Snowstorm to hit Northeast, but exact amount and location uncertain

New York City, New York United States of America
A storm system will produce snow from the Mountain West to the Northeast.
Snow is expected in parts of the Northeast, but how much and exactly where is uncertain. Boston, New York City and Pittsburgh each have season-to-date snowfall deficits of at least 15 inches through Feb. 8., with Syracuse having a particularly low total for their average pace.
The upcoming storm will depend on whether it gathers enough cold air as it heads north to change quickly from rain to snow, and heavy snowfall is expected from Pennsylvania to Massachusetts on Tuesday, starting in New York City around 4 a.m.
Snowstorm to hit Northeast, but exact amount and location uncertain

A storm system will produce snow from the Mountain West to the Northeast. Snow is expected in parts of the Northeast, but how much and exactly where is uncertain. Boston, New York City and Pittsburgh each have season-to-date snowfall deficits of at least 15 inches through Feb. 8., with Syracuse having a particularly low total for their average pace. The upcoming storm will depend on whether it gathers enough cold air as it heads north to change quickly from rain to snow, and heavy snowfall is expected from Pennsylvania to Massachusetts on Tuesday, starting in New York City around 4 a.m.



Confidence

80%

Doubts
  • The exact amount and location of the snowstorm are uncertain.

Sources

63%

  • Unique Points
    • A storm system will produce snow from the Mountain West to the Northeast.
    • Snow is expected in parts of the Northeast, but how much and exactly where is uncertain.
    • (192-hours: Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days  only available on our Premium Pro experience.)
    • Boston, New York City and Pittsburgh each have season-to-date snowfall deficits of at least 15 inches through Feb. 8.
    • Most stunning is typically snowy Syracuse, New York. Their 28-inch seasonal total sounds impressive, but that's <4> or over ⽪ feet behind their average pace. It's their lowest season-to-date total in 91 years.
    • The upcoming snowstorm will depend on whether it gathers enough cold air as it heads north to change quickly from rain to snow
    • Heavy snowfall is expected from Pennsylvania to Massachusetts on Tuesday, starting in New York City around 4 a.m.
  • Accuracy
    • New York City is expected to receive anywhere from an inch to several inches of snow on Tuesday due to a potential nor'easter
    • `We're watching the rain-snow line waver back and forth` - Fox Weather meteorologist Cody Braud
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that the storm will produce plowable snow across interior and mountain regions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. However, this statement contradicts itself by stating that less than an inch of snow may fall from central Pennsylvania into Rhode Island and southern Massachusetts. This indicates that not all areas in these regions will receive enough precipitation to be considered plowable snow. Secondly, the article states that a mix of rain and snow is probable from New York City to Boston along I-95 corridor on Monday evening into early Tuesday. However, this statement contradicts itself by stating that heavy precipitation can chill the lower atmosphere by a few degrees, increasing the odds of more significant snow accumulation. This indicates that there will be no mix of rain and snow in these areas as stated earlier.
    • The article says a mix of rain and snow is probable along I-95 corridor on Monday evening into early Tuesday, however it also states heavy precipitation can chill lower atmosphere by few degrees increasing odds significant snow accumulation which contradicts earlier statement
    • The article states 'plowable snow' across interior and mountain regions but also mentions less than an inch may fall from central Pennsylvania into Rhode Island which contradicts the statement
  • Fallacies (75%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the National Weather Service and other experts in their predictions about the storm. They also use inflammatory rhetoric when describing potential damage from heavy snowfall, such as 'damage to tree limbs' and 'power outages'. Additionally, there are several instances of dichotomous depictions throughout the article, including contrasting temperatures between different regions and comparing rain with snow.
    • The storm is likely to produce plowable snow across interior and mountain regions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Closer to the coast, along I-95 corridor, a mix of rain and snow is probable from New York City to Boston.
  • Bias (85%)
    The article is biased towards the idea that there will be significant snowfall in the I-95 corridor. The author uses language such as 'sweet spot' and 'risk of damage to tree limbs and power outages' to create a sense of urgency for readers, which could lead them to believe that this storm is particularly dangerous or severe. Additionally, the article mentions several cities along I-95 in close proximity (New York City, Boston) as being affected by the storm. This creates a false impression that these cities will be hit hardest by the snowfall.
    • Boston rain should arrive early Tuesday, probably after 2 a.m., potentially becoming mostly or all snow by around sunrise as temperatures drop to near or below the freezing mark, before moving out Tuesday evening.
      • Rain should arrive Monday night, perhaps within a few hours of midnight, and could become mostly snow from the city toward points north and west Tuesday morning before tapering in the afternoon. A little sleet could mix in as well.
        • The sweet spot for accumulating snow may stretch from central Pennsylvania into Massachusetts
        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
          Dan Stillman has conflicts of interest on the topics of nor'easter, winter storms, heavy rain and severe thunderstorms. He is reporting from the Gulf Coast and Southeast regions as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions in Massachusetts.
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            Dan Stillman has conflicts of interest on the topics of nor'easter, winter storm, heavy rain and severe thunderstorms. He is reporting for The Washington Post which covers the Northeast region including Massachusetts and New York.

            87%

            • Unique Points
              • A storm system will produce snow from the Mountain West to the Northeast.
              • (192-hours: Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days  only available on our Premium Pro experience.)
              • Boston, New York City and Pittsburgh each have season-to-date snowfall deficits of at least 15 inches through Feb. 8.
              • Most stunning is typically snowy Syracuse, New York. Their 28-inch seasonal total sounds impressive, but that's <4> or over ⽪ feet behind their average pace. It's their lowest season-to-date total in 91 years.
              • Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996.
            • Accuracy
              No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
            • Deception (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Fallacies (75%)
              The article contains several logical fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA for their snowfall data in the Northeast. However, this does not necessarily mean that their predictions are accurate or reliable. Additionally, the author uses a dichotomous depiction of weather conditions in different regions of the country, stating that
              • The storm is currently dropping snow over parts of the Plains and Rockies as the radar below shows:
              • <img src=
            • Bias (100%)
              None Found At Time Of Publication
            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
              The Weather Channel has a conflict of interest on the topic of 'Winter Storm Northeast' as they are owned by The Kraft Heinz Company which produces and sells products related to snow removal.
              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication

              76%

              • Unique Points
                • A line of clouds was evident over New England Friday morning.
                • The sun this time of the year is as strong as it would be the final week of October. In mid-autumn, with leaves still on trees and lowering sun angle, solar radiation received is less intense than now when there are no leaves on trees and higher growing sun angle.
              • Accuracy
                • The second weekend of February will feature lots of mild air, especially on Saturday. Temperatures are expected to reach well into the 50s and there is an outside chance Boston hits 60 degrees if we see enough sunshine.
              • Deception (30%)
                The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that there's an outside chance Boston hits 60 degrees if we see enough sunshine on Saturday. However, this statement contradicts their earlier claim that temperatures will reach well into the 50s and it seems unlikely to happen given current weather conditions. Secondly, the article states that a line of clouds was evident over New England Friday morning but does not provide any information about what caused these clouds or how they relate to the upcoming snowstorm. Lastly, while NOAA is cited as providing readings for Sunday's temperatures and precipitation, there are no specific details provided in the article itself.
                • The author claims that there's an outside chance Boston hits 60 degrees if we see enough sunshine on Saturday. However, this statement contradicts their earlier claim that temperatures will reach well into the 50s and it seems unlikely to happen given current weather conditions.
              • Fallacies (85%)
                The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing NOAA and the National Weather Service as sources for their information. They also use inflammatory rhetoric when they describe the weather as 'mild air' and 'above-average temperatures'. Additionally, there are examples of dichotomous depictions in phrases such as 'it will still be noticeably warmer than average' and 'we end up with some rain or mixed precipitation'. The author also uses a form of informal fallacy by stating that it is more likely for the record set last year to remain intact, without providing any evidence to support this claim. Finally, there are examples of inflammatory rhetoric in phrases such as 'the amount of solar radiation we receive is basically the same' and 'a short-wave trough is modeled to be in the Ohio Valley early next week'.
                • NOAA A frontal system pushes east Saturday night into early Sunday, moving the mildest air of the year out to sea -- but leaving us with above-average temperatures for Sunday.
                • There's a chance that we will end up with a storm coming fairly close to New England, moving warm air with it and we end up with some rain or mixed precipitation.
              • Bias (85%)
                The article contains a mix of religious and monetary bias. The author uses the phrase 'the second weekend of February' which implies that it is significant due to its proximity to Valentine's Day, a Christian holiday. Additionally, the use of phrases like 'mildest air of the year', 'above-average temperatures for Sunday', and 'cooler weather arrives mid-week with readings in the 30s during the day' all suggest that there is some sort of monetary value placed on temperature and time. The author also uses phrases like 'there will be more sunshine on that day' which suggests a preference for warmer, brighter days over colder ones.
                • above-average temperatures for Sunday
                  • cooler weather arrives mid-week with readings in the 30s during the day
                    • mildest air of the year
                      • The second weekend of February
                      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication
                      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                        None Found At Time Of Publication

                      64%

                      • Unique Points
                        • New York City is expected to receive anywhere from an inch to several inches of snow on Tuesday due to a potential nor'easter
                        • `It's still up in the air - Fox Weather meteorologist Cody Braud on the storm's accumulation
                      • Accuracy
                        No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
                      • Deception (30%)
                        The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the title implies that snow will be coming to New York after a record February warmth when in fact it's not guaranteed and could just as easily turn out to be rain. Secondly, the author quotes Cody Braud from Fox Weather saying 'It's still up in the air,' which is misleading because they are already predicting that around 4 inches of snow will fall on Monday into Tuesday. Lastly, there is no mention of any sources being disclosed or quoted in this article.
                        • The title implies that snow will be coming to New York after a record February warmth when in fact it's not guaranteed and could just as easily turn out to be rain.
                      • Fallacies (70%)
                        The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the opinions of meteorologists without providing any evidence or context for their predictions. Additionally, the author commits a false dilemma by presenting only two options: either it will snow heavily and accumulate in inches or not at all.
                        • Bias (85%)
                          The article contains multiple examples of bias. The author uses language that dehumanizes and demonizes those who disagree with the idea of climate change by referring to them as 'deniers'. This is an example of ideological bias.
                          • < 4 inches possible Monday into Tuesday
                            • > record warmth
                            • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                              Deirdre Bardolf has a conflict of interest on the topic of weather whiplash in New York and metro region as she is an employee of The New York Post which is owned by News Corp. This company also owns several other media outlets that have financial interests in industries related to climate change, such as fossil fuels.
                              • Deirdre Bardolf reports on the weather whiplash in New York and metro region for The New York Post which is owned by News Corp. This company also owns several other media outlets that have financial interests in industries related to climate change, such as fossil fuels.
                              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
                                The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of weather whiplash in New York and metro region as they are reporting for The New York Post which is owned by News Corp. This could compromise their ability to report objectively.