Russian Warships in Cuban Waters: Strengthening Ties or a Show of Force?

Havana, Cuba Cuba
Russia has longstanding ties with Cuba and Venezuela.
Russian warships, including a nuclear-powered submarine and frigate, arrived in Cuban waters on June 12, 2024 for planned military exercises.
The deployment comes amid escalating tensions between Russia and Western powers over Ukraine.
The Kazan is a nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine capable of carrying Oniks, Kalibr cruise missiles, and later Zircon missiles.
Venezuela's government may use the deployment to shore up President Maduro's bid for a third term in the July 28 election.
Russian Warships in Cuban Waters: Strengthening Ties or a Show of Force?

Russian Warships in Cuban Waters: A Show of Force or a Political Move?

In a move that has raised eyebrows and concerns, a fleet of Russian warships, including the nuclear-powered submarine Kazan and frigate Admiral Gorshkov, arrived in Cuban waters on June 12, 2024. The ships are expected to remain in the region through the summer for planned military exercises in the Caribbean.

The deployment of Russian naval forces comes at a time when tensions between Russia and Western powers, particularly over Ukraine, have been escalating. In less than two weeks prior to this event, President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-provided weapons to strike inside Russia if necessary for the protection of Kharkiv.

Russia's military presence in Cuba is not a new phenomenon; it has longstanding ties with both Cuba and Venezuela. However, the timing of this year's mission may serve multiple purposes, including strengthening Russia-Cuba ties and demonstrating a show of force to the United States.

The Kazan is one of a new class of Russian submarines called Yasen-class subs that have worried the US and NATO for years due to their stealth and strike capabilities. The Kazan is a nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine capable of carrying Oniks, Kalibr cruise missiles, and at a later date, Zircon missiles.

Venezuelan voters approved a referendum in December 2023 to claim sovereignty over the Essequibo territory, which accounts for two-thirds of Guyana and lies near big offshore oil deposits. The international community is awaiting a decision regarding Venezuela's claim from the International Court of Justice.

Some experts suggest that this deployment could also serve as an opportunity for Venezuela's government to shore up President Nicolás Maduro's bid for a third term in the July 28 election. However, it remains unclear whether this is a primary motivation behind Russia's actions.

The United States and its allies have expressed concerns over the Russian military presence in Cuba and have increased their naval presence in response. The U.S. Northern Command, U.S. 2nd Fleet, U.S. 4th Fleet, US Coast Guard Atlantic Area, and Canadian Joint Task Force [Atlantic] are conducting routine operations throughout the Atlantic to encourage responsible behavior by all parties involved.

Russia's actions have been met with criticism from various quarters, including the United States and its allies. Some experts argue that this deployment is a reminder of Russia's continued efforts to assert its influence in regions beyond its borders. Others see it as a direct warning to the United States and an attempt to disrupt Western unity.

As tensions continue to rise between Russia and Western powers, it remains to be seen how this situation will unfold. One thing is certain: the world is watching closely.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • It is unclear whether Venezuela's government's bid for a third term is the primary motivation behind Russia's actions.
  • The exact number of Russian ships in the fleet and their specific capabilities are not mentioned.

Sources

99%

  • Unique Points
    • A fleet of Russian warships has reached Cuban waters ahead of planned military exercises in the Caribbean.
    • This comes less than two weeks after President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-provided weapons to strike inside Russia to protect Kharkiv.
    • Russia is a longtime ally of Venezuela and Cuba, and its warships and aircraft have periodically made forays into the Caribbean.
    • The timing of this year’s mission may serve Russia’s purposes, but it is also raising questions of whether Venezuela’s government may use it as an opportunity to shore up President Nicolás Maduro’s bid for a third term in the July 28 election.
    • Venezuelan voters approved a referendum in December to claim sovereignty over the Essequibo territory, which accounts for two-thirds of Guyana and lies near big offshore oil deposits.
  • Accuracy
    • ]A fleet of Russian warships has reached Cuban waters ahead of planned military exercises in the Caribbean.[
    • Russian warships entered Cuban waters on Wednesday for military drills.
    • This comes less than two weeks after President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use American missiles to hit targets on Russian soil at the end of May.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

87%

  • Unique Points
    • Russian warships entered Cuban waters on Wednesday for military drills.
    • Putin suggested he may authorize strikes on the US via proxy countries in response to US actions in Ukraine.
  • Accuracy
    • Three Russian warships arrived at Havana’s harbor, with a nuclear-powered submarine expected to follow.
    • Biden approved Ukraine’s use of American missiles to hit targets on Russian soil at the end of May.
  • Deception (50%)
    The article contains selective reporting and emotional manipulation. The author quotes Rebekah Koffler making assertions about Putin's intentions towards the U.S., but does not provide any evidence beyond her opinion. The author also uses emotionally charged language such as 'escalatory trajectory' and 'critical targets'. Additionally, the article implies that Russia is supplying weapons to proxy countries to attack the U.S., but does not provide any evidence for this claim.
    • Russian President Vladimir Putin is telling Washington, 'we can touch you,' Koffler said.
    • A fleet of Russian warships entered Cuban waters on Wednesday as they prepare to hold military drills in the Caribbean. The deployment is likely a warning to President Biden after he gave approval for Ukrainian forces to strike some targets within Russia using U.S. weaponry, according to Rebekah Koffler, strategic intelligence analyst and author of Putin's Playbook.
    • The arrival of the ships comes after Putin suggested he may authorize strikes on the U.S. via proxy countries, which he says is precisely what the U.S. is doing in Ukraine.
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (95%)
    The author makes multiple statements implying that Russia's actions are a response to the U.S.'s involvement in Ukraine and suggests that Russia may retaliate against the U.S., demonstrating a pro-Russian bias.
    • If [the U.S.] considers it possible to deliver such weapons to the combat zone to launch strikes on our territory and create problems for us, why don't we have the right to supply weapons of the same type to some regions of the world where they can be used to launch strikes on sensitive facilities of the countries that do it to Russia?
      • Putin wants to be close to the U.S. homeland at this time when the Russia-Ukraine crisis is on a highly escalatory trajectory given Biden's authorization to Ukraine.
        • The arrival of the ships comes after Putin suggested he may authorize strikes on the U.S. via proxy countries, which he says is precisely what the U.S. is doing in Ukraine.
        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication

        92%

        • Unique Points
          • Russian Navy frigate Admiral Gorshkov and attack submarine Kazan arrived in Havana, Cuba for a five-day port visit.
          • Four Russian ships, including the most advanced ones in their fleet, are part of a planned series of exercises in the western Atlantic and the Caribbean.
          • Gorshkov and Kazan can be armed with anti-ship and land attack missiles.
          • Russian military officials plan to hold joint air and naval drills in the region after the port visit.
        • Accuracy
          • Three Russian ships, including the most advanced ones in their fleet, are part of a planned series of exercises in the western Atlantic and the Caribbean.
          • Pentagon confirmed an increase in Atlantic operations by US forces in response to Russian ships’ presence near Florida.
        • Deception (75%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Fallacies (95%)
          The article contains some instances of inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority, but no formal or blatant logical fallacies were found. The author's statements are generally neutral and descriptive in nature.
          • ][head of the Russian Navy, Adm. Alexander Moiseyev] said...[[1]]
          • Benjamin Gedan, director of the Latin America Program at the Wilson Center, made a direct connection between the Russian Navy drills and U.S. support for Ukraine [[2]]
        • Bias (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication

        83%

        • Unique Points
          • A Russian nuclear-powered submarine, the Kazan, arrived at Havana's harbour on June 12, 2024.
          • The Kazan is one of a new class of Russian submarines called Yasen-class subs that have worried the US and NATO for years due to their stealth and strike capabilities.
          • The Kazan is a nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine capable of carrying Oniks, Kalibr cruise missiles, and at a later date, Zircon missiles.
          • Russia began building Yasen-class submarines during the Cold War and commissioned the first one in 2013.
          • The Kazan’s deployment in Cuba serves multiple purposes, including strengthening Russia-Cuba ties and demonstrating a show of force to the US amid tensions over Ukraine.
        • Accuracy
          • The Kazan is one of a new class of Russian submarines called Yasen-class subs that have worried the US and NATO for years due to their stealth and strike capabilities.
          • The Kazan is a nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine capable of carrying Oniks, Kalibr cruise missiles, and at a later date, Zircon missiles.
          • Russia plans to build at least nine Yasen submarines but there are indications that more could be on the way.
        • Deception (30%)
          The article makes several statements that are selectively reporting information and sensationalizing the topic. The author states that 'One of Russia's most concerning new submarines has pulled up off the coast of Cuba ahead of planned military exercises in the area.' This statement is true but it does not provide enough context for the reader to fully understand the situation. The author also states that 'The Kazan, a nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine, is one of a relatively new class that has worried the US and Western militaries for years due to its stealth and strike capabilities.' This statement is an example of sensationalism as it implies that the Kazan is an imminent threat without providing any evidence to support this claim. The author also states that 'Russia plans to build at least nine Yasen submarines in total, but there are indications that more could be on the way in the future.' This statement is selectively reporting information as it only mentions the number of submarines Russia plans to build and does not mention that the US Navy also plans to build new submarines. The author also states that 'The shift in capability with the emergence of the Yasen-M class submarines suggested a change in use.' This statement is an opinion and does not provide any evidence to support it.
          • Russia plans to build at least nine Yasen submarines in total, but there are indications that more could be on the way in the future.
          • One of Russia's most concerning new submarines has pulled up off the coast of Cuba ahead of planned military exercises in the area.
          • The Kazan, a nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine, is one of a relatively new class that has worried the US and Western militaries for years due to its stealth and strike capabilities.
        • Fallacies (100%)
          None Found At Time Of Publication
        • Bias (95%)
          The author expresses anxiety and concern over the capabilities of the Russian submarine Kazan and its class, repeatedly stating that they have worried US and NATO officials for years. The author also quotes US military officials expressing similar concerns. This demonstrates a clear anti-Russian bias.
          • NATO officials have flagged the Yasen-class submarines as ‘one of the big strategic challenges’ the alliance faces.
            • The Yasen-class subs are quiet, difficult to track, and heavily armed for attacks against land- and sea-based targets.
              • US Air Force Gen. Glen VanHerck, head of US Northern Command and North American Aerospace Defense Command, said that the subs ‘are designed to deploy undetected within cruise-missile range of our coastlines to threaten critical infrastructure during an escalating crisis.’
              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication

              84%

              • Unique Points
                • Russian warships have arrived in Cuban waters ahead of military exercises in the Caribbean.
                • Russia is a longtime ally of Venezuela and Cuba, and its warships and aircraft have periodically made forays into the Caribbean.
                • The timing of this year's mission may serve Russia’s purposes, but it is also raising questions of whether Venezuela’s government may use it as an opportunity to shore up President Nicolás Maduro’s bid for a third term in the July 28 election.
                • Venezuelan voters approved a referendum in December to claim sovereignty over the Essequibo territory, which accounts for two-thirds of Guyana and lies near big offshore oil deposits. Guyana is awaiting a decision regarding Venezuela’s claim from the International Court of Justice.
              • Accuracy
                No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
              • Deception (30%)
                The article contains selective reporting as it only reports details that support the author's position. The author quotes US officials expressing concern over Russian warships in Cuban waters and Russia's historical alliance with Cuba and Venezuela. However, the article fails to mention that these military exercises are a response to US military activity in the region and NATO allies. The author also quotes Benjamin Gedan stating that Russia's deployments are a reminder to Washington of its adversary meddling in its near abroad, but does not mention that this is a common practice for many countries including the US. Additionally, the article implies that Russia's actions could be used by Venezuela to delay or cancel elections, but provides no evidence for this claim.
                • It also reminds Russia's friends in the region, including US antagonists Cuba and Venezuela, that Moscow is on their side.
                • US officials expect the Russian ships to remain in the region through the summer and possibly also stop in Venezuela.
                • From the very beginning, Havana gave an assessment of what was happening outlining the absolutely correct, true reasons for what was unfolding [in Ukraine], and what was being prepared by the West for many years.
                • The most obvious alternative, consistent with Venezuelan military’s recent moves ... is to fabricate an international crisis that would provide an excuse for ‘postponing’ Venezuela’s election.
              • Fallacies (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Bias (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication