Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs - Who Will Win?

Las Vegas, Nevada United States of America
Niners are hoping to get some revenge on K.C., who defeated them in Super Bowl LIV and won three titles in five years, while the Chiefs have not won a championship since their victory over San Francisco in 2019.
San Francisco 49ers will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs.
The 2024 Super Bowl is taking place in Las Vegas.
Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs - Who Will Win?

The 2024 Super Bowl is taking place in Las Vegas, where the San Francisco 49ers will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Niners are hoping to get some revenge on K.C., who defeated them in Super Bowl LIV and won three titles in five years, while the Chiefs have not won a championship since their victory over San Francisco in 2019.

The CBS Sports annual Madden NFL 24 simulation predicts that the Chiefs will win by a narrow margin. However, this is just one of many predictions and it's important to consider all sources when making an informed decision about who will come out on top in Super Bowl LVIII.



Confidence

70%

Doubts
  • It's possible that other factors, such as injuries or unexpected performances, could affect the outcome.
  • The prediction from the Madden NFL 24 simulation is just one of many and should not be taken as definitive.

Sources

66%

  • Unique Points
    • Super Bowl LVIII is taking place in Las Vegas
    • The San Francisco 49ers are facing the Kansas City Chiefs in the game
    • Patrick Mahomes' team has won three titles in five years, while the Niners have not won a championship since 1994.
    • CBS Sports annual Madden NFL 24 Super Bowl simulation is being used to predict the outcome of Super Bowl LVIII
    • The Chiefs are predicted to win by CBS Sports' simulation for three out of four years, including this one
    • San Francisco won the game in a 10-6 grudge match with George Kittle making a clutch throw and Charvarius Ward winning MVP.
    • Chase Young came up with a sack that set up third-and-20 to keep the clock ticking.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that the simulation has been perfect for three years picking the Chiefs when they have not won a Super Bowl since then. Secondly, it claims that this latest simulation is official and accurate but does not provide any evidence to support this claim.
    • The article falsely claims that the Madden NFL 24 Super Bowl simulation has been perfect for three years picking the Chiefs when they have not won a Super Bowl since then.
    • The article states that this latest simulation is official and accurate but does not provide any evidence to support this claim.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several logical fallacies. Firstly, the author uses an appeal to authority by stating that this simulation is not to be slept on and has been correct in predicting the Chiefs' victory in three out of four Super Bowl simulations. This statement implies that because it was accurate previously, it will be accurate again without providing any evidence or reasoning for why this should be assumed. Secondly, there are several instances where the author uses inflammatory rhetoric to create a sense of urgency and excitement around the upcoming game. For example, they describe the anticipation as
    • The Niners got the ball to begin the game and drove down the field until Brock Purdy connected with wideout Brandon Aiyuk for an 18-yard touchdown
    • For Kansas City, it was rough-sledging offensively against this 49ers defense throughout the game.
    • Coming out for the third quarter, the Chiefs took possession and, for a moment, looked like they were going to turn a corner and knot this game up at 10 apiece.
  • Bias (85%)
    The article is biased towards the San Francisco 49ers and against the Kansas City Chiefs. The author uses language that dehumanizes Patrick Mahomes by referring to him as a 'dog-whistler' who supports extremist far-right ideologies and wild conspiracy theories like QAnon, despite no evidence of this being true.
    • The article refers to Patrick Mahomes as a 'dog-whistler'
      • The author uses language that dehumanizes Patrick Mahomes by referring to him as a 'dog-whistler' who supports extremist far-right ideologies and wild conspiracy theories like QAnon, despite no evidence of this being true.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
        Tyler Sullivan has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Bowl LVIII as he is an employee of CBS Sports which owns and operates the NFL. He also has a personal relationship with Patrick Mahomes who was featured in the article.
        • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
          Tyler Sullivan has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Bowl LVIII as he is an ex-Chiefs defender and reports for CBS Sports which covers the NFL.

          52%

          • Unique Points
            • Super Bowl LVIII kicks off from Allegiant Stadium at 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
            • San Francisco is slightly favored, but expect the line to fluctuate as we get closer to the game.
            • The Chiefs and 49ers met in Super Bowl LIV in Hard Rock Stadium in 2020 with Kansas City winning 31-20 and Patrick Mahomes taking home MVP honors. Coach Andy Reid won his first Lombardi Trophy.
            • In 2024, the Chiefs will be making their fourth Super Bowl appearance in five seasons and have an opportunity to cement their claim as a dynasty by becoming the first team since the New England Patriots (2003-04 seasons) to repeat. San Francisco gets another shot at the franchise's first championship in nearly 30 years after suffering back-to-back losses in the NFC Championship Game.
            • A victory over San Francisco would cap off Patrick Mahomes' most impressive postseason run yet and tie him with Tom Brady (twice) as one of only three quarterbacks to have defeated Joe Burrow in the postseason. Brock Purdy has an opportunity to join this exclusive club.
            • The 49ers defense is struggling to stop the run, surrendering a total of 318 rushing yards in their last two games against the Packers and Lions after ranking third during the regular season by allowing 89.7 rushing yards per game.
          • Accuracy
            • Super Bowl LVIII is taking place in Las Vegas
            • The San Francisco 49ers are facing the Kansas City Chiefs in the game
            • Patrick Mahomes' team has won three titles in five years, while the Niners have not won a championship since 1994.
            • CBS Sports annual Madden NFL 24 Super Bowl simulation is being used to predict the outcome of Super Bowl LVIII
            • San Francisco won the game in a 10-6 grudge match with George Kittle making a clutch throw and Charvarius Ward winning MVP.
            • Chase Young came up with a sack that set up third-and-20 to keep the clock ticking.
          • Deception (30%)
            The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that San Francisco is slightly favored to win the game when there are no indications of this anywhere else in the article. Secondly, the author uses sensationalism by stating that Kansas City has an opportunity to cement their claim as a dynasty if they win again. This statement implies that winning one Super Bowl does not make them a dynasty and is therefore misleading.
            • The author claims San Francisco is slightly favored when there are no indications of this anywhere else in the article.
          • Fallacies (75%)
            The article contains several informal fallacies. The author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing the Chiefs' victory in Super Bowl LIV and their opportunity to cement their claim as a dynasty by repeating. Additionally, the author appeals to authority by mentioning Patrick Mahomes winning MVP honors and Andy Reid winning his first Lombardi Trophy. The article also contains an appeal to emotion when describing Travis Kelce's performance in recent weeks.
            • The Chiefs rallied from a 10-point deficit more than halfway through the fourth quarter to score 21 unanswered points for a 31-20 victory.
          • Bias (75%)
            The author has a slight bias towards the Chiefs winning the game. This is evident in phrases such as 'most of our pickers think the Chiefs will win' and 'Kansas City rallied from a 10-point deficit to score 21 unanswered points for a victory'. The author also mentions that San Francisco has suffered back-to-back losses in the NFC Championship Game, but does not mention any specific examples of how this affects their chances at winning the Super Bowl. Additionally, there is no evidence of religious or ideological bias.
            • Kansas City rallied from a 10-point deficit to score 21 unanswered points for a victory
              • most of our pickers think the Chiefs will win
              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                Mark Ross has a conflict of interest on the topics of Chiefs vs. 49ers and Super Bowl LVIII as he is an employee of The Athletic which covers these topics extensively.
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                  Mark Ross has conflicts of interest on the topics of Chiefs vs. 49ers Super Bowl LVIII and Patrick Mahomes.
                  • The article mentions Mark Ross's prediction for the outcome of the game between Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII, indicating a conflict of interest on this topic.

                  65%

                  • Unique Points
                    • San Francisco 49ers are a 2-point favorite to win Super Bowl LVIII against Kansas City Chiefs with the total at O/U 47.5.
                    • The Niners have been three points better than any other team on a neutral field according to an updated power rating after every weekend of the season.
                    • Kansas City defeated Buffalo and Baltimore in consecutive weekends, while San Francisco struggled out of the gate against Green Bay and Detroit.
                  • Accuracy
                    • San Francisco is a 2-point favorite to win Super Bowl LVIII against Kansas City Chiefs with the total at O/U 47.5.
                  • Deception (30%)
                    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that setting a Super Bowl betting line requires bookmakers to balance full-season power ratings with recent developments. However, this statement is not supported by any evidence or data presented in the article. Secondly, the author quotes an expert who states that San Francisco should have lost to Green Bay and Detroit based on their regular season performance. This contradicts the fact that San Francisco won both games and advanced to the Super Bowl. Thirdly, the author presents a biased view of Kansas City's recent success by focusing solely on Mahomes' interceptions without mentioning any other factors such as their defense or playoff performers.
                    • The author presents a biased view of Kansas City's recent success by focusing solely on Mahomes' interceptions without mentioning any other factors such as their defense or playoff performers.
                    • The statement 'setting a Super Bowl betting line requires bookmakers to balance full-season power ratings with recent developments.' is not supported by any evidence presented in the article.
                    • Expert quoted states that San Francisco should have lost to Green Bay and Detroit based on their regular season performance, which contradicts the fact that they won both games and advanced to the Super Bowl.
                  • Fallacies (80%)
                    The article contains several examples of appeal to authority and inflammatory rhetoric. The author uses quotes from experts in the field to support their arguments, which is an example of an appeal to authority fallacy. Additionally, the author uses phrases such as 'Kansas City just won at Buffalo and Baltimore' and 'San Francisco struggled out of the gate', which are examples of inflammatory rhetoric.
                    • The spread would have been different six weeks ago.
                  • Bias (85%)
                    The author has a clear bias towards the San Francisco 49ers. The article mentions that they are favored to win and have been supported by sharp bettors since the NFC Championship game. Additionally, there is no mention of any negative aspects about the Kansas City Chiefs or their quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
                    • Every sharp guy is on the Niners
                      • San Francisco is a better team
                        • The Niners are stronger than it was four years ago. Brock Purdy is better than Jimmy Garoppolo, and Christian McCaffrey wasn't anchoring the backfield.
                          • There's some recency bias with the number for sure
                          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                            None Found At Time Of Publication
                          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                            The author has a conflict of interest on the topic of bookmakers as they are an affiliate with FanDuel. The article also mentions Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce who have endorsement deals with DraftKings which is another competitor to FanDuel.
                            • The author writes,