significant divide between Trump supporters and those who don➹t back him.
`Virtually all Trump supporters in New Hampshire strongly oppose the Maine ruling blocking him from their state➹s ballot (98%), while only 3% say he bears much responsibility for what happened on January 6.
Half of likely GOP primary voters who don➹t support Trump oppose the Maine ruling, with another 10% neutral or unsure.
`A majority (58%) of these voters also believe that partisan politics factored at least somewhat into the decision by Bellows to block Trump from running in Maine.
There is a divide between Republican primary voters and New Hampshire residents as a whole on this issue, with 49%-42% saying they support or oppose the ruling.
`Most (58%) of these voters also believe that partisan politics factored at least somewhat into the decision by Bellows.
President Joe Biden➹s job approval rating in New Hampshire stands at 41%, with 58% disapproving, according to a separate poll conducted online January 1-8.
`Biden dominates the Democratic field in this state, with about two-thirds of likely Democratic primary voters saying they will write his name on their ballots.
About one-third (32%) of these voters view Biden unfavorably, while half (51%) are neutral or unsure.
`Phillips➹ favorability rating stands at just 8% among the likely electorate in New Hampshire, with most neutral (41%) or unsure (39%).
`Williamson gets an 8% favorable rating here, with half viewing her unfavorably.
The CNN/UNH poll was conducted online January 4-8 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Results among the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.
Deception
(30%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it presents the results of a poll as fact without providing any context or explanation for how the poll was conducted or what its limitations are. This can be seen in statements such as 'An Emerson College Polling/WHDH New Hampshire survey released Thursday found Trump with 44 percent support among Republican primary voters in the Granite State, down from 49 percent in November.' and 'The Republican presidential contenders are just days away from the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses, which kick-start the party's presidential nominating cycle followed by New Hampshire's primary Jan. 23.', without providing any information on how these poll results were obtained or what their reliability is.
The article presents a single poll result as fact without providing any context or explanation for how it was conducted, which can be seen in the statement 'Haley sits at 28 percent, up from 18 percent in November.'
The article presents a single poll result as fact without providing any context or explanation for how it was conducted, which can be seen in the statement 'An Emerson College Polling/WHDH New Hampshire survey released Thursday found Trump with 44 percent support among Republican primary voters in the Granite State, down from 49 percent in November.'
The article presents a single poll result as fact without providing any context or explanation for how it was conducted, which can be seen in the statement 'The Republican presidential contenders are just days away from the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses, which kick-start the party's presidential nominating cycle followed by New Hampshire's primary Jan. 23.'
Fallacies
(70%)
The article contains several fallacies. Firstly, the author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Trump has lost support in New Hampshire since November and Haley has gained support in the state's presidential primary without providing any evidence or data to back up this claim. Secondly, the author commits a hasty generalization by stating that Trump is leading the field by double-digits in both states, but Haley has been gaining ground in New Hampshire, as non-Trump candidates scramble to stand out as the top alternative to him. This statement assumes that all non-Trump candidates are equally viable and ignores other factors such as voter demographics or issues that may influence their support.
Former President Trump has lost support in New Hampshire since November, while Republican rival Nikki Haley has gained support in the state's presidential primary
Trump is leading the field by double-digits in both states, but Haley has been gaining ground in New Hampshire
Bias
(75%)
The article contains examples of ideological bias. The author uses language that depicts one side as extreme or unreasonable by stating that the non-Trump candidates are scrambling to stand out as the top alternative to Trump.
>Haley has been gaining ground in New Hampshire, as the non-Trump candidates scramble to stand out as the top alternative to Trump.
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Julia Mueller has a conflict of interest on the topics of Trump and Haley as she is reporting on their performance in the presidential primary. She also has a financial tie to DeSantis as he was her former boss.
A new poll in Iowa suggests that Nikki Haley has moved past Ron DeSantis for a distant second place behind Donald Trump
`The Suffolk University survey of 500 Iowa voters likely to participate in Monday's GOP presidential caucuses` shows Trump at 54%, Haley at 20% and DeSantis at 13%
Accuracy
No Contradictions at Time
Of
Publication
Deception
(50%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that Haley has moved past DeSantis for a distant second place behind Trump. However, this statement is misleading because the poll was conducted before the debate and does not reflect any change in support after the debate. Secondly, it quotes Christie as saying he did not campaign in Iowa which implies that he had no impact on Haley's rise to second place. This is also false because Christie suspended his campaign after a poor performance in New Hampshire which was likely due to DeSantis' strong showing in the polls at the time. Lastly, it quotes DeSantis as saying he will win Iowa despite being down double digits in the polls and then later stating that he is not sure if they will win. This shows a lack of confidence and inconsistency which undermines his credibility.
The article states that Haley has moved past DeSantis for a distant second place behind Trump, but this statement is misleading because the poll was conducted before the debate.
Fallacies
(85%)
The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by stating that former President Trump stands at 54% support in the poll. The author also uses a dichotomous depiction of Haley and DeSantis's positions on issues when he states that Haley has moved past DeSantis for second place, while DeSantis saw his support erode after campaign setbacks over the summer and autumn.
Former President Trump stands at 54% support in the poll.
Bias
(85%)
The author of the article is Paul Steinhauser and he has a history of bias towards Trump. The title mentions that Haley has moved past DeSantis for second place behind Trump in Iowa which implies that she is gaining ground on him. However, this statement contradicts the fact mentioned later in the article that DeSantis was once considered as an alternative to Trump and he still holds a commanding lead over her. The author also mentions Vivek Ramaswamy who has been campaigning across Iowa for months but his support is only 6% which indicates that he is not gaining much ground in the state. The article also highlights DeSantis's poor performance in recent polls and how Haley surpassed him to take second place behind Trump. This suggests that there may be a bias towards Trump as the author seems to focus more on his campaign than other candidates.
The article highlights Vivek Ramaswamy's poor performance in recent polls and how Haley surpassed him to take second place behind Trump
The title mentions that Haley has moved past DeSantis for second place behind Trump in Iowa
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Paul Steinhauser has a conflict of interest on the topics of Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis as he is reporting on their positions in the Republican presidential nominating calendar. He also has a financial tie to Vivek Ramaswamy through his ownership stake in The Lincoln Project, which opposes Trump.
DeSantis's campaign is struggling
Haley pulls ahead of DeSantis
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Paul Steinhauser has a conflict of interest on the topics of Haley and DeSantis as he is reporting on their positions in the Republican presidential nominating calendar.
Nikki Haley is now a clear contender for GOP voters looking for an alternative to Donald Trump.
Haley sits at 28% in the new poll, up from 18% in November.
Accuracy
Chris Christie has exited the Republican primary race.
Former President Trump has lost support in New Hampshire since November, while Republican rival Nikki Haley has gained support in the state's presidential primary.
Deception
(30%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the title implies that Chris Christie's exit from the race will give Nikki Haley a critical boost when in fact it does not mention any specific boost or advantage for her. Secondly, the sentence 'But she still faces a tough challenge in a party that has grown increasingly reliant on working-class Republicans
The title implies that Chris Christie's exit will give Nikki Haley a critical boost when in fact it does not mention any specific boost or advantage for her.
The sentence 'But she still faces a tough challenge in a party that has grown increasingly reliant on working-class Republicans
Fallacies
(70%)
The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by stating that Chris Christie's exit from the Republican primary race gives Nikki Haley a clear chance to corner the market among GOP voters looking for an alternative to Donald Trump. This statement implies that Christie has some sort of influence or power over the party, which is not necessarily true.
Chris Christie's exit from the Republican primary race gives Nikki Haley a clear chance to corner the market among GOP voters looking for an alternative to Donald Trump.
Bias
(75%)
The article contains a statement that implies the author is biased towards Nikki Haley's candidacy. The sentence says 'Christie Exit Gives Nikki Haley a Critical Boost'. This suggests that the author believes that Christie's exit will benefit Haley, which could be seen as an endorsement of her candidacy.
Chris Christie Exit Gives Nikki Haley a Critical Boost
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
The author has conflicts of interest on the topics of Chris Christie and Nikki Haley as they are both potential candidates for the 2024 presidential election. The article also mentions New Hampshire and Iowa which could be considered states where these candidates may run.
Nikki Haley has trimmed Donald Trump's lead in the Republican primary race in New Hampshire to single digits.
Trump still holds a meaningful lead with 39% of likely Republican primary voters compared to Haley's 32%.
Support for Haley has risen by 12 percentage points since November, while her opponents have seen their numbers remain stable or tick slightly downward.
Haley tops Trump by 40 percentage points among moderates.
Christie lands in second between Haley and Trump in each of these three groups.
Trump's supporters are less solidly committed than his base with only about 80% saying they have definitely decided on him, compared to a slim majority (54%) of Haley's current backers.
Just 23% of likely GOP primary voters support the decision by Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows that Trump is ineligible to run in Maine's GOP primary.
Roughly three-quarters of likely Republican primary voters say they believe partisan politics factored at least somewhat into the ruling, with 63% saying it factored a lot.
Within the likely GOP electorate, there is a significant divide between Trump supporters and those who don't back him.
Virtually all Trump supporters in New Hampshire strongly oppose the Maine ruling blocking him from their state's ballot (99%), while just 3% say he bears much responsibility for what happened on January 6.
Half of likely GOP primary voters who don't support Trump oppose the Maine ruling, with another 12% neutral or unsure.
A majority (63%) of these voters also believe that partisan politics factored at least somewhat into the decision by Bellows to block Trump from running in Maine.
There is a divide between Republican primary voters and New Hampshire residents as a whole on this issue, with 49%-42% saying they support or oppose the ruling.
Most (63%) of these voters also believe that partisan politics factored at least somewhat into the decision by Bellows.
President Joe Biden's job approval rating in New Hampshire stands at 42%, with 57% disapproving, according to a separate poll conducted online January 1-8.
Biden dominates the Democratic field in this state, with about two-thirds of likely Democratic primary voters saying they will write his name on their ballots.
About one-third (30%) of these voters view Biden unfavorably, while half (50%) are neutral or unsure.
Phillips' favorability rating stands at just 10% among the likely electorate in New Hampshire, with most neutral (24%) or unsure (36%).
Williamson gets an 8% favorable rating here, with half viewing her unfavorably.
The CNN/UNH poll was conducted online January 4-8 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Results among the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.
Accuracy
Haley tops Trump by 42 points among moderates, 26 points among undeclared voters and 12 points among college graduates.
Just 45% of those backing other candidates in the race are decided, leaving room for further shifts in the final two weeks.
Among those whose first choice is neither Haley nor Trump, 36% say that Haley would be their second choice for the nomination and 30% pick Trump as their top alternative.
Christie has pushed back against calls from Haley allies to drop out of the race, touting his direct opposition to Trump.
Only about 4 in 10 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire say they plan to vote for Donald Trump, but a majority (69%) are opposed to the ruling blocking him from Maine's ballot.
Deception
(30%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the headline claims that Haley has trimmed Trump's lead to single digits when in fact she only reduced it by a few percentage points. Secondly, the author states that support for Haley has risen among undeclared voters and moderates but fails to mention that her support also increased among conservatives and those without college degrees. This is misleading as it suggests that Haley's appeal is limited to only moderate voters when in fact she has gained ground with a variety of voter groups. Thirdly, the article states that Trump leads Haley by 40 percentage points among conservatives but fails to mention that he also leads her by 37 points among registered Republicans and 17 points among those without college degrees. This is misleading as it suggests that Trump's lead is only due to conservative voters when in fact his support extends across a range of voter groups. Finally, the article states that Haley tops Trump by 42 points among moderates but fails to mention that she also leads him by 26 points among undeclared voters and 12 points among college graduates. This is misleading as it suggests that Haley's lead is only due to moderate voters when in fact her support extends across a range of voter groups.
The article states that Trump leads Haley by 40 percentage points among conservatives but fails to mention his lead among registered Republicans and those without college degrees. This is misleading as it suggests that Trump's lead is only due to conservative voters when in fact his support extends across a range of voter groups.
The article states that support for Haley has risen among undeclared voters and moderates but fails to mention her gains in other voter groups such as conservatives and those without college degrees. This is misleading as it suggests that Haley's appeal is limited to only moderate voters when in fact she has gained ground with a variety of voter groups.
The article states that Haley tops Trump by 42 points among moderates but fails to mention her leads in other voter groups such as undeclared voters and college graduates. This is misleading as it suggests that Haley's lead is only due to moderate voters when in fact her support extends across a range of voter groups.
The headline claims that Haley has trimmed Trump's lead to single digits but fails to mention the actual reduction in percentage points. This is misleading as it suggests that Haley's challenge to Trump is much greater than it actually is.
Fallacies
(75%)
The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the results of a poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire as evidence for their claims about Nikki Haley's performance in the Republican primary race. This is problematic because it assumes that just because something was reported on a reputable website, it must be true without question. Additionally, there are several instances where the author uses inflammatory rhetoric to make their points more dramatic and attention-grabbing. For example, they describe Haley's rise in support as
The article contains several examples of informal fallacies.
There are several instances where the author uses inflammatory rhetoric to make their points more dramatic and attention-grabbing.
Bias
(85%)
The author demonstrates a disproportionate number of quotations that reflect a specific position. The article quotes those who are critical of Trump and his supporters more frequently than those who support him.
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Ariel Edwards-Levy has a conflict of interest on the topic of Nikki Haley as she is a former South Carolina Gov. and may have personal or professional ties to her.
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of Nikki Haley as she is a former Governor and potential presidential candidate. The article also mentions other candidates in the Republican primary race including Donald Trump.
