Severe Weather Outbreak: Tornadoes, Damaging Winds, and Heavy Rain Impact Midwest and Plains

_Kansas City._, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois United States of America
Eastern counties to see around half an inch of rain
Greatest threat of tornadoes on Tuesday in northern Missouri, southern Iowa, northwest Illinois, southwest Wisconsin, and southeast Minnesota
Rainfall amounts around 1 inch in western counties with locally higher amounts possible
Second round of storms may produce tornadoes and have greater potential for damaging winds and heavy rain
Severe weather outbreak in Midwest and Plains
Tornadoes, damaging winds, and heavy rain expected
Severe Weather Outbreak: Tornadoes, Damaging Winds, and Heavy Rain Impact Midwest and Plains

Severe Weather Outbreak Continues in Midwest and Plains: Tornadoes, Damaging Winds, and Heavy Rain

A multi-day severe weather outbreak is impacting the Midwest and Plains this week. The storm system is producing numerous severe storms from the western Great Lakes into the Mississippi and Missouri valleys southward to the Ozarks, Oklahoma, and a sliver of Texas.

The greatest threat of tornadoes is expected on Tuesday afternoon and evening in northern Missouri, southern, central and eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, southwest Wisconsin, and southeast Minnesota. Parts of the Midwest, South and East may also see scattered severe thunderstorms each day from Friday into the Memorial Day holiday weekend.

The first round of storms on Tuesday will be more scattered and develop shortly after midday. The second round of storms has a greater potential for damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rain. This one begins in the far west between 8 p.m. to 9 p.m., tracks northeast, and may produce tornadoes.

Rainfall amounts will be around an inch for most of the western counties with locally higher amounts possible and the eastern counties will be around half an inch.

Behind this system, winds become strong tomorrow. Gusts will range from 40-45mph with around 50mph potentially in the Western U.P.

Stay tuned for updates on severe weather threats and potential impacts.



Confidence

100%

No Doubts Found At Time Of Publication

Sources

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Two rounds of storms are expected: one in the morning and one in the afternoon.
    • There have been over 150 preliminary reports of tornadoes in Iowa, Illinois, and Missouri so far this year.
  • Accuracy
    • The afternoon storms are more likely to have tornadoes.
    • Damaging wind gusts above 75 miles per hour will become more likely as the storms evolve into a line across southeastern Iowa and Northern Illinois.
    • Tornadoes, damaging straight-line winds, large hail and flash flooding are all on the table through Tuesday night.
    • The greatest threat of tornadoes is expected from northern Missouri into southern, central and eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, southwest Wisconsin and southeast Minnesota.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

  • Unique Points
    • A multi-day severe weather outbreak is impacting the Midwest and Plains this week.
    • Low pressure and a cold front will produce numerous severe storms through this afternoon and evening, from the western Great Lakes into the Mississippi and Missouri valleys southward to the Ozarks, Oklahoma and a sliver of Texas.
    • The greatest threat of tornadoes is expected from northern Missouri into southern, central and eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, southwest Wisconsin and southeast Minnesota.
    • Parts of the Midwest, South and East may see scattered severe thunderstorms each day from Friday into the Memorial Day holiday weekend.
  • Accuracy
    • Strong tornadoes are a concern, especially on Tuesday afternoon and evening.
    • Damaging straight-line winds, hail and flash flooding are threats as well.
    • Tornadoes, damaging straight-line winds, large hail and flash flooding are all on the table through Tuesday night.
    • A broad area of strong to severe storms might fire up along a cold front from northern and central Texas to Ohio, western New York and western Pennsylvania on Wednesday.
    • The most concentrated severe storms that could pack hail the size of golf balls or larger, damaging winds and a few tornadoes are expected from northern Texas into southeast Oklahoma, northern and central Arkansas, southern Missouri and western Tennessee.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

  • Unique Points
    • Mars experiencing intense solar energy from sunspots, creating possible global auroras
  • Accuracy
    • Tornadoes, damaging winds, hail possible in Midwest on Tuesday
    • Damaging wind gusts above 75 miles per hour will become more likely as the storms evolve into a line across southeastern Iowa and Northern Illinois.
    • Two rounds of storms are expected: one in the morning and one in the afternoon.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

91%

  • Unique Points
    • Severe storms have been making their way across the US over the past week, including a devastating storm that struck Houston on Thursday, leaving hundreds of thousands of residents without power for days amid a heat wave.
    • Heat indices could reach over 110 degrees by the weekend.
  • Accuracy
    • The biggest area of concern is in Iowa, northwest Illinois, southwest Wisconsin, and northern Missouri.
    • Tornadoes and strong wind gusts are the main threats across the Midwest.
    • Wind gusts as strong as 90 mph could blow through the region.
    • Two rounds of storms are expected: one in the morning and one in the afternoon.
    • The greatest threat of tornadoes is expected from northern Missouri into southern, central and eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, southwest Wisconsin and southeast Minnesota.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (80%)
    The authors use inflammatory rhetoric by describing the storm system as 'relentless' and 'destructive'. They also make an appeal to authority by quoting the Storm Prediction Center regarding potential tornadoes and wind gusts. However, no formal or dichotomous fallacies were identified.
    • ][author name]=The storm system continues to tear a path across the US this week.[/
    • ][author name]=Storms are expected to reach their peak strength during the afternoon and carry into Tuesday night.[
    • ][quote from Storm Prediction Center]Tornadoes, some stronger than EF2, as well as strong wind gusts and hail as large as tennis balls are the main threats across the Midwest Tuesday.[
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

96%

  • Unique Points
    • There will be two rounds of thunderstorms: one after midday that is more scattered, and another between 8 p.m. to 9 p.m. that has a greater potential for damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rain.
    • Rainfall amounts will be around an inch for most of the western counties with locally higher amounts possible and the eastern counties will be around half an inch.
  • Accuracy
    • Two rounds of thunderstorms: one after midday that is more scattered, and another between 8 p.m. to 9 p.m. that has a greater potential for damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rain.
    • Behind this system, winds become strong tomorrow with gusts ranging from 40-45mph and potentially up to 50mph in the Western U.P.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication