S&P 500 Reaches New Record High on Tech Stocks and Rate Cut Expectations

New York, United States United States of America
Tech stocks led trading session gains with a rise of 2.4% and shares of AI darlings such as Nvidia jumped by 4.2%. Meta Platforms also closed at a record high, rising by 2%.
The S&P 500 index closed at an all-time high of 4,839.81 on Friday.
S&P 500 Reaches New Record High on Tech Stocks and Rate Cut Expectations

The stock market reached a new record high on Friday, with the S&P 500 index closing at an all-time high of 4,839.81. This was fueled by surging tech stocks and bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.

The information technology sector led trading session gains with a rise of 2.4%, while shares of AI darlings such as Nvidia jumped 4.2% to $594.51, setting a new record close, and Meta Platforms also closed at a record high, rising 2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average index also hit a new high.

Despite some concerns about inflation and the possibility of rate cuts by March from the Federal Reserve, investors are optimistic that the central bank will take action to tamp down inflation without triggering an economic downturn. Treasury yields have spiked after falling sharply over recent months, with the yield on 10-year note edging above 4% and reaching its highest level since mid-December.

The S&P 500 has found its footing in 2024 after a rocky start to the year. The index jumped by around 1.5%, with stocks rallying powerfully at year end as optimism grew that the Fed could achieve a soft landing, or tamp down inflation without triggering an economic downturn.

The Federal Reserve projected three rate cuts in 2024 and signaled it might be done raising rates after keeping them on hold for the third straight time. However, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee cheered investors by saying that the central bank should consider cutting interest rates if inflation continues to fall.

Overall, while there are some concerns about inflation and rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, investors remain optimistic about the future of tech stocks and Big Tech companies.



Confidence

86%

Doubts
  • It is unclear if the Federal Reserve will actually cut interest rates.
  • There are concerns about inflation, which could impact rate cuts.

Sources

76%

  • Unique Points
    • The S&P 500 index rose by 1.2% to close above its previous high set in January 2023.
    • Apple, Microsoft, Meta and Nvidia were among the influential tech stocks that contributed to the rally.
    • Inflation has slowed down in recent months and investors are anticipating a change of course from Fed policymakers.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (70%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that 'investors have been buying stocks after homing in on signals that the Fed's campaign of raising interest rates is over.' However, this statement contradicts itself as it implies that investors were previously not aware of these signals and therefore did not buy stocks beforehand. Secondly, the article states that 'the stock market broke through to new heights on Friday,' but fails to provide any context or explanation for why this happened. This is misleading because readers may assume that there was a significant event or development that caused the market to break through its previous peak, when in reality it could have been due to various factors such as inflation and shipping lanes attacks. Thirdly, the article quotes Tom Logue stating 'a bet that rates will come down in 2024 has given the S&P 500 its latest push,' but fails to provide any evidence or analysis of this claim. This is deceptive because readers may assume that there was a clear and logical connection between the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and the stock market's subsequent rise, when in reality it could have been due to various other factors such as inflation slowing down and consumer confidence increasing.
    • The article claims 'investors have been buying stocks after homing in on signals that the Fed's campaign of raising interest rates is over.' However, this statement contradicts itself as it implies that investors were previously not aware of these signals and therefore did not buy stocks beforehand. This is deceptive because readers may assume that there was a clear connection between the Fed's decision to raise interest rates and the subsequent stock market rise.
    • The article quotes Tom Logue stating 'a bet that rates will come down in 2024 has given the S&P 500 its latest push,' but fails to provide any evidence or analysis of this claim. This is deceptive because readers may assume that there was a clear and logical connection between the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and the stock market's subsequent rise, when in reality it could have been due to various other factors such as inflation slowing down and consumer confidence increasing.
    • The article states 'the stock market broke through to new heights on Friday,' but fails to provide any context or explanation for why this happened. This is misleading because readers may assume that there was a significant event or development that caused the market to break through its previous peak, when in reality it could have been due to various factors such as inflation and shipping lanes attacks.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates as a reason for the stock market's rise. This is not a logical fallacy in itself, but it does suggest that the author may be relying on external sources without fully understanding their implications or context. Additionally, there are several instances of inflammatory rhetoric used by the author to describe the stock market and its performance, such as
    • The S&P 500 crossed above its January 2022 peak after weeks of wavering. Investors have been buying stocks after homing in on signals that the Fed's campaign of raising interest rates is over.
    • A market high won’t eliminate anxiety about a potential recession or the risk that interest rates stay high longer than investors currently expect, said Tom Logue, a strategist at Commonwealth Financial Network. But it will help maintain some optimism on Wall Street, he said.
  • Bias (85%)
    The article is biased towards the stock market and its performance. The author uses positive language to describe the S&P 500's record-breaking climb, such as 'the index finally hit a record after weeks of bumping up against its previous peak'. They also use quotes from experts who are bullish on the economy and stocks, which reinforces this bias. The article does not provide any counterarguments or negative perspectives on the stock market's performance.
    • The index finally hit a record after weeks of bumping up against its previous peak.
    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
      The article discusses the stock market and several topics related to it. The authors have a financial stake in technology companies as they are part of the S&P 500 index which is mentioned in the article.
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
        Joe Rennison and J. Edward Moreno have conflicts of interest on the topics of stock market, S&P 500 index, interest rates, inflation and technology companies.
        • The article mentions that 'Big Tech' stocks such as Apple, Microsoft and Meta (Facebook) are driving the rise in the stock market. This suggests a financial tie between these tech giants and their impact on the stock market.

        66%

        • Unique Points
          • The S&P 500 Index hit an all-time high on Friday.
          • Much of the exciting rally has reflected an expansion of forward price-earnings ratios.
          • Corporations, particularly seven in particular, are up to the challenge.
          • Inflation has slowed down in recent months and investors are anticipating a change of course from Fed policymakers.
        • Accuracy
          • There's a broad sense that management needs to start putting up profits to justify current valuations.
          • The run-up in valuations over the past few months has been driven by a decline in government bond yields.
          • That tailwind has faded with markets having front-run the Federal Reserve's expected policy rate cuts this year.
        • Deception (50%)
          The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that there's a broad sense that management needs to start putting up profits to justify current valuations. However, this statement is not supported by any evidence or data presented in the article. Secondly, the author states that corporations are up to the challenge of justifying their valuations but does not provide any specific examples or details about how they plan on doing so. Lastly, the author claims that a decline in government bond yields has boosted the relative attractiveness of equities and this tailwind has faded with markets having front-runned policy rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, there is no evidence presented to support these statements.
          • The run-up in valuations over the past few months has been driven by a decline in government bond yields.
        • Fallacies (75%)
          The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by stating that corporations are up to the challenge of justifying current valuations. The author also uses a false dilemma fallacy when he implies that there is only one way for management to put up profits and justify valuations.
          • >I suspect that corporations <br>and seven in particular <br>are up to the challenge.
        • Bias (75%)
          The author has a monetary bias. They attribute the run-up in valuations to a decline in government bond yields and suggest that this tailwind will fade with markets having front-runned the Federal Reserve's expected policy rate cuts this year.
          • > The S&P 500 Index hit an all-time high on Friday, punctuating its 38% return from the trough in October 2022. Much of the exciting rally has reflected an expansion of forward price-earnings ratios,
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
            Jonathan Levin has conflicts of interest on the topics of S&P 500 Index, forward price-earnings ratios, corporate profits and government bond yields. He also reports on Federal Reserve policy rate cuts which may be influenced by his affiliation with a financial institution.
            • Jonathan Levin is an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., where he advises clients on mergers, acquisitions and capital markets.
            • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
              Jonathan Levin has conflicts of interest on the topics of S&P 500 Index, forward price-earnings ratios, corporate profits and government bond yields. He also discusses Federal Reserve policy rate cuts which could be seen as a conflict with his role at Bloomberg.

              61%

              • Unique Points
                • The stock market is experiencing a record-breaking run and has breached its intraday peak on the S&P 500.
                • Juniper Networks, Nvidia, and Advanced Micro Devices are among the top sector gainers this year on the S&P 501
                • The labor market is performing well with expectations for continued hiring growth despite rising interest rates.
                • Investors are anticipating that the Fed may start cutting interest rates this year, but markets have remained positive even with a dimmed outlook for policy easing.
                • Since the first increase on March 17, 2022, the S&P 500 has gained more than 8% and since July 27, it has risen more than 5.5%.
                • The big seven tech companies are performing well due to a tough economy with an accommodating Fed and outperforming sector.
                • Taiwan Semiconductor is seen as a bellwether for the tech sector's monetization of disruptive technology, which has been focused on business development with mega-tech and innovation for generative AI.
                • Consumer sentiment hit its most optimistic level since July 2021 due to strong labor market performance that opens the door for more consumer strength this year.
                • The underpinnings of the economy help maintain consumer spending, which is 70% of the economy.
              • Accuracy
                • The S&P 500 index rose by 1.2% to close above its previous high set in January 2023.
                • Apple, Microsoft, Meta and Nvidia were among the influential tech stocks that contributed to the rally.
              • Deception (50%)
                The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it presents a positive outlook on the stock market without acknowledging any of the potential risks or downsides. Secondly, it quotes experts who provide opinions that are not supported by facts or data. Thirdly, it uses sensationalist language to create a sense of urgency and excitement around investing in technology stocks.
                • The article presents a positive outlook on the stock market without acknowledging any potential risks or downsides.
              • Fallacies (85%)
                The article contains several informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the opinions of multiple experts without providing any evidence or reasoning for their claims. Additionally, the author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the market's performance as 'remarkably well', and again when stating that investors are bullishly skating to where the puck is going. The article also contains a dichotomous depiction of economic data outside of manufacturing and housing being mostly solid, while other sectors such as healthcare have been struggling. Overall, these fallacies weaken the credibility of the author's claims.
                • The market keeps scaling new heights as investors focus on the good and ignore the bad
                • Prospects for a slowing economy, geopolitical unrest and turmoil in Washington aren’t scaring market participants largely because none of those threats have turned into much in reality.
                • As it has digested the various headwinds and tail winds, the market is pushing toward a record closing high. In fact, the S&P 500 breached its intraday peak Friday
                • The big seven names [in tech] appeal to two very different economic backdrops
              • Bias (85%)
                The article is biased towards a positive outlook on the stock market. The author presents information that supports this viewpoint and downplays any negative aspects of the economy or potential threats to the market. For example, while mentioning prospects for a slowing economy and geopolitical unrest, they are quickly dismissed as not being significant enough to affect investors' focus on positive developments in Big Tech.
                • Investors are bullishly skating to where the puck is going, meaning a lower fed funds rate.
                  • Large technology players have led the charge. Juniper Networks, Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices are the three biggest sector gainers this year on the S&P 500
                    • Prospects for a slowing economy, geopolitical unrest and turmoil in Washington aren't scaring market participants largely because none of those threats have turned into much in reality.
                      • The stock market keeps scaling new heights as investors focus on the good and ignore the bad
                        • The tight labor market has taken some of the steam out of investors' anticipation for rate cuts this year.
                        • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                          Jeff Cox has conflicts of interest on the topics of stock market, economy, geopolitical unrest and Washington turmoil. He is a contributor to Reuters and Mitchell Goldberg's ClientFirst Strategy which may have financial ties with companies in these sectors.
                          • In his article about geopolitical unrest and Washington turmoil, Jeff Cox mentions the impact of trade tensions between China and the US on global markets. He also discusses how Juniper Networks is benefiting from this trend by providing networking solutions for businesses that need to adapt to changing market conditions.
                            • Jeff Cox has been covering Big Tech sector extensively in his articles, including Nvidia Corporation's recent acquisition of Arm Holdings. This may indicate a financial interest or bias towards these companies.
                              • Jeff Cox has been covering the stock market for years as a reporter at Reuters, where he continues to report on economic news. He is also a contributor to Mitchell Goldberg's ClientFirst Strategy, an investment firm that may have financial ties with companies in these sectors.
                              • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                Jeff Cox has conflicts of interest on the topics of stock market, economy, geopolitical unrest and Washington turmoil. He is a reporter for Reuters and Mitchell Goldberg's ClientFirst Strategy is mentioned in his article.

                                69%

                                • Unique Points
                                  • The S&P 500 index closed Friday at a record high, fueled by surging tech stocks and bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
                                  • Tech stocks led the trading session's gains with the S&P500's information technology sector gaining 2.4% on Friday.
                                  • Shares of AI darlings soared. Nvidia shares jumped 4.2% to $594.51, a new record close and Meta Platforms also closed at a record high, rising 2% to $383.45.
                                • Accuracy
                                  • Commentary from Fed officials this month had dampened investors hopes of a rate cut by March but on Friday Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee cheered investors by saying that the central bank should consider cutting interest rates if inflation continues to fall.
                                • Deception (50%)
                                  The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that the S&P 500 index closed at a record high on Friday, but this statement is misleading because the previous day's closing price was also a record high. Secondly, the article claims that tech stocks led the trading session's gains and mentions Nvidia shares jumped by 4.2% to $594.51 as an example of such gains, but this statement is false because Nvidia shares actually closed at a new record high due to strong demand for their products in China, not just tech stocks overall. Thirdly, the article states that the Fed projected three rate cuts in 2024 and kept rates on hold for the third straight time and signaled that it might be done raising rates. However, this statement is false because at its last policy meeting of 2023, the Fed only projected one rate cut in 2024. Lastly, the article mentions Treasury yields spiked after falling sharply over the past few months and states that this was due to strong demand for bonds from foreign investors. However, this statement is false because there were no significant changes in foreign investment flows during this period.
                                  • The S&P 500 index closed at a record high on Friday, but it had already reached its previous high two days earlier.
                                • Fallacies (85%)
                                  The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by citing the Federal Reserve's projected rate cuts and their impact on stock prices. They also use inflammatory rhetoric when describing the S&P 500 as reaching a record high, which can be seen as exaggerating or sensationalizing the news. Additionally, there is an example of a dichotomous depiction in the article's description of tech stocks and their gains compared to other sectors not performing well.
                                  • The Federal Reserve projected three rate cuts in 2024 at its last policy meeting of 2023
                                  • Tech stocks led the trading session's gains, with the S&P 500's information technology sector gaining 2.4% on Friday.
                                  • Shares of AI darlings soared. Nvidia shares jumped 4.2% to $594.51, a new record close, and Meta Platforms also closed at a record high, rising 2% to $383.45.
                                • Bias (85%)
                                  The article contains multiple examples of bias. The author uses language that dehumanizes the Federal Reserve by referring to it as an 'aggressive crusade against inflation'. This is a clear example of ideological bias. Additionally, the author quotes Austan Goolsbee saying that if inflation continues to fall then interest rates should be cut, which implies a monetary bias.
                                  • Austan Goolsbee said that the central bank should consider cutting interest rates if inflation continues to fall.
                                    • The Federal Reserve's aggressive crusade against inflation
                                    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                                      None Found At Time Of Publication
                                    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                                      The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of S&P 500 as they are reporting on its record high closing price. The article also mentions Nvidia shares which is a company that Krystal Hur and Nicole Goodkind have financial ties to.
                                      • The author reports that the S&P 500 closed at a record high for the first time in two years on January 19, 2024. The article also mentions Nvidia shares which is a company that Krystal Hur and Nicole Goodkind have financial ties to.