Super Tuesday: A Pivotal Day in Presidential Primaries and Caucuses

Washington, District of Columbia United States of America
On this day, 16 states will be voting in Republican contests and one state will be voting in a Democratic primary.
Super Tuesday is the biggest day of the year for presidential primaries and caucuses.
The results of Super Tuesday are expected to have a significant impact on both parties' nomination races.
Super Tuesday: A Pivotal Day in Presidential Primaries and Caucuses

Super Tuesday is the biggest day of the year for presidential primaries and caucuses. On this day, 16 states will be voting in Republican contests and one state will be voting in a Democratic primary. The results of Super Tuesday are expected to have a significant impact on both parties' nomination races.



Confidence

80%

Doubts
  • It is not clear if any other states besides the 16 Republican-voting and one Democrat-voting state will be holding primaries or caucuses on Super Tuesday.

Sources

71%

  • Unique Points
    • Super Tuesday is a quadrennial tradition in the United States where voters in 16 states and one territory cast ballots for presidential primaries.
    • Joe Biden won 10 of the Super Tuesday states in 2020, bringing Bernie Sanders' march to the Democratic nomination to an end.
    • Nikki Haley is still running against Trump but has only managed to win one primary so far and expectations for her campaign are low.
    • Both parties already have a clear sense of who their nominees will be, as Biden and Trump have cruised through the early voting states.
    • Super Tuesday could still provide key clues about where each party stands heading into the general election in November.
    • In the Republican primary, 874 of 2,429 total delegates will be up for grabs on Super Tuesday and Trump needs roughly 1,000 more to capture the nomination.
    • Trump has already won 244 delegates from early voting contests so he is unlikely to cross that threshold on Super Tuesday but could bring an end to the Republican primary as soon as this month.
    • Haley's loss in South Carolina was by 20 points and she vowed to fight on until Super Tuesday, insisting that voters deserved a real choice.
    • After losing her home state of South Carolina, Haley has been vague about her plans after Super Tuesday and many election watchers expect her to soon call it quits.
    • Biden does not have any real competition for the Democratic nomination but Super Tuesday represents an opportunity for him to notch some decisive wins after his mixed performance in Michigan last week.
    • Super Taylor may give Biden the chance to show that the Democratic party is already coming together to defeat Trump in November.
  • Accuracy
    • Super Tuesday could still provide key clues about where each party stands heading into the general election in November.
    • Trump has already won 244 delegates from early voting contests so he is unlikely to cross that threshold on Super Tuesday but could bring an end to the Republican primary as soon as this month.
    • After losing her home state of South Carolina, Haley has been vague about her plans after Super Tuesday and many election watchers expect her to soon call it quits.
  • Deception (50%)
    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that Super Tuesday has provided a clear indication of which candidates will win their parties' presidential nominations in past election cycles. However, this year it does not provide such an indication as both Biden and Trump have already won most of the early voting states.
    • The article falsely implies that Super Tuesday is always significant for determining who wins a party's presidential nomination.
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Super Tuesday has provided a clear indication of which candidates will win their parties' presidential nominations in past election cycles without providing any evidence or citation for this claim. Additionally, the author makes use of inflammatory rhetoric when describing Nikki Haley's campaign as having low expectations and being her last stand, even though there is no concrete information to support these claims.
    • The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Super Tuesday has provided a clear indication of which candidates will win their parties' presidential nominations in past election cycles without providing any evidence or citation for this claim.
    • The author makes use of inflammatory rhetoric when describing Nikki Haley's campaign as having low expectations and being her last stand, even though there is no concrete information to support these claims.
  • Bias (85%)
    The article is biased towards the Democratic Party and Joe Biden. The author uses language that dehumanizes Trump such as 'cruising through' and 'easily won'. They also use language that portrays Haley negatively by saying she has only managed to win one primary so far, despite not mentioning any of her positive qualities or accomplishments.
    • ,
      • The author uses the phrase
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
        Joan E Greve has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Tuesday as she is reporting for The Guardian which endorsed Joe Biden in the Democratic presidential primary. She also reports on Nikki Haley's performance in South Carolina and California's Republican primary rules.
        • Joan E Greve, a reporter for The Guardian, has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Tuesday as she is reporting for an organization that endorsed Joe Biden in the Democratic presidential primary. She also reports on Nikki Haley's performance in South Carolina and California's Republican primary rules.
        • Author Conflicts Of Interest (50%)
          Joan E Greve has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Tuesday as she is reporting for The Guardian which endorsed Joe Biden in the Democratic presidential primary. She also reports on Nikki Haley's performance in South Carolina and California's Republican primary rules.
          • Joan E Greve, a reporter for The Guardian, has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Tuesday as she is reporting for an organization that endorsed Joe Biden in the Democratic presidential primary. She also reports on Nikki Haley's performance in South Carolina and California's Republican primary rules.

          75%

          • Unique Points
            • The seat previously held by Dianne Feinstein was won by Ted Cruz in November.
            • Democrats are competing to face Senator Ted Cruz, who is running for re-election in his own primary race.
            • Barbara Lee is currently representing the East Bay district one of the most Democratic in the country.
            • Anna Eshoo is retiring from her seat as a Democrat, which will be filled by another Democrat after she leaves office.
            • David Valadao faces challenges from both sides for his re-election bid.
            • George Whitesides, a former Virgin Galactic chief executive, is challenging Mike Garcia in the tossup district.
            • Adam Schiff is running for Senate and facing opposition from other Democrats in his Los Angeles-area district.
            • Gil Cisneros and others are vying to replace Grace Napolitano in this solidly blue Los Angeles-area district.
            • Ken Calvert, the incumbent Republican, is in a close race with Will Rollins, a Democrat who narrowly lost the seat last year.
            • Four Democrats are targeting this Orange County district currently held by Michelle Steel.
            • The seat previously held by Katie Porter was won by another Democrat running for Senate.
            • Two Republicans are competing to face Don Davis, the incumbent Democrat in North Carolina's 1st District.
            • This district was redrawn and now no Democrats are running.
            • Dan Bishop is currently holding this solidly Republican seat as he runs for state attorney general.
            • Wiley Nickel lost his seat after it was redrawn to favor Republicans, but still has competition from other Republicans in the primary.
            • Jeff Jackson's district was also redrawn and now favors Republicans.
            • Five Republicans are running in this solidly red Fort Worth-area district to replace Kay Granger, who is retiring.
            • Sheila Jackson Lee lost a bid for Houston mayor last year and is being challenged by Amanda Edwards in her re-election bid.
            • Tony Gonzales was censured by the Texas G.O.P for votes in favor of gay marriage and gun control.
            • Michael C. Burgess, who is retiring from his seat, will be replaced by another Republican.
          • Accuracy
            No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
          • Deception (50%)
            The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it presents the results of Super Tuesday as if they are final when in fact they are not yet complete. Secondly, it does not disclose or quote sources for its information which makes it difficult to verify the accuracy of its claims.
            • The article does not disclose or quote any sources for its information which makes it difficult to verify the accuracy of its claims.
            • The article states that 'Tonight, 854 Republican delegates are at stake across 15 states.' However, this is incorrect as only results from a few key races have been reported and many other races remain undecided.
          • Fallacies (85%)
            The article contains several examples of informal fallacies. The author uses inflammatory rhetoric by describing the results as a 'Super Tuesday' and using phrases such as 'key races to watch'. This creates an emotional response in readers rather than providing objective information. Additionally, the author uses dichotomous depictions when stating that Democrats are competing for Senate seats while Republicans are not mentioned at all. The article also contains appeals to authority by citing polls and election results without providing any context or analysis of their reliability.
            • The use of inflammatory rhetoric creates an emotional response in readers rather than providing objective information.
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            The New York Times has conflicts of interest on the topics of Super Tuesday, Republican Presidential Primaries and Caucuses, U.S. Senate elections, U.S. House of Representatives elections and Donald J Trump.
            • Super Tuesday is a key event in the US presidential election cycle that The New York Times covers extensively every four years.

            54%

            • Unique Points
              • Super Tuesday refers to the election day with the most states voting in a presidential primary season and with the biggest prize on the presidential primary calendar
              • In the Republican primary, 874 of 2,429 total delegates will be up for grabs on Super Tuesday and Trump needs roughly 1,000 more to capture the nomination.
              • Barbara Lee is currently representing a district one of the most Democratic in the country.
            • Accuracy
              No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
            • Deception (0%)
              The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that 'more than 40 states have voted on a Super Tuesday since 1980', when in fact only 32 states have held elections on Super Tuesdays since then.
              • CNN — At one point or another, voters in 42 different states have cast ballots in a presidential primary or caucus on a Super Tuesday. Sixteen of those states are holding elections today — the most since 2008, when two dozen states held contests on that year’s Super Tuesday.
              • Super Tuesday refers to the election day with the most states voting in a presidential primary season — and with the biggest prize on the presidential primary calendar. But the group of states voting on Super Tuesday fluctuates every election cycle.
            • Fallacies (80%)
              The article contains an appeal to authority fallacy by stating that Super Tuesday refers to the election day with the most states voting in a presidential primary season and has the biggest prize on the presidential primary calendar. The author does not provide any evidence or reasoning for this claim.
              • Bias (100%)
                None Found At Time Of Publication
              • Site Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                Christopher Hickey has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Tuesday as he is an employee of CNN which is one of the states participating in Super Tuesday.
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                  Christopher Hickey has a conflict of interest on the topic of Super Tuesday as he is an employee of CNN which is covering the event.

                  80%

                  • Unique Points
                    • Super Tuesday is the biggest day of the year for presidential primaries and caucuses.
                    • Nikki Haley's campaign isn't projecting she wins a single state, but her allies are hoping that she can get 40 percent in states with more moderate Republican voters.
                    • Trump could win most of the delegates awarded on Super Tuesday, mathematically speaking. If he does well in the 15 states voting in Republican contests, it will take him a few more weeks to officially clinch the nomination by winning enough delegates.
                  • Accuracy
                    • Nikki Haley's campaign isn't projecting she wins a single state
                    • Trump could win most of the delegates awarded on Super Tuesday
                    • Being pro-Nikki doesn’t automatically mean you are anti-Trump, but it is a persuadable opportunity.
                    • President Biden could have another dominant primary performance and then he will give a State of the Union address to Congress two days afterward.
                  • Deception (50%)
                    The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that Haley's campaign is doomed to fail from the start when she didn't directly attack Trump until it was too late. However, this statement contradicts itself as there are plenty of theories about why Haley stayed in the race despite only winning a single race so far.
                    • Haley argues that most states have not voted in the Republican presidential nominating contests yet. Nearly 90 percent of delegates haven't been awarded. But this statement is misleading as it implies that Trump has no chance to win, but he could still win more than a third of all delegates on Super Tuesday and clinch the nomination by winning enough delegates.
                    • The author claims that Haley's campaign is doomed to fail from the start when she didn't directly attack Trump until it was too late. However, this statement contradicts itself as there are plenty of theories about why Haley stayed in the race despite only winning a single race so far.
                  • Fallacies (85%)
                    The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Trump is on track to make this the shortest competitive primary season in recent presidential history without providing any evidence or sources for this claim. Additionally, the author makes a false dilemma by suggesting that Haley's decision to stay in the Republican primaries despite only winning a single race so far is somehow equivalent to running a campaign that was doomed to fail from the start.
                    • Trump is on track to make this the shortest competitive primary season in recent presidential history.
                  • Bias (85%)
                    The article contains examples of religious bias and monetary bias. The author uses language that dehumanizes those who disagree with the main stream media narrative.
                    • Nikki Haley argues, correctly, that most states have not voted in the Republican presidential nominating contests yet.
                    • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                      None Found At Time Of Publication
                    • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                      None Found At Time Of Publication