New Polls Show Trump Gaining Ground Against Biden, Democrats Express Dissatisfaction with Nominee

Atlanta, Georgia, USA United States of America
56% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning registered voters believe their party has a better shot at winning with a candidate other than Biden
75% of voters agree that the Democrats have a better chance at winning the presidency in 2024 with someone other than Biden as their nominee
California Gov. Gavin Newsom and U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg fared the same as Biden at 43% support
CNN poll: Trump leading by 6%
Concerns about Biden's ability to effectively challenge Trump in the upcoming election
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer performed worse against Trump than Biden in polling, with 42% support
Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll: Trump leading by 3%
Trump gaining ground against Biden in recent polls
Upcoming quarterly refunding update from the US Treasury may impact investors and financial markets
Vice President Kamala Harris performed slightly better against Trump in polling, with 45% support
New Polls Show Trump Gaining Ground Against Biden, Democrats Express Dissatisfaction with Nominee

In the recent presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, both candidates faced criticism for their performances. According to multiple polls conducted after the debate, Trump appears to have gained ground against Biden. Two new polls published by Suffolk University/USA TODAY and CNN found Trump leading by 3% and 6% respectively. These results come as concerns grow about Biden's ability to effectively challenge Trump in the upcoming election.

Furthermore, a significant number of Democrats are expressing dissatisfaction with Biden as their party's nominee. In the Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll, 56% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning registered voters believe their party has a better shot at winning with a candidate other than Biden. A majority of voters, 75%, also agree that the Democrats have a better chance at winning the presidency in 2024 with someone other than Biden as their nominee.

Vice President Kamala Harris performed slightly better against Trump in polling, with 45% support. Other potential Democratic candidates, such as California Gov. Gavin Newsom and U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, fared the same as Biden at 43% support.

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer performed worse against Trump than Biden in polling, with 42% support.

The upcoming quarterly refunding update from the US Treasury will provide information on how much bond supply there will be. This news may impact investors and financial markets.



Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • Are the polling numbers accurate?
  • Is there any significant difference between Biden and Harris, Newsom, or Buttigieg in terms of voter support?

Sources

90%

  • Unique Points
    • Two new polls conducted after the presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump show Trump leading by 3% in one poll and 6% in another.
    • Fifty-six percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning registered voters expressed the belief that their party has a better shot at winning with a candidate other than Biden.
    • A majority of voters, 75%, believe the Democrats have a better chance at winning the presidency in 2024 with someone other than Biden as their nominee.
    • Vice President Kamala Harris performed better against Trump in polling compared to Biden, with 45% support.
    • California Gov. Gavin Newsom and U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg performed the same as Biden in polling against Trump, with 43% support.
    • Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer fared worse against Trump than Biden in polling, with 42% support.
  • Accuracy
    • ]Two new polls conducted after the presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump show Trump leading by 3% in one poll and 6% in another.[
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (80%)
    The article reports on two new polls that show President Joe Biden performing poorly after the debate with Donald Trump. The article also mentions that a majority of voters believe Trump won the debate and that a large percentage of Democrats believe their party has a better chance at winning with someone other than Biden as the nominee. These statements suggest a bias towards portraying Biden negatively and Trump in a positive light.
    • An overwhelming portion of voters overall – 75 percent – say the Democrats have a better chance at winning the presidency in 2024 with someone other than Biden as the party’s nominee, per CNN’s poll.
      • Just over three-quarters of voters in the new CNN poll think Trump performed better at the presidential debate, compared to 23 percent for Biden.
        • Two new polls taken after President Joe Biden’s disastrous debate with Donald Trump offer discouraging news for Democrats.
          • Yet, 44 percent of those who watched the presidential debate say the debate didn’t influence their decision about who to vote for, according to the USA TODAY poll. Roughly a third say it made them more likely to vote for Trump while 10 percent say it tipped them toward Biden.
          • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication
          • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
            None Found At Time Of Publication

          54%

          • Unique Points
            • .76% of Gen Z Trump voters were enthusiastic about their candidate compared to .44% of Gen Z Biden voters
            • .51% of Gen Z is planning on voting in November
          • Accuracy
            • ]Two new polls conducted after the presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump show Trump leading by 3% in one poll and 6% in another.[
            • Fifty-six percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning registered voters expressed the belief that their party has a better shot at winning with a candidate other than Biden.
            • A majority of voters, 75%, believe the Democrats have a better chance at winning the presidency in 2024 with someone other than Biden as their nominee.
          • Deception (30%)
            The article contains editorializing and emotional manipulation. The author expresses their disappointment with the debate and their concern for young voters. They also make statements about the mental capacity of President Biden and the lies told by former President Trump during the debate.
            • It cast doubt on the mental capacity of President Joe Biden.
            • Trump wanted to gather more sound bites for his zealous supporters, and he got them.
            • Thursday night's debate was a mess.
            • He lied about his own relationship with Stormy Daniels.
          • Fallacies (65%)
            The author makes an appeal to authority by stating that 'Editorial boards at news organizations nationwide have called on both candidates to drop out of the race.' This statement does not provide any evidence or reasoning for why this is a valid argument against Biden and Trump. It also contains inflammatory rhetoric towards Trump, such as calling him an 'election-denying felon,' which is an opinion rather than a fact. The author also makes assumptions about the intentions of Republicans without providing any evidence.
            • ][Editorial boards at news organizations nationwide have called on both candidates to drop out of the race.][]
            • Trump is still the same threat he was before the debate, and Republicans still pretend he’s not. []
            • He lied about his own relationship with Stormy Daniels. []
          • Bias (15%)
            The author expresses a clear preference for one candidate over the other and makes derogatory comments about Trump's lies and hateful rhetoric. They also express concern about Biden's mental capacity.
            • He lied about his own relationship with Stormy Daniels. He even smirked when Biden called him a ‘convicted felon.’
              • Thursday night’s debate cast doubt on the mental capacity of President Joe Biden.
                • Trump is still the same threat he was before the debate, and Republicans still pretend he’s not
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication

                84%

                • Unique Points
                  • The upcoming quarterly refunding update from the US Treasury will provide information on how much bond supply there will be.
                • Accuracy
                  • In 538’s national polling average, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden by 1.4 percentage points.
                  • Two new polls conducted after the presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump show Trump leading by 3% in one poll and 6% in another.
                  • .76% of Gen Z Trump voters were enthusiastic about their candidate compared to .44% of Gen Z Biden voters in a Harvard poll.
                • Deception (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Fallacies (85%)
                  The author makes several appeals to authority by citing polls and pollsters as evidence of Trump's supposed gain in the polls after the debate. However, they do not explicitly state that these polls prove Trump won the debate or that Biden lost it. They also provide examples of specific shifts in certain pollsters' results, but do not make a dichotomous depiction by only presenting these examples without mentioning any potential counter-examples or context. The author does use some inflammatory rhetoric when describing Trump's falsehoods during the debate and Biden's halting performance, but it is not excessive and does not detract significantly from the overall analysis.
                  • ][The two candidates were just about tied on June 27, the day of the debate.][], [[Trump now leads by 1.4 percentage points over Biden]], [[In its post-debate survey, Suffolk University/USA Today found Trump leading 41 percent to 38 percent]], [[Leger found an especially dramatic shift in its polling collaboration with the conservative New York Post, going from Biden +2 just before the debate to Trump +7 right afterwards]]
                • Bias (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication

                92%

                • Unique Points
                  • CNN's Elle Reeve travels to Colorado for a 'Never Trumpers' meeting
                  • Following the CNN Presidential Debate, 'Never Trumpers' react to Biden's debate performance
                • Accuracy
                  • ]CNN's Elle Reeve travels to Colorado for a 'Never Trumpers' meeting[
                • Deception (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Fallacies (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Bias (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication
                • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
                  None Found At Time Of Publication