Top Contenders for Donald Trump's 2024 Vice Presidential Pick: Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, Doug Burgum, Tom Cotton, Nikki Haley, Elise Stefanik, Kristi Noem, Tim Scott, and Ben Carson

Atlanta, Georgia, USA United States of America
Ben Carson's popularity among evangelical and conservative voters could help Trump solidify his base.
Choosing a woman as vice-president could make a difference at the margins in an election that figures to be remarkably close. Nikki Haley, Elise Stefanik, and Kristi Noem are top prospects.
Doug Burgum might appeal to suburbanites with his governance of North Dakota and familiarity with the global economy.
Eight of the last 13 vice presidents went on to win their party's nomination for president.
Former President Donald Trump is preparing to announce his running mate for the 2024 presidential race.
J.D. Vance's populist message and opposition to vaccine mandates might enhance his value as a running mate in the industrial Midwest.
Marco Rubio's Spanish-speaking skills could help him reach Latino voters.
Tim Scott's highest value might be in the South and his record of bipartisanship could help Trump appeal to moderate voters.
Tom Cotton projects traditional conservative vibes and is a clean-cut Army veteran, making him appealing for Republican-leaning suburbs.
Top Contenders for Donald Trump's 2024 Vice Presidential Pick: Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, Doug Burgum, Tom Cotton, Nikki Haley, Elise Stefanik, Kristi Noem, Tim Scott, and Ben Carson

In the 2024 presidential race, former President Donald Trump is once again making headlines as he prepares to announce his running mate. The vice presidency was once considered a political graveyard, but in recent history, eight of the last 13 vice presidents went on to win their party's nomination for president (Franklin Delano Roosevelt and John Nance Garner marked the beginning of the change in perception and importance of the vice presidency). Trump's decision is crucial as his pick is likely to become the Republican nominee if he wins a second term. Here are some contenders for Trump's running mate, their potential advantages, and challenges.

Marco Rubio: Rubio has a political profile built for increasingly diverse suburbs and a proven record of running well in both his home state and in his failed 2016 presidential primary run. His Spanish-speaking skills would help him reach Latino voters in the Southwest and other states like North Carolina and Georgia.

J.D. Vance: Vance's populist message, opposition to vaccine mandates, criticism of Covid restrictions, and lack of political experience might enhance his value as a running mate in the industrial Midwest including Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Doug Burgum: Burgum might appeal to suburbanites as he isn't a culture warrior and has familiarity with the global economy. His governance of North Dakota could also provide valuable insights into energy policy.

Tom Cotton: Cotton projects traditional conservative vibes and is a clean-cut Army veteran, making him appealing for Republican-leaning suburbs. His military background could also help Trump appeal to veterans and their families.

Choosing a woman as vice-president can't undo the history or erase the deficit in votes between genders, but it might make a difference at the margins in an election that figures to be remarkably close. Some top prospects include Nikki Haley, Elise Stefanik, and Kristi Noem.

Tim Scott: Scott's highest value might be in the South as his home state shares media markets with Georgia and North Carolina. His record of bipartisanship could also help Trump appeal to moderate voters.

Byron Donalds: As a Black Republican, Donalds could help Trump reach out to African American voters. However, he has yet to demonstrate a convincing track record of winning over Black voters in elections.

Ben Carson: Carson's popularity among evangelical and conservative voters could help Trump solidify his base. His experience as a surgeon and HUD secretary might also provide valuable insights into healthcare policy.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • It is unclear if all the mentioned individuals have expressed interest in being Trump's running mate.
  • The article does not provide any specific information on Trump's current stance on certain issues that could impact his choice of running mate.

Sources

93%

  • Unique Points
    • During his 2016 campaign, Donald J. Trump criticized wealthy political donors and delivered a populist message.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (90%)
    The article mentions that during Trump's 2016 campaign, he criticized wealthy donors as the root of corruption and delivered a populist message. However, in his current selection process for a running mate, financial backing from wealthy donors is a key factor for him. The authors mention specific instances where billionaire donors have influenced Trump's decision-making process by lobbying for certain candidates. This creates an inconsistency between Trump's past rhetoric and his current actions, which can be considered a form of Hypocrisy fallacy.
    • During his 2016 campaign, Donald J. Trump orchestrated a takeover of the Republican Party in part by blasting wealthy political donors as the root of corruption and delivering a populist message that appealed to working-class voters.
    • Many vice-presidential hopefuls, including some outside contenders wise to the financial dynamic, have responded, boasting and sometimes exaggerating the amount they could raise for the ticket.
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

76%

  • Unique Points
    • Nikki Haley is an obvious choice for vice-presidential pick due to her results against Trump earlier this year.
    • Marco Rubio has a political profile built for increasingly diverse suburbs and a proven record of running well in both his home state and in failed 2016 presidential primary run.
    • Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin's political identity is rooted in his suburban success, but his star has dimmed after a series of political blows.
    • North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum might appeal to suburbanites as he isn’t a culture warrior and has familiarity with the global economy.
    • Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton projects traditional conservative vibes and is a clean-cut Army veteran, making him appealing for Republican-leaning suburbs.
    • Choosing a woman as vice-president can’t undo the history or erase the deficit in votes between genders, but it might make a difference at the margins in an election that figures to be remarkably close.
    • South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, Florida Rep. Byron Donalds and former HUD Secretary Ben Carson are top African American prospects for vice-president, but none have a convincing track record of winning over Black voters.
    • Marco Rubio, as the son of Cuban immigrants, makes more sense as a running mate due to his Spanish speaking skills which would help him reach Latino voters in the Southwest and other states like North Carolina and Georgia.
    • Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance might have enhanced value as a running mate due to his populist message, opposition to vaccine mandates, criticism of Covid restrictions, and lack of political experience.
    • J.D. Vance’s populist message and experience winning a Rust Belt Senate seat gives him grounding in the politics of the industrial Midwest including Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
    • Marco Rubio might be especially useful in Nevada or Arizona due to his childhood connections to those states.
    • Tim Scott’s highest value might be in the South as his home state shares media markets with Georgia and North Carolina.
    • Glenn Youngkin is another who offers extra bang for the buck as Virginia shares a media market with North Carolina.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (30%)
    The article contains editorializing and pontification by the author as they discuss potential vice presidential options for Trump. The author expresses their opinions on each candidate's strengths and weaknesses, implying their own preferences. They also make assumptions about how certain candidates might appeal to specific voter demographics without providing any concrete evidence.
    • Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin is another whose political identity is rooted in his suburban success.
    • Nikki Haley, a former suburban state legislator herself before she became a governor and U.N. ambassador, is an obvious choice.
    • Marco Rubio likely makes the best case.
    • Doug Burgum, on the other hand, does appear to be a finalist and his profile might appeal to suburbanites.
  • Fallacies (75%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (80%)
    The author expresses a clear preference for certain vice-presidential candidates based on their ability to appeal to specific voter demographics and regions. This demonstrates a political bias in the article.
    • Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton, who projects traditional conservative vibes... He's also a hard-liner on immigration and crime, two issues Trump is eager to spotlight and could play well in Republican-leaning suburbs where the GOP vote has wavered in recent years.
      • Marco Rubio likely makes the best case... He has a proven record of running well in the suburbs, not just in his home state but also in his failed 2016 presidential primary run
        • Nikki Haley, a former suburban state legislator herself before she became a governor and U.N. ambassador, is an obvious choice... She more than anyone could be a standard-bearer for the pre-Trump GOP and the suburban voters who once flocked to it.
          • Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin is another whose political identity is rooted in his suburban success.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          99%

          • Unique Points
            • Donald Trump has narrowed his vice presidential shortlist
            • Trump will announce his pick before or at the Republican National Convention
            • Trump's choice would likely become the Republican nominee if he wins a second term
            • Pressure will be on Trump’s VP to show loyalty at all times
          • Accuracy
            No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          100%

          • Unique Points
            • The vice presidency was once considered a political graveyard.
            • "Eight of the last 13 vice presidents went on to win their party’s nomination for president."
            • "Franklin Delano Roosevelt and his first vice president, John Nance Garner, marked the beginning of the change in perception and importance of the vice presidency."
          • Accuracy
            No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          95%

          • Unique Points
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Accuracy
            No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
          • Deception (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Fallacies (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Bias (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication