Potentially Substantial Severe Weather Outbreak Anticipated in Ohio Valley with Possibility of Significant/Long-Track Tornadoes

Lexington, Kentucky, Kentucky United States of America
Anticipated this afternoon and evening in parts of Ohio Valley
Possibility of significant/long-track tornadoes
Potentially substantial severe weather outbreak
Threat growing as tens of millions face severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts, dangerous hail and destructive tornadoes.
Tornadoes possible in a widespread area from Alabama to Indiana with potential EF2 strength.
Potentially Substantial Severe Weather Outbreak Anticipated in Ohio Valley with Possibility of Significant/Long-Track Tornadoes

A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak is anticipated this afternoon and evening in parts of Ohio Valley, with the possibility of significant/long-track tornadoes. The threat of a severe weather outbreak is growing as tens of millions of people across the eastern half of the United States face severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts, dangerous hail and destructive tornadoes. Tornadoes are also possible in a widespread area from Alabama and western Georgia north to parts of Indiana and West Virginia with tornadoes here could reach at least EF2 strength.



Confidence

100%

Doubts
  • None.

Sources

78%

  • Unique Points
    • A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes is anticipated this afternoon and evening in parts of Ohio Valley
    • Tornadoes are also possible in a widespread area from Alabama and western Georgia north to parts of Indiana and West Virginia with tornadoes here could reach at least EF2 strength.
    • The highest snowfall totals are expected across parts of Michigan and Wisconsin where 6-12 inches possible through Thursday
    • Winter-like weather will shift into the interior Northeast beginning Wednesday with winter storm watches in effect for much of the region into Friday. The Adirondacks could see up to a foot of snowfall by Thursday while parts of Green and White Mountains can see over a foot.
  • Accuracy
    • The threat of a severe weather outbreak is growing as tens of millions of people across the eastern half of the United States face severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts, dangerous hail and destructive tornadoes.
    • The first of these thunderstorms rumbled to life early Tuesday afternoon in portions of Missouri and Illinois. Storms will continue to expand in scope and strength through the afternoon and evening eventually stretching from the Gulf Coast through the Ohio Valley.
    • Ohio hasn't been warned of a tornado threat this substantial in more than 10 years, according to SPC data. It's in this region where strong tornadoes could form and stay on the ground for several miles at a time.
    • A first round of damaging storms rolled through the Ohio Valley Tuesday morning and knocked out power to more than 200,000 homes and businesses, according to poweroutage.us. Damaging winds of 40 to 60 mph battered much of the area, but a 92 mph gust was reported in Huntington, West Virginia.
    • The Lexington, Kentucky area saw significant damage after storms rolled through early Tuesday
    • Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear declared a statewide state of emergency Tuesday due to severe weather threat and potential for stronger storms to come.
    • More than 75 million people are at risk for severe thunderstorms from the Gulf Coast to the Great Lakes. Many could encounter damaging winds of 60 to 80 mph and hail ranging from the size of quarters to baseballs.
    • Over 17 million people from Illinois to Maryland also face a flood threat from the storms, with flood watches lasting into the evening and rainfall totals of up to 5 inches possible.
    • The same severe weather system that torn through central US on Monday prompted more than 100 storm reports across the region including three tornadoes in Oklahoma. Homes were damaged by these storms in Barnsdall, Oklahoma around 40 miles north of Tulsa
    • Massive hailstones were reported in Texas with one as large as 4.5 inches in diameter.
    • The tornado threat will lessen Wednesday as storms shift east but there is still a Level 2 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, hail and even a tornado or two from the mid-Atlantic to Florida
    • Rain north of the severe weather will transition to snow and wintry mix later Tuesday in areas of Midwest and Great Lakes. Cities including Chicago could see a few flakes but little accumulation is expected.
    • Gusts up to 50 mph combined with heavy snowfall can cause blowing snow and power outages
    • Major cities across Northeast including New York City, Boston, Philadelphia are currently forecasted to see rain.
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author uses sensationalist language such as 'potentially substantial severe weather outbreak' and 'strong tornadoes could form and stay on the ground for several miles at a time'. This creates an exaggerated sense of danger that may not be supported by factual evidence. Secondly, the article quotes sources without disclosing them or providing any context about their credibility. Thirdly, the author uses selective reporting to focus only on parts of Ohio and Kentucky that are most at risk for tornadoes while ignoring other areas where significant damage could occur.
    • A first round of damaging storms rolled through the Ohio Valley Tuesday morning and knocked out power to more than 200,000 homes and businesses.
    • Tornadoes are also possible Tuesday afternoon and evening outside of the area of greatest risk in a widespread area from Alabama and western Georgia north to parts of Indiana and West Virginia. Tornadoes here could reach at least EF2 strength.
    • The threat of a severe weather outbreak is growing as tens of millions of people across the eastern half of the United States face severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts, dangerous hail and destructive tornadoes.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the Storm Prediction Center's warning of a potential substantial severe weather outbreak that may include significant/long-track tornadoes. However, this is not enough evidence to support their claim and it does not provide any context for what constitutes a 'significant' or 'long-track' tornado. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing the storms as potentially damaging wind gusts, dangerous hail and destructive tornadoes. This is an exaggeration of the potential risks posed by these weather events and it does not provide any evidence to support this claim. Additionally, the article contains a dichotomous depiction of Ohio being at risk for severe thunderstorms while other areas are safe from them.
    • The first of these thunderstorms rumbled to life early Tuesday afternoon in portions of Missouri and Illinois.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

63%

  • Unique Points
    • Torrential downpour at this time
    • Heavy rainfall also seen in Northwestern areas of Greene County back across portions of Adair Counties
  • Accuracy
    • Louisville and much of the surrounding area are under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning
    • Tornado watch issued for Louisville, southern Indiana as storms move back in
    • Most certain we'll be watching that closely
    • Torrential downpour at this time, farther down to the south into areas of Lare County and Hodgenville, Buffalo and Magnolia area in Greenbrier county
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is reporting on a tornado watch issued for Louisville and southern Indiana as storms move back in. The author states that the area is under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning and mentions that there were severe weather alerts earlier in the day. They also mention that heavy rainfall has occurred, which could lead to flooding issues later on.
    • The article reports on a tornado watch issued for Louisville and southern Indiana as storms move back in.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the storms as a 'tornado watch issued for Louisville, southern Indiana as storms move back in' and again later when stating that all modes of severe weather will be possible. This is an example of hyperbole, which is not a logical fallacy but can still mislead readers. The author also uses appeal to authority by citing the Storm Prediction Center without providing any context or explanation for their findings.
    • The tornado watch issued for Louisville and southern Indiana as storms move back in
    • All modes of severe weather will be possible
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

68%

  • Unique Points
    • Severe thunderstorms could bring all types of damaging weather
    • The threat of a severe weather outbreak is growing as tens of millions of people across the eastern half of the United States face severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts, dangerous hail and destructive tornadoes.
    • A potentially substantial severe weather outbreak possibly including a few significant/long-track tornadoes is anticipated this afternoon and evening in parts of Ohio Valley
    • The first round of damaging storms rolled through the Ohio Valley Tuesday morning and knocked out power to more than 200,000 homes and businesses, according to poweroutage.us.
    • Tornadoes are also possible in a widespread area from Alabama and western Georgia north to parts of Indiana and West Virginia with tornadoes here could reach at least EF2 strength.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author uses sensationalism by stating that this setup is one of the most intense he has seen in a long time and that severe thunderstorms could bring all types of damaging weather. This statement exaggerates the severity of the situation to gain attention from readers.
    • This next round of severe thunderstorms will include golf ball-sized hail
    • A few tornadoes that could end up being EF2 or higher.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that this is one of the most intense setups he has seen in a long time without providing any evidence or context for his claim. Additionally, the author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing severe thunderstorms as having all types of damaging weather and using terms like 'golf ball-sized hail' to create fear and urgency. The article also contains an example of a dichotomous depiction by stating that there is no chance of severe weather before noon, but then listing several risks that could occur after noon.
    • This is one of the most intense setups I have seen in a long time
    • Severe thunderstorms could bring all types of damaging weather!
    • Our best chance of severe weather will happen past noon.
    • <strong>Damaging winds that hit 70 MPH or higher</strong>
    • <strong>Golf ball-sized hail</strong>
    • <em><b>A few tornadoes that could end up being EF2 or higher.</b></em>
  • Bias (85%)
    The author uses language that dehumanizes the weather by referring to it as a 'severe threat' and using phrases like 'damaging winds', 'golf ball-sized hail', and EF2 tornadoes. The use of such extreme language is likely intended to create fear in readers, rather than providing accurate information about the potential risks.
    • Damaging winds that hit 70 MPH or higherGolf ball-sized hailA few tornadoes that could end up being EF2 or higher.
      • Our best chance of severe weather will happen past noon.
        • Severe thunderstorms could bring all types of damaging weather!
          • Take care of each other!
            • This is one of the most intense setups that I have seen in a long time.
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication