A tropical disturbance is developing in the Atlantic Ocean with a 40% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next week.
The system is currently near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles, and its projected path includes Florida, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and other parts of the Caribbean.
A tropical disturbance is developing in the Atlantic Ocean, and there is a 40% chance that it will become a tropical depression within the next week. The system is currently near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles, and its projected path includes Florida, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and other parts of the Caribbean. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), formation chances are zero percent in the next two days but 40% in the next seven days. The NHC predicts that environmental conditions will become conducive for some development around midweek while the system is near or over these islands or in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
The tropical disturbance is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days, and it may form into a tropical depression. The NHC's latest update states that
A tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
A tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
A tropical disturbance is possible near the Caribbean in the next week.
Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system.
Temperatures in the mid to upper 80s and sufficient moisture are present for development.
Light to moderate wind shear is expected until it reaches the longitude of the Bahamas.
The Atlantic has been accumulating Saharan dust since Beryl’s demise three weeks ago, but conditions may be more conducive for development closer to the Antilles.
There is a medium chance of development over the next seven days according to the National Hurricane Center.
Heavy rain is possible in the Antilles over the next week regardless of system formation.
The ultimate track of this system closer to the US will depend on the strength and orientation of a high pressure dome, with potential impacts including Cuba, Florida or the Gulf of Mexico.
Accuracy
Interaction with an approaching tropical wave is predicted during the next several days.
Environmental conditions may become conducive for some development in a day or two.
A tropical depression could form around midweek while near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles or southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
