Powerful Solar Activity from Sunspot AR3664 Triggers Spectacular Auroras in Europe and North America

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Alignment of AR3664 with Earth created ideal conditions for auroras to be visible at low latitudes.
AR3664 had previously triggered X-class solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) leading to a G5 geomagnetic storm at Earth.
Auroras are caused by solar particles interacting with nitrogen and oxygen molecules in the upper atmosphere.
Powerful solar activity from sunspot AR3664 caused spectacular auroras in Europe and North America in late May 2024.
Sunspots like AR3664 can trigger CMEs, which can cause geomagnetic storm conditions leading to auroras.
X-class solar flare from AR3664 caused shortwave radio blackouts in Western Europe and Eastern United States on May 29.
Powerful Solar Activity from Sunspot AR3664 Triggers Spectacular Auroras in Europe and North America

In late May 2024, the Earth was treated to a series of spectacular auroras caused by powerful solar activity. These displays, which are also known as the Northern Lights, were seen in various parts of Europe and North America. The cause of this natural phenomenon was a sunspot named AR3664, which had re-emerged on the eastern edge of the sun and was once again facing Earth.

AR3664 had previously been responsible for a series of X-class solar flares in mid-May, which triggered coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that led to a G5 geomagnetic storm at Earth. This powerful storm caused widespread disruptions to radio communications, power grids, and navigation systems.

Now, just over two weeks later, AR3664 had returned and was once again causing solar activity. On May 29, an X-class solar flare was detected from this sunspot region. This flare caused shortwave radio blackouts across Western Europe and the Eastern United States.

Sunspots like AR3697 can trigger CMEs, which are eruptions of plasma and magnetic field from the sun. If a CME strikes Earth, it can trigger geomagnetic storm conditions leading to dynamic aurora displays.

The potential impact of a CME depends heavily on its location on the sun and whether Earth is in its firing line. The alignment of AR3664 with Earth during both instances created ideal conditions for auroras to be visible at low latitudes, such as Europe and North America.

Auroras are caused by solar particles traveling through the upper atmosphere, creating photons of light in different colors as they interact with nitrogen and oxygen molecules. These displays can be a breathtaking sight, with hues of green, purple, yellow, and pink dancing across the night sky.

The sun operates on an 11-year cycle with roughly 5.5 years of decreasing intensity followed by the same amount of time of increasing activity. The current trajectory is expected to peak at a solar maximum in May 2025, with increasing and increasingly intense solar storms and auroras between now and then.

It's important to note that while these auroras are a natural phenomenon, they can also have significant impacts on human infrastructure. Power grids, communication systems, and navigation systems can all be affected by the magnetic disturbances caused by geomagnetic storms. It's crucial for scientists and researchers to closely monitor solar activity and its potential impact on Earth.



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  • Unique Points
    • A few nights either side of Thursday, June 6 is potentially the best time for another display of the northern lights at low latitudes such as Europe and North America.
    • If AR3664 remains active, we could see aurora roughly 27 days after the May 10 event.
    • June 6 is exactly 27 days later than May 10 and coincides with June’s new moon when dark skies make the aurora easily visible.
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  • Unique Points
    • The first batch of flares triggered successive Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) resulting in a G5 geomagnetic storm at Earth.
    • AR 13664 was renamed AR 13697 after it reappeared on the eastern edge of the sun due to its continuous X-ray observations from the European Space Agency’s Solar Orbiter spacecraft.
    • A few nights either side of Thursday, June 6 is potentially the best time for another display of the northern lights at low latitudes such as Europe and North America.
    • Sunspot regions like AR3697 can trigger coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which are eruptions of plasma and magnetic field from the sun. If a CME strikes Earth, it can trigger geomagnetic storm conditions leading to dynamic aurora displays.
  • Accuracy
    • Solar active region AR 13664 produced 12 X-class solar flares across six days earlier in May 2024, triggering a G5 geomagnetic storm and widespread auroras around the world.
    • The upcoming quarterly refunding update from the US Treasury will provide information on how much bond supply there will be.
    • AR 13664 was renamed AR 13697 after it reappeared on the eastern edge of the sun due to its continuous X-ray observations from the European Space Orbiter spacecraft.
    • The active region will continue to rotate across the sun over the next two weeks, potentially producing short-term radio blackouts on Earth.
    • Some flares may also trigger the eruption of a CME. If their arrival is isolated from one another, the impact of each individual CME would be less noteworthy.
    • The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was so strong due to the subsequent impact of multiple CMEs in quick succession.
    • As solar activity continues to rise to its expected peak in late 2024-2025, we can look forward to many more strong geomagnetic storms.
    • Although another G5 storm is not guaranteed during this solar maximum, it’s certainly possible.
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  • Unique Points
    • A powerful X-class solar flare has been fired off by the newly emerged sunspot region AR3697.
    • AR3697 is the returned version of sunspot AR3664, responsible for the epic G5 geomagnetic storm a couple of weeks ago, which triggered enchanting auroras around the world.
    • Sunspot regions like AR3697 can trigger coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which are eruptions of plasma and magnetic field from the sun. If a CME strikes Earth, it can trigger geomagnetic storm conditions leading to dynamic aurora displays.
    • The potential impact of a CME depends heavily on its location on the sun and whether Earth is in its firing line.
    • During a radio blackout, ionization causes a higher-density environment for high-frequency shortwave radio signals to navigate through, leading to degraded or completely absorbed radio signals.
  • Accuracy
    • A few nights either side of Thursday, June 6 is potentially the best time for another display of the northern lights at low latitudes such as Europe and North America.
    • The solar flare that occurred on May 27 was associated with a potential impact on Earth due to its intensity.
    • Auroras are created as solar particles travel through the upper atmosphere, creating photons of light in different colors as they interact with nitrogen and oxygen molecules.
  • Deception (100%)
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  • Unique Points
    • On May 27, 2024, NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory captured an X2.8 classified solar flare erupting from the Sun.
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  • Accuracy
    • Solar flares can disrupt radio communications, cause fluctuations in electric power grids, and interfere with navigation signals.
    • There is a slight chance of a proton event exceeding the S1 (Minor) threshold between May 28 and May 30.
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98%

  • Unique Points
    • Auroras, also known as Northern Lights, could return in early June due to the sun's 27-day rotation cycle.
    • The powerful sunspot that emitted a significant flare in May is becoming visible again and will be Earth-facing on June 6.
    • This alignment should create auroras, especially considering the high potential for solar activity during the sun's peak activity cycle.
    • Auroras are created as solar particles travel through the upper atmosphere, creating photons of light in different colors as they interact with nitrogen and oxygen molecules.
  • Accuracy
    • Auroras, also known as Northern Lights, could return in early June due to the sun’s 27-day rotation cycle.
    • A few nights either side of Thursday, June 6 is potentially the best time for another display of the northern lights at low latitudes such as Europe and North America.
    • The first batch of flares triggered successive Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) resulting in a G5 geomagnetic storm at Earth.
    • AR 13664 was renamed AR 13697 after it reappeared on the eastern edge of the sun due to its continuous X-ray observations from the European Space Orbiter spacecraft.
    • There are numerous sunspots currently present on the sun’s disk, including a notably large and complex one, region AR3691, currently facing Earth.
    • Minor to moderate solar flare activity from sunspot regions AR3697 and AR3691 will likely continue from May 29 to May 31.
    • Sunspot regions like AR3697 can trigger coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which are eruptions of plasma and magnetic field from the sun. If a CME strikes Earth, it can trigger geomagnetic storm conditions leading to dynamic aurora displays.
  • Deception (100%)
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