Leading Contenders for Donald Trump's 2024 Vice Presidential Pick: JD Vance and Doug Burgum

Doral, Florida, Florida United States of America
Former President Donald Trump is considering Ohio Sen. JD Vance and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum as his potential vice presidential pick for the 2024 election.
Senator Marco Rubio is also mentioned as a potential pick but not as consistently as Vance and Burgum.
Trump has hinted at an announcement during or just before the Republican National Convention next week.
Trump's decision-making process for the vice presidential nominee is based on instinct rather than a formal vetting process.
Leading Contenders for Donald Trump's 2024 Vice Presidential Pick: JD Vance and Doug Burgum

Former President Donald Trump's decision on his vice presidential running mate for the 2024 election has been a topic of great speculation. According to multiple reports and betting markets, Ohio Sen. JD Vance and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum are currently leading contenders for the position (Fox Business, ABC News). Trump himself has hinted at an announcement during or just before the Republican National Convention next week (NBC News).

Senator Marco Rubio of Florida is also mentioned as a potential pick, but his name has not been as consistently mentioned in recent reports as Vance and Burgum (ABC News, NBC News).

Trump's decision-making process for the vice presidential nominee is described as being based on instinct rather than a formal vetting process (NBC News). The former president has previously stated that he believes Vice President Kamala Harris would be an easier opponent to defeat in the general election than Biden, but some Democrats have called for Biden to step down due to signs of cognitive decline (USAToday).

Despite the uncertainty surrounding Trump's vice presidential pick, it is clear that the Republican National Convention will be a significant event in the 2024 presidential race. The convention is scheduled to take place next week and will officially nominate Trump as the GOP presidential nominee.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • The betting markets and reports mentioning Vance and Burgum as leading contenders may not be accurate.
  • Trump's decision-making process for the vice presidential nominee is described as being based on instinct, which could lead to an unqualified or controversial pick.

Sources

91%

  • Unique Points
    • Trump described his decision-making process as 'ultimately... more of an instinct.'
    • Trump named four potential picks for the VP position: GOP Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and JD Vance of Ohio, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C.
  • Accuracy
    • Trump plans to reveal his vice presidential running mate next week, potentially during the Republican National Convention, or just before it.
    • , Trump could announce his vice presidential pick during the RNC or slightly before it, possibly on Monday or Tuesday.
    • , Trump is expected to announce his running mate in the coming days.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains a few informal fallacies and an example of inflammatory rhetoric. It includes an appeal to authority by referencing former President Donald Trump's belief that Vice President Kamala Harris would be easier to defeat than President Joe Biden. Additionally, there is a dichotomous depiction in the statement 'I think you'd have a very big problem in the Democrat Party if it was somebody other than her.'
    • . . . he’d love to do it during the convention, which would be you know, or just slightly before the convention, like Monday, love to do it on Tuesday or Wednesday . . .
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

93%

  • Unique Points
    • Trump could announce his vice presidential pick during the RNC or slightly before it, possibly on Monday or Tuesday.
    • Sen. Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum are top contenders for Trump’s running mate.
  • Accuracy
    • Former President Donald Trump is expected to announce his running mate in the coming days.
    • Republican National Convention will take place next week.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains a few informal fallacies and an appeal to authority. It includes an inflammatory quote from Donald Trump without clearly stating it as a direct quote. Additionally, there is a dichotomous depiction of the political landscape.
    • . . . his senior adviser, Jason Miller, said earlier this week that Trump could announce his choice “any time this week” as the RNC approaches.
    • Trump said on Tuesday night in Doral. "I'd love to do it during the convention, which would be, you know, or just slightly before the convention, like Monday." . . .
    • Both Rubio and Vance were in Washington, D.C., this week -- on Capitol Hill.
    • Despite all the Democrat panic this week, the truth is it doesn't matter who they nominate because we are going to beat any one of them in thundering landslides.
    • On Tuesday night, Vance accused Harris of being part of a cover-up on Biden's fitness for office.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

  • Unique Points
    • As of Friday, Ohio Sen. JD Vance is the clear favorite to become the Republicans’ vice presidential nominee according to three betting markets.
    • North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum is the second favorite for the Republican vice presidential nomination across three betting markets.
    • Former President Trump’s choice for a running mate in 2024 is uncertain and there is a possibility of him picking a wild card.
  • Accuracy
    • Traders on prediction platform PolyMarket give Vance a 45% chance and Burgum a 26% shot of becoming Trump’s pick.
    • Florida Sen. Marco Rubio has odds of 10% to become Trump’s running mate according to PredictIt and BetUS.com.
    • South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin both have odds of 8% to be Trump’s vice presidential pick on BetUS.
    • On PredictIt, Vance was seen as having a 44% chance to Burgum’s 18% and Rubio’s 12% odds.
    • BetUS.com puts Vance at 44%, but Burgum had better odds on that site at 30% implied probability, while Rubio was at 12.5%.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

91%

  • Unique Points
    • Democrats are getting back a taste of what they have given with their own party in disarray.
    • Biden has resisted stepping down despite signs of cognitive decline.
  • Accuracy
    • ]Democratic Party is in chaos over President Joe Biden's cognitive decline.[
    • Biden's cognitive decline and Democrats’ cover-up have become the main story in the presidential race.
    • Biden campaign and Democratic Party are not united on how to handle Biden’s decline.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (95%)
    The author expresses a clear bias against the Democratic Party and President Biden, portraying them as incompetent and self-destructive. The author also implies that the Democratic Party is covering up Biden's cognitive decline. This bias is evident throughout the article.
    • Biden can’t even align his narrative
      • Biden has become the mistake.
        • Democrats are self-destructing.
          • The Democratic Party is worse off now than the Republican Party
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication