Recent debates between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have sparked discussions about the possibility of replacing Biden as the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2024 election. However, such a move would not be an easy process.
In modern political history, national parties have never attempted to replace their nominees adversarially. The Democratic and Republican parties both faced similar situations in 2016 but did not take any action.
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) rules make it almost impossible to replace nominees without their consent. Doing so would amount to party insiders overturning the results of primaries, where Democratic voters overwhelmingly nominated Biden.
There is currently no known, serious effort to push Biden off the top of the ticket. His opponents won virtually no delegates throughout the Democratic nominating process, leaving a clean slate heading into the convention.
If Biden were to withdraw before being formally nominated, a special meeting of the DNC could be called to pick new presidential and vice presidential nominees. However, this process would likely be filled with jockeying and public pressure campaigns.
Vice President Kamala Harris would not automatically become the Democratic nominee if Biden withdrew from his re-election bid while in the White House. She would still need to win a majority of delegates at the convention or a special meeting of the DNC.
Several potential replacements have been mentioned, including Harris, California Governor Gavin Newsom, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker.
The upcoming conventions will be crucial in shaping voter perceptions and potentially influencing the election outcome. The Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 2024.