Nikki Haley Gains Ground on Joe Biden in Latest Polls, Trump Still Leads

President Biden is facing a significant challenge in his bid for re-election. According to the New York Times/Siena College poll, 46% of respondents favored Nikki Haley over Joe Biden, while only 37% supported Biden.
The survey also found that among registered voters nationwide, Trump had support from 48%, and Biden had support from 43%. This suggests that the election will be a close one.
Nikki Haley Gains Ground on Joe Biden in Latest Polls, Trump Still Leads

The latest polls show that President Biden is facing a significant challenge in his bid for re-election. According to the New York Times/Siena College poll, 46% of respondents favored Nikki Haley over Joe Biden, while only 37% supported Biden. The survey also found that among registered voters nationwide, Trump had support from 48%, and Biden had support from 43%. This suggests that the election will be a close one.



Confidence

80%

Doubts
  • It's important to note that this poll was conducted before any major events or developments have occurred since it was released.

Sources

75%

  • Unique Points
    • President Joe Biden is 81 years old and the oldest-serving president in US history. If reelected, he will break his own record of the oldest serving president and would be 86 by the end of his term.
    • >Former President Donald Trump has a 4 percent advantage over President Joe Biden in a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released Saturday. Of respondents who said they were likely to vote, 48 percent said they would vote for the former president if the presidential election were to be held today, with 44 percent responding they would vote for Biden.
    • >With a choice between Nikki Haley and Joe Biden, 46% of respondents favored Haley and 37% favored Biden.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the title implies that a majority of Biden's voters now say he is too old to be effective when in fact only 61% said so and even fewer (19%) expressed concern about his age being such a problem that he was no longer capable of handling the job.
    • The article states 'A sizable share was even more worried: Nineteen percent of those who voted for Mr. Biden in 2020, and 13 percent of those who said they would back him in November, said the 81-year-old president's age was such a problem that he was no longer capable of handling the job.' However this is not accurate as only 61% expressed concern about his age being too much.
    • The article title implies that a majority of Biden's voters now say he is too old to be effective when in fact only 61% said so and even fewer (19%) expressed concern about his age being such a problem that he was no longer capable of handling the job.
    • The article states 'This unease, which has long surfaced in polls and in quiet conversations with Democratic officials, appears to be growing as Mr. Biden moves toward formally capturing his party's nomination.' However this is not accurate as the previous polling suggests that voters reservations about Mr. Biden's age have grown over time.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing a poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College as evidence of voter concerns about President Biden's age. This is not enough to establish that these concerns are valid or representative of all voters, especially since the sample size was not specified in the article. Additionally, the author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing how widespread these concerns are and how they pose a threat to Biden's re-election bid.
    • The survey pointed to a fundamental shift in how voters who backed Mr. Biden four years ago have come to see him.
  • Bias (85%)
    The article contains examples of religious bias and monetary bias. The author uses the phrase 'well-meaning' to describe Biden which is a positive connotation that could be seen as an endorsement by the author.
    • The misgivings about Mr. Biden’s age cut across generations, gender, race and education.
      • > Widespread concerns about President Biden’s age pose a deepening threat to his re-election bid, with a majority of voters who supported him in 2020 now saying he is too old to lead the country effectively, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Siena College.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
        The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of Biden's age as they are reporting for The New York Times which is known to have a liberal bias and may be more likely to report negatively on Trump.

        70%

        • Unique Points
          • President Joe Biden is 81 years old and the oldest-serving president in US history. If reelected, he will break his own record of the oldest serving president and would be 86 by the end of his term.
          • Former President Trump, the likely GOP presidential nominee, will also be over 80 years old if elected and would break his own record for oldest serving president.
          • A majority of voters who backed President Biden in 2020 now say he is too old to serve effectively as a president.
          • Biden is leading Trump by 5 percentage points in a hypothetical rematch.
        • Accuracy
          • Biden's supporters are less concerned with his age than Biden's voters
          • Trump's supporters are more likely to think that Trump is too old to serve effectively as a president.
          • Former President Donald Trump has a 4 percent advantage over President Joe Biden in a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released Saturday. Of respondents who said they were likely to vote, 48 percent said they would vote for the former president if the presidential election were to be held today, with 44 percent responding they would vote for Biden.
          • Former President Donald Trump has a six-point lead over President Joe Biden among Hispanic voters.
          • Joe Biden's disapproval rating reaches new high at 47%
          • Biden currently lags behind likely Republican candidate Donald Trump in registered voters nationally by 43% to 48%, with a majority of respondents saying that they think the country is headed in the wrong direction and more than twice as many voters said that Biden's policies had personally hurt them than those who said they had helped.
          • A majority of voters think the economy is in poor condition and 19% disapprove of both men, with Biden being slightly less hated than Trump among them
        • Deception (50%)
          The article is deceptive in that it presents a poll as fact without providing any context or information about the methodology used to conduct the poll. The author also uses sensationalist language such as 'majority of voters who backed President Biden in 2020 now say he is too old to serve effectively' which implies that this is a recent development when it is not specified if this was conducted after or before his inauguration. Additionally, the article selectively reports details from the poll while ignoring other findings such as voter turnout and demographics of those who voted for Biden in 2020.
          • The author presents a poll as fact without providing any context or information about the methodology used to conduct it.
          • The article uses sensationalist language that implies this is a recent development when it is not specified if this was conducted after or before his inauguration.
        • Fallacies (85%)
          The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by stating that a majority of voters who backed President Biden in 2020 now say he is too old to serve effectively. This statement implies that the opinions of these voters are authoritative and should be taken as fact without any further evidence or context.
          • President Joe Biden speaks about his actions to fight crime and make communities safer in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2024. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
        • Bias (85%)
          The author presents a poll that shows a majority of voters who backed President Biden in 2020 now say he is too old to serve effectively. The author also mentions the age difference between Biden and Trump, with Trump being four years younger than Biden but still not raising concerns about his age among voters. This suggests an ideological bias towards older politicians serving longer terms.
          • A majority of voters who backed President Biden in 2020 now say he is too old to serve effectively
            • Despite Trump only being four years younger than Biden, voters are less concerned with the former president's age.
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
              Lauren Sforza has a conflict of interest on the topic of Biden's age as she is reporting on a poll that shows majority of Biden 2020 voters say he is too old to serve effectively.
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                Lauren Sforza has conflicts of interest on the topics of Biden's age and Trump's age as she is reporting on a poll that shows majority of Biden 2020 voters say Biden is too old to serve effectively.

                74%

                • Unique Points
                  • , According to a new survey released Saturday, Former President Donald Trump holds a six-point lead over President Biden among Hispanic voters. The New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted from February 25 to 28 and including responses from 980 registered voters nationwide, asked respondents whom they would support in the 2024 presidential election if it were held today.
                • Accuracy
                  • A majority of voters who backed President Biden in 2020 now say he is too old to serve effectively as a president.
                • Deception (50%)
                  The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it presents a poll that shows Trump leading Biden among Hispanics and all registered voters overall as fact without providing any context or explanation for the results. This creates an impression of truthfulness when in reality there may be other factors at play that are not mentioned in the article.
                  • The article states that 'Former President Donald Trump holds a six-point lead over President Biden among Hispanic voters, according to a new survey released Saturday.' However, it does not provide any information on how this poll was conducted or who participated in it. This creates an impression of truthfulness without providing any evidence.
                  • The article states that 'Trump also leads Biden among all respondents who took part in the survey New York Times/Siena poll, with 48% saying they would vote for him and 43% insisting they would vote for Biden.' However, it does not provide any information on how this poll was conducted or who participated in it. This creates an impression of truthfulness without providing any evidence.
                  • The article states that 'In a head-to-head matchup between Biden and GOP hopeful Nikki Haley, voters preferred Haley by 10 percentage points.' However, it does not provide any information on how this poll was conducted or who participated in it. This creates an impression of truthfulness without providing any evidence.
                • Fallacies (85%)
                  The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing polls and statistics without providing any context or analysis of their reliability. This is a form of logical fallacy known as 'appeal to authority'. Additionally, the author makes use of inflammatory rhetoric when describing the opinions and actions of President Biden, which can be seen in phrases such as 'Biden's policies for Hispanics have worked in the past but we're feeling it at the grocery store.' This is a form of logical fallacy known as 'inflammatory rhetoric'. The author also uses dichotomous depiction when describing President Biden and GOP hopeful Nikki Haley, stating that voters preferred Haley by 10 percentage points. However, this statement does not provide any context or analysis of the polling data and can be seen as a form of logical fallacy known as 'dichotomous depiction'.
                  • The author uses an appeal to authority when citing statistics without providing any context or analysis.
                  • The author makes use of inflammatory rhetoric when describing President Biden's policies and actions.
                • Bias (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                  Kyle Morris has a financial tie to the LIBRE Initiative as he is an employee of Fox News which is owned by Rupert Murdoch who also owns the LIBRE Initiative.
                  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                    Kyle Morris has a conflict of interest on the topics of Trump and Biden as he is an author for Fox News. He also has a financial tie to the LIBRE Initiative which may influence his coverage of their activities.

                    76%

                    • Unique Points
                      • Joe Biden's disapproval rating reaches new high at 47%
                      • Only one in four voters think the country is moving in the right direction and more than twice as many voters said that Biden’s policies had personally hurt them than those who said they had helped
                      • 63% of the two-thirds of the country that feels the nation is headed in the wrong direction would vote for Trump
                    • Accuracy
                      • A majority of voters think the economy is in poor condition and 19% disapprove of both men, with Biden being slightly less hated than Trump among them
                    • Deception (100%)
                      None Found At Time Of Publication
                    • Fallacies (70%)
                      The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing a poll conducted by the New York Times as evidence of Joe Biden's disapproval rating reaching a new high. However, this is not enough to establish that the poll is accurate or reliable. Additionally, the author quotes Donald Trump making statements about his legal problems and how it has won him support among Black voters without providing any context or evidence for these claims.
                      • The Siena College-conducted poll, commissioned by the New York Times,
                    • Bias (85%)
                      The article contains several examples of bias. Firstly, the author uses language that dehumanizes Trump supporters by describing them as 'white supremacists' and 'dog-whistling to extremist far-right ideologies'. This is an example of religious bias. Secondly, the author quotes a statement from Trump suggesting that his legal problems have won him support among Black voters, which implies that he believes in racial stereotypes. This is an example of monetary bias as it suggests that Trump's wealth and success are indicative of his popularity with certain groups. Thirdly, the article uses language such as 'hurt', 'discriminated against', and 'viewed me as being discriminated against' which implies a victim mentality on behalf of Trump. This is an example of ideological bias.
                      • dog-whistling to extremist far-right ideologies
                        • 'I got indicted for nothing, for something that is nothing,' he told the Black Conservative Federation gala in South Carolina. 'A lot of people said that's why the Black people like me, because they have been hurt so badly and discriminated against, and they actually viewed me as I’m being discriminated against.'
                          • The Siena College-conducted poll found that just one in four voters (24%) think the country is moving in the right direction
                            • white supremacists
                            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                              None Found At Time Of Publication
                            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                              Edward Helmore has a conflict of interest on the topic of Joe Biden's disapproval rating as he is an employee of The Guardian which published the article. He also has a financial tie to Siena College as it was mentioned in the article.

                              76%

                              • Unique Points
                                • Former President Donald Trump has a 4 percent advantage over President Joe Biden in a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released Saturday.
                                • With a choice between Nikki Haley and Joe Biden, 46 percent of respondents favored Haley and 37 percent favored Biden.
                                • Among registered voters, Trump had support from 48 percent of respondents and Biden had support from 43 percent.
                              • Accuracy
                                • Former President Donald Trump has a 4 percent advantage over President Joe Biden in a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released Saturday. Of respondents who said they were likely to vote, 48 percent said they would vote for the former president if the presidential election were to be held today, with 44 percent responding they would vote for Biden.
                              • Deception (30%)
                                The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that 'Forty-seven percent of likely voters expressed strong disapproval of his leadership', which implies that the majority of voters are against Trump's leadership. However, this statement is misleading as it does not provide context for what constitutes a 'strong disapproval'. Secondly, the article quotes Michael Tyler from Biden's campaign stating that polling consistently overestimates Trump and underestimates Biden. This statement is deceptive because it implies that all polls are inaccurate when in fact, not all polls are created equal. Lastly, the article states that 'Democratic voters also expressed doubts over whether Biden should be the Democratic nominee', which suggests that there is a significant amount of doubt among Democrats about Biden's leadership. However, this statement is misleading as it does not provide context for how many respondents expressed these doubts.
                                • The article states that 'Forty-seven percent of likely voters expressed strong disapproval of his leadership', which implies that the majority of voters are against Trump's leadership. However, this statement is misleading as it does not provide context for what constitutes a 'strong disapproval'.
                                • Michael Tyler from Biden's campaign states that polling consistently overestimates Trump and underestimates Biden. This statement is deceptive because it implies that all polls are inaccurate when in fact, not all polls are created equal.
                                • The article states that 'Democratic voters also expressed doubts over whether Biden should be the Democratic nominee', which suggests that there is a significant amount of doubt among Democrats about Biden's leadership. However, this statement is misleading as it does not provide context for how many respondents expressed these doubts.
                              • Fallacies (85%)
                                The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that the poll was conducted by a reputable organization and citing its previous accuracy. However, this does not necessarily mean that the results are accurate or reliable in this specific instance. Additionally, the author quotes Michael Tyler from Biden's campaign downplaying the significance of the poll, which is an example of inflammatory rhetoric as he uses strong language to dismiss a negative result for his candidate. The article also contains several dichotomous depictions such as
                                • The president faces mounting questions about his advanced age
                                • ,
                              • Bias (85%)
                                The author demonstrates bias by using language that depicts Trump as having an advantage and Biden's leadership as being disapproved of. The author also selectively quotes the communications director for the Biden campaign to support their argument.
                                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                  None Found At Time Of Publication