Trump Leads in Five Key States Ahead of 2024 Election, Polls Indicate

United States of America
Current President Joe Biden is leading in Wisconsin.
Former President Donald Trump is leading in five of the six most critical battleground states a year before the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
The polls reveal a level of dissatisfaction among voters regarding Biden's handling of the economy and other issues.

As the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election approaches, recent polls conducted by The New York Times and Siena College indicate that former President Donald Trump is leading in five of the six most critical battleground states. These states include Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Current President Joe Biden, however, is leading in Wisconsin. The polls suggest that Trump leads by an average of 48% to 44% across these six states.

Despite these early predictions, Biden's campaign spokesperson Kevin Munoz has cautioned against reading too much into these figures. He cited Gallup's incorrect prediction of an 8 point loss for President Obama in 2012 as an example of how predictions more than a year out can change significantly as the election nears.

The polls also reveal a level of dissatisfaction among voters regarding Biden's handling of the economy and other issues. Doubts about his age have also been raised. The multiracial and multigenerational coalition that elected Biden in 2020 appears to be fraying, with demographic groups that backed Biden in 2020 now more closely contested. However, with a year still to go before the election, Biden's team remains optimistic. Economic indicators are on the rise, and his well-funded campaign is aiming to shore up his demographic weak spots.

Confidence

95%

Doubts
  • The polls are conducted a year before the election, and the political landscape can change significantly in that time.

Sources

94%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

US Presidential Elections: Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in 6 swing states, survey shows

LiveMint Fareha Naaz Monday, 06 November 2023 01:34
  • Unique Points
    • Biden's campaign spokesperson Kevin Munoz stated that predictions more than a year out tend to look different a year later, citing Gallup's incorrect prediction of an 8 point loss for President Obama in 2012.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (90%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

92%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Trump leads in five critical states as voters blast Biden, poll finds

The Japan Times Shane Goldmacher Monday, 06 November 2023 03:55
  • Unique Points
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (90%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication

91%

The overall score is a weighted number that takes into account conflict of interest, bias, deception and other practices that undermine the credibility of the source. It is calculated as:
(Site Conflicts Of Interest + Author Conflicts Of Interest) / 2.0 * 0.2 + ArticleBiasScore * 0.20 + UniquePointsScore * 0.05 + DeceptionScore * 0.20 + ReadabilityScore * 0.05 + FallacyScore * 0.20

A score that takes into consideration the content for flow, interruptions with ads, and overt search engine optimization techniques that makes the content hard to understand

Trump leads in 5 critical states as voters blast Biden, Times/Siena poll finds

The Seattle Times Sunday, 05 November 2023 22:24
  • Unique Points
    • The poll reveals dissatisfaction over Biden's handling of the economy and other issues, and doubts about his age. The multiracial and multigenerational coalition that elected Biden is fraying, with demographic groups that backed Biden in 2020 now more closely contested. Biden still has a year to turn the situation around, with economic indicators up and a well-funded campaign aiming to shore up his demographic weak spots.
  • Accuracy
    No Contradictions at Time Of Publication
  • Deception (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Fallacies (100%)
    None Found At Time Of Publication
  • Bias (80%)
    • Biden still has a year to turn the situation around. Economic indicators are up even if voters do not agree with them.
      • The survey also reveals the extent to which the multiracial and multigenerational coalition that elected Biden is fraying.
      • Site Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication
      • Author Conflicts Of Interest (100%)
        None Found At Time Of Publication