Toyota and Nissan, two of Japan's largest companies, have agreed to offer historic pay hikes in a sign that the country may finally be able to overcome its chronic deflation. The development is likely paving the way for an end to negative interest rates set by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The annual wage negotiations with labor unions are traditionally collaborative, but this year's pay increases are expected to help clear the way for a shift in BOJ policy. The central bank has said it will make its decision on monetary easing largely based on the outcomes of these talks.
Toyota and Nissan have agreed to meet union demands for monthly pay raises of up to 28,440 yen ($193) and record bonus payments. Other companies such as Honda Motor Co., Japan Airlines Co., Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, Japanese Trade Union Confederation (Rengo), and Panasonic have also agreed to similar pay hikes.
The annual wage talks are a defining feature of the usually collaborative relationship between Japanese management and labor. This year's pay increases are expected to help spread momentum for wage hikes across small and mid-sized firms, which could lead to an end to negative rates set by BOJ since 2016.
Economists see substantial wage increases as a prerequisite for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to declare that its long-held goals of sustainable wage growth and stable prices are in sight. The central bank is expected to hold its next policy setting meeting on March 18-19.
The pay hikes come at a time when workers have been demanding higher wages due to rising prices for everyday goods caused by higher raw material costs and the weak yen. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's government has repeatedly asked business leaders to increase wages at a pace that exceeds inflation.