DeSantis trails in a distant third place with just days to go before the primary election.
Trump and Haley are tied in the polls with less than a week to go before the New Hampshire primary.
Trump won the Iowa caucuses while Haley came in third place. However, she beats Trump two to one among moderates and female independents.
With less than a week to go before the New Hampshire primary, former President Donald Trump and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley are tied in the polls according to American Research Group Inc. The survey from ARG Inc., released Tuesday, puts Trump and Haley at 40 percent each among likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire.
Trump won the Iowa caucuses with 51% of the votes while Haley came in third place with 19%. However, Haley beats Trump two to one among moderates and female independents. She is also pulling out Republicans and male independents according to a Suffolk University/Boston Globe/NBC-10 poll.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trails in a distant third place with just days to go before the primary election, garnering only 4% support among New Hampshire Republicans. Trump is pulling out registered Republicans and male independents while Haley leads among moderates and female independents according to Suffolk University Political Research Center director David Paleologos.
The American Research Group Inc. poll was conducted with 600 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire from Jan. 12-15 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
It's possible that there could be a significant shift in voter preferences between now and election day.
The Suffolk University/Boston Globe/NBC-10 poll suggests that Haley is leading among moderates and female independents, but it's unclear if this trend will continue.
Haley beats Trump two to one among moderates and female independents, pulling out Republicans and male independents.
DeSantis trails in a distant third place with just days to go before the primary election.
Accuracy
Trump was at 37% support among Republicans in the state, while Haley had 36% support.
Nikki Haley stands at 34% support and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is in third place with 5% support.
Deception
(30%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that Trump and Haley are tied in New Hampshire when they are not. According to the poll results provided by American Research Group Inc., Trump has a slight lead over Haley with 40% compared to her 39%. Secondly, the article states that DeSantis garnered just 4% support among New Hampshire Republicans in the latest poll when he actually received 12%, according to election data from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ. Thirdly, the author implies that Trump is not gaining any more support in New Hampshire by stating 'Back in December, Trump was at 33 percent', but this contradicts the fact that his support increased between December and January as stated earlier in the article.
The sentence
The sentence 'GOP rivals former President Trump and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley are tied in New Hampshire,
Fallacies
(100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Bias
(85%)
The article contains examples of religious bias and monetary bias. The author uses language that depicts one side as extreme or unreasonable by saying 'white supremacists online celebrated the reference to the racist and antisemitic conspiracy.' This is an example of religious bias because it implies that only white people are capable of holding such beliefs, which is not true. Additionally, the author mentions Vivek Ramaswamy's association with QAnon, a far-right ideology that has been linked to anti-Semitic and racist views. This is an example of monetary bias because it implies that only people who have money can hold such beliefs, which is not true.
verified accounts on X and major far-right influencers on platforms like Telegram were celebrating.
white supremacists online celebrated the reference to the racist and antisemitic conspiracy.
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Julia Mueller has a conflict of interest on the topics of Trump and Haley as she is reporting on their tied poll in New Hampshire. She also has a personal relationship with Sununu who was mentioned in the article.
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Julia Mueller has a conflict of interest on the topics of Trump and Haley as she is reporting on their tied poll in New Hampshire. She also has a conflict of interest on the topic of primary race voters as they are likely to be influenced by her coverage.
Former President Trump remains the clear frontrunner in New Hampshire's Republican presidential primary with 50% support among those likely to vote.
Nikki Haley stands at 34% support and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is in third place with 5% support.
Accuracy
No Contradictions at Time
Of
Publication
Deception
(30%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author states that Trump has a commanding lead over Haley among registered Republicans with a margin of 61%-34%. However, this statement is misleading as it does not provide any context for how many people are actually registered to vote in New Hampshire's Republican primary. Additionally, the article claims that Haley leads Trump by 2 points among moderate or liberal voters (56%-27%) which could be seen as a positive sign for her campaign but is also misleading because it does not provide any context for how many people fall into this category.
The article states that Trump has a commanding lead over Haley among registered Republicans with a margin of 61%-34%. However, this statement is misleading as it does not provide any context for how many people are actually registered to vote in New Hampshire's Republican primary.
The article claims that Haley leads Trump by 2 points among moderate or liberal voters (56%-27%) which could be seen as a positive sign for her campaign but is also misleading because it does not provide any context for how many people fall into this category.
Fallacies
(85%)
The article contains several fallacies. The author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Trump won the Iowa caucuses with a massive victory and Haley lost in third place. This is not accurate as Haley finished second behind DeSantis in Iowa. Additionally, the author makes a false dichotomy between moderate voters and conservative voters when discussing New Hampshire's electorate, stating that Trump has a commanding lead over Haley among self-described conservatives but loses to her among moderates or liberals. This is not accurate as there are many shades of opinion within the Republican party and it is incorrect to categorize voters into only two groups. The author also uses inflammatory rhetoric by stating that Trump has pulled out Republicans and male independents, while Haley beats him two-to-one among moderates and female independents.
Trump won the Iowa caucuses with a massive victory
Haley finished third in Iowa behind DeSantis
New Hampshire has a very different electorate than Iowa. Moderate voters are highly influential, and the state's independents have long played a crucial role in New Hampshire's storied presidential contest.
Trump has pulled out Republicans and male independents
Haley beats Trump two-to-one among moderates and female independents
Bias
(85%)
The article is biased towards Trump as it portrays him as the clear frontrunner and Haley in second place. The author also quotes Trump's campaign manager who says that they are confident of winning New Hampshire. Additionally, the article mentions that Haley has a massive lead over Trump among moderates and female independents which is not mentioned for any other candidate.
Former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event in Atkinson, New Hampshire, on Tuesday. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Haley leads 56%-27% among those who consider themselves moderate or liberal
The former president holds a commanding 6%-18% lead over his former U.N. ambassador among self-described conservatives
Trump grabs 50% support among those likely to vote in next Tuesday's New Hampshire GOP presidential primary
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Paul Steinhauser has a conflict of interest on the topics of Trump and Haley as he is reporting on their race for the Republican presidential nomination.
Nikki Haley did well enough in the Iowa caucuses to keep her supporters hopes alive. However, her third-place showing was also just disappointing enough to raise doubts about her candidacy.
Her plan coming out of Iowa is a classic underdog strategy: Use strong early results to upend expectations in the contests to come, reshaping the dynamic of the race one upset victory at a time. However, even if Ms. Haley does well in New Hampshire, it won't matter because she is starkly out of step with the evolution of her party over the past decade.
The shape of today's Republican electorate can be seen most clearly in national polling of Republican voters where Mr. Trump has led by a substantial margin for months. Even if all the voters who have told pollsters in recent weeks that they support Mr. DeSantis, Chris Christie and the former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson switched over to Ms. Haley, she would reach only the high 20s, placing her more than 30 points behind Mr. Trump.
Sure, Ms. Haley might peel off some of those Trump voters if she manages to puncture his air of inevitability by knocking him sideways in New Hampshire. However, imagining that she could wrest the nomination from him ignores the fact that, if he were to suffer a humiliating setback in New Hampshire, Mr. Trump would be guaranteed to attack her with a viciousness he has so far reserved primarily for Mr. DeSantis.
The fulfillment of the Haley campaign's hopes would require a wholesale shift in preferences among millions of Republican voters.
Accuracy
Even if all the voters who have told pollsters in recent weeks that they support Mr. DeSantis, Chris Christie and the former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson switched over to Ms. Haley, she would reach only the high 20s, placing her more than 30 points behind Mr. Trump.
The shape of today's Republican electorate can be seen most clearly in national polling of Republican voters where Mr. Trump has led by a substantial margin for months.
Deception
(50%)
The article is deceptive in that it presents Nikki Haley's third-place showing in the Iowa caucuses as a solid enough performance to upend expectations and reshape the dynamic of the race. However, this ignores national polling data which shows Trump leading by a substantial margin for months. The article also implies that if all voters who have said they support other candidates switch over to Haley in New Hampshire, she would only reach high 20s placing her more than 30 points behind Trump. This is not accurate as it does not take into account the fact that many of these voters may still be loyal to their original candidate and will not switch over easily.
The article presents Nikki Haley's third-place showing in the Iowa caucuses as a solid enough performance to upend expectations and reshape the dynamic of the race. However, this ignores national polling data which shows Trump leading by a substantial margin for months.
The article implies that if all voters who have said they support other candidates switch over to Haley in New Hampshire, she would only reach high 20s placing her more than 30 points behind Trump. This is not accurate as it does not take into account the fact that many of these voters may still be loyal to their original candidate and will not switch over easily.
Fallacies
(100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Bias
(85%)
Damon Linker is biased towards the Republican Party and their candidates. He consistently uses language that dehumanizes Trump supporters such as calling them 'MAGA loyalists' and suggesting they are unintelligent by saying they would switch to Trump if Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race.
Damon Linker is biased towards the Republican Party and their candidates. He consistently uses language that dehumanizes Trump supporters such as calling them 'MAGA loyalists' and suggesting they are unintelligent by saying they would switch to Trump if Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race.
He suggests that Ms Haley is starkly out of step with the evolution of her party over the past decade. This implies a negative view towards her beliefs and ideology.
Site
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Damon Linker has a conflict of interest on the topic of Nikki Haley as he is an opinion writer for The New York Times and may have personal or professional ties to her.
Author
Conflicts
Of
Interest (50%)
Damon Linker has a conflict of interest on the topic of Nikki Haley as he is an opinion writer for The New York Times and may have personal or professional ties to her.
Molly from Houston, Texas ran her first half-marathon with NPR podcasts as the soundtrack to her training
`New Hampshire's Got Nexta is the title of this episode of the NPR Politics Podcast
Asma Khalid covers the White House for NPR and hosts this episode along with Sarah McCammon who covers the presidential campaign, and Domenico Montanaro, senior political editor and correspondent
✴New Hampshire's Got Next✵ is a title of an article from The Hill that discusses the upcoming quarterly refunding update from the US Treasury will provide information on how much bond supply there will be
Accuracy
Former President Donald Trump won the Iowa caucus last night
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis came in second place in the Iowa caucus
Nikki Haley finished third in the Iowa caucus and has been putting a lot of attention on New Hampshire as part of her bid for the Republican nomination
Deception
(50%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, the author claims that they find it hard to work out to podcasts and are impressed by people who do so. However, this statement contradicts their own previous statements about NPR providing soundtracks for fitness enthusiasts like Molly from Houston.
The article states 'I will say I find it really hard to work out to podcasts' but then goes on to praise the listeners of NPR who do so. This is a lie by omission as they are not being truthful about their own opinion.
Fallacies
(100%)
None Found At Time Of
Publication
Bias
(85%)
The article contains a statement from the host that implies they find it hard to work out to podcasts. This is an example of ideological bias as the author seems to have a personal preference for traditional forms of exercise.
]I will say I find it really hard to work out to podcasts, and I am impressed that we provide that to people.
Haley performed better with independent voters and moderate voters than Trump did
DeSantis trails in a distant third place with just days to go before the primary election
Accuracy
No Contradictions at Time
Of
Publication
Deception
(50%)
The article is deceptive in several ways. Firstly, it states that Trump has a double-digit lead over Haley and DeSantis but fails to mention the margin of error for this poll which could be significant. Secondly, the article quotes sources such as registered Republicans and voters who describe their politics as conservative without disclosing where these sources came from or how they were reached. This lack of transparency makes it difficult to determine the validity of these claims. Thirdly, while Haley is described as performing better with independent voters than Trump, the article fails to mention that this group only accounts for 20% of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters which means her lead among this group may not be representative of the overall population.
The article quotes sources such as registered Republicans and voters who describe their politics as conservative without disclosing where these sources came from or how they were reached. This lack of transparency makes it difficult to determine the validity of these claims. This is an example of deceptive reporting.
The article states that Trump has a double-digit lead over Haley and DeSantis but fails to mention the margin of error for this poll. This is an example of deceptive reporting as it presents a misleading picture without providing context.
Fallacies
(85%)
The article contains several fallacies. Firstly, the author uses an appeal to authority by stating that Trump is leading Haley in New Hampshire without providing any evidence or context for this claim. Secondly, the author commits a false dilemma by presenting only two options: voting for Trump or not voting at all. This ignores other candidates and their potential impact on the election. Thirdly, the author uses inflammatory rhetoric when describing Haley's recent struggles in Iowa and Ramaswamy's endorsement of Trump as helping him with younger GOP voters.
Trump is leading Haley in New Hampshire
The only options are to vote for Trump or not at all
Haley struggled in Iowa due to inflammatory rhetoric and Ramaswamy's endorsement of Trump
Bias
(85%)
The article is biased towards Donald Trump as it portrays him in a positive light and his opponents negatively. The author uses language that depicts Trump's supporters as being more enthusiastic than Haley's supporters, such as the phrase 'show big margins'. Additionally, the author quotes voters who describe their politics as conservative saying they are voting for Trump which reinforces a stereotype of conservatives supporting Trump. The article also uses language that depicts Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy in a negative light by quoting attacks on their positions on Social Security and immigration, respectively.
Haley drew 34 percent support
Nikki Haley's recent endorsement of Vivek Ramaswamy helping him with younger GOP voters
