New Polls Show Former President Trump Leading President Biden in Five Key Battleground States

Michigan, Michigan United States of America
Biden currently leads Trump among registered voters in Wisconsin but trails behind him among likely voters there.
Democratic candidates are leading in all four Senate races surveyed: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada.
Former President Trump leads President Biden in five battleground states: Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada according to recent polls.
These polls suggest young voters and nonwhite voters express discontent with President Biden's handling of the economy and the war in Gaza.
Trump's lead is due to gains among young, Black, and Hispanic voters.
New Polls Show Former President Trump Leading President Biden in Five Key Battleground States

Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in five key battleground states - Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada - according to recent polls by The New York Times/Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer. These polls were conducted among registered voters from April 28 to May 9.

Trump's lead is largely due to gains among young, Black, and Hispanic voters in these states. For instance, in Michigan, Biden leads Trump among likely voters but trails behind him among registered voters. However, Trump leads both groups in Georgia, Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

Biden currently leads Trump among registered voters in Wisconsin but trails behind him among likely voters there. In contrast, Trump holds a significant lead over Biden among both groups in Wisconsin.

The polls also indicate that Democratic candidates are leading in all four Senate races surveyed: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada.

It is important to note that these polls have a margin of error ranging from 1.8 percentage points for the total sample to 4.6 percentage points for Georgia.

The Biden team believes the battle for re-election runs through six states won narrowly in 2020, including North Carolina and possibly Florida. The Trump team, on the other hand, believes that Biden is unlikely to win back Sun Belt states like Arizona, Nevada and Georgia. A new Trump campaign memo argues that Minnesota and Virginia are now in play.

These polls suggest that young voters and nonwhite voters express discontent with President Biden's handling of the economy and the war in Gaza, which could potentially impact his re-election prospects.


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Confidence

85%

Doubts
  • It's unclear if the discontent among young and nonwhite voters will translate into votes for Trump in November.
  • The margin of error for these polls ranges from 1.8 percentage points to 4.6 percentage points.

Sources

93%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden

The Name Of The NZ Prefix. I PWA NZI.P.Was Dropped. Nate Cohn Monday, 13 May 2024 07:00
  • Unique Points
    • Donald J. Trump leads President Biden in five crucial battleground states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
    • In only one battleground state, Wisconsin, does President Biden lead among registered voters against Mr. Trump.
    • The results indicate that for President Biden to win re-election, he would need victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
  • Accuracy
    • Donald J. Trump leads President Biden in five crucial battleground states, a new set of polls shows: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
    • Trump leads Biden in five key swing states according to a new poll.
    • Former President Trump leads President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election match-ups in five of six key battleground states: Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (85%)
    The article contains inflammatory rhetoric and appeals to authority. It also presents a dichotomous depiction of the political landscape.
    • . . . an erosion of support for the president among young and nonwhite voters upset about the economy and Gaza.
    • The surveys by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer found that Mr. Trump was ahead . . .
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

95%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Trump leads in five key swing states, new poll shows, despite Biden’s months of campaigning – live

theguardian.com Article URL: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/13/ pakistan-·coalition-·agrees-to-form-government Chris Stein Monday, 13 May 2024 13:31
  • Unique Points
    • One reason for Biden’s lagging support is his handling of Israel’s invasion of Gaza
    • 13% of those who voted for Biden in 2020 but do not plan to do so again cited Biden’s handling of the conflict in Gaza as a reason
  • Accuracy
    • Joe Biden is trailing in support among groups who backed him in 2020
    • Trump leads Biden in five key swing states according to a new poll
    • Former President Trump leads President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election match-ups in five of six key battleground states: Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada.
    • Biden campaign has ramped up voter outreach efforts while Trump faces legal battles.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Trump leads Biden in five swing states, new polls show

Axios News Site: https://www.axios.com/2024/01-30/prior-authorization-gap-insurer-drug-decisions Mike Allen,Noah Monday, 13 May 2024 12:13
  • Unique Points
    • Former President Trump leads in five swing states - Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin - according to New York Times/Siena College polls.
    • Trump’s lead is largely due to gains among young, Black and Hispanic voters.
    • In Michigan, Biden leads Trump among likely voters but trails among registered voters.
    • Biden leads Trump among registered voters in Wisconsin.
    • Trump leads both groups in Wisconsin.
  • Accuracy
    • ,
    • ,
    • Trump maintains a lead over Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania among likely voters.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

98%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Trump leads Biden in 5 key battleground states: Polling

The Hill News Site: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate-seethe-republicans-call-for-israeli-elections/ Sarah Fortinsky Monday, 13 May 2024 11:47
  • Unique Points
    • Former President Trump leads President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election match-ups in five of six key battleground states: Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada.
    • Trump leads Biden among registered voters in Pennsylvania (47 percent to 44 percent), Arizona (49 percent to 42 percent), Michigan (49 percent to 42 percent), Georgia (49 percent to 39 percent) and Nevada (50percent to 38percent).
  • Accuracy
    • Trump leads Biden among registered voters in Pennsylvania (47 percent to 44 percent), Arizona (49 percent to 42 percent), Michigan (49 percent to 42 percent), Georgia (49 percent to 39 percent) and Nevada (50percent to 38percent).
    • Trump maintains a lead over Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania among likely voters.
    • Biden campaign has ramped up voter outreach efforts while Trump faces legal battles.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

94%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

How Big (Or Small) Is the 2024 Electoral College Playing Field?

Cook Political Report Monday, 13 May 2024 13:41
  • Unique Points
    • The Biden team believes the battle runs through six states won narrowly in 2020, North Carolina, and possibly Florida.
    • Trump team believes Biden is unlikely to win back Sun Belt states: Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia.
    • A new Trump campaign memo argues Minnesota and Virginia are now in play.
  • Accuracy
    • Biden team believes the battle runs through six states won narrowly in 2020, North Carolina, and possibly Florida.
    • Former President Trump leads in five swing states - Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin - according to New York Times/Siena College polls.
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (0%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication